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I had a bit of a rough week picking last week.  I missed all three of the next best 3 games to go with one SEC game.  My record last week was 6-4, which was kind of embarrassing.  But, three weeks into this blog, I sit with a 21-6 record.  It could definitely be better, but it's not  bad start.  Hopefully I can improve on that this week.

 

If Oklahoma State slips, there's one qestion on everybody's mind.  Should Alabama be given a rematch against LSU(assuming LSU wins out of course)? 

In my personal opinion, Bama would be more deserving of a rematch than Oregon.  Oregon lost fairly badly to LSU, while Bama was just a couple made field goals away from victory.  Now that Boise State has been eliinated from a Championship shot, if Oklahoma State slips, the discussion comes down to four teams.  Bama, Oregon, Oklahoma, and Oklahoma State.

 

If this were to happen, I think we could count Oregon out.  It's highly unlikely they jump Bama, and I dubt they would jump Oklahoma State, and they would definitely be jumped by Oklahoma.

 

I also think Oklahoma State would be eliminated because, they would have a loss to Oklahoma, and they wouldn't win the Big 12.  Oklahoma and Bama would both likely jump them in rankings.

 

This would come down to Oklahoma and Bama.  IMO, I think the computers would rightfully give Oklahoma the shot.  Bama lost to LSU at home.  They had their chance to beat them, and they didn't.  Not to mention, Bama would not only not win the SEC, they wouldn't even make the SEC Championship Game.  Oklahoma inning the Big 12, and not yet having a shot at LSU should give them the nod.

 

If this scenario plays out, who do you think ets a shot at LSU?

 

 

The Way to Make This a Weak Week for SEC Games with your Cupcakes

 

The Citadel @ South Carolina- It's called a cupcake game for a reason.  I don't know much about the Citadel, but I don't think I'm going out on a limb when I say South Carolina won't miss Lattimore for this game.  South Carolina will be more concerned about hoping Kentucky can upset UGA than they will be for this game.  South Carolina wins 56-0

 

Samford @ Auburn- Auburn might be a four loss team, and they might have been taken to the woodshed by Georgia, but I can't see them losing to an average FCS team.  Auburn some how manages to stay in the BCS Top 25.  Auburn wins easily, 49-7

 

Furman @ Florida- Another matchup between an SEC team and a four loss FCS team.  Amazing, I know.  Florida is a better team than their record indicates.  Their losses have came against the best teams in the SEC, and they didn't hve Brantley for three of them.  I think Florida will take out their frustration this week. Florida wins 58-3

 

Georgia Southern @ Alabama- At least this one is against one of the best FCS teams.  At any rate, Bama still has arguably the best defense in the country, and I doubt an FCS offense is gonna change it.  The starters will be sitting by the third quarter.  Bama win 48-0

 

The These are Conference Games, but they're Still Gonna be One Sided

 

LSU @ Ole Miss- The best team in the SEC vs the worst team in the SEC, that's coming off a loss to Louisiana Tech, and their starting QB and RB are sitting out this game.  If you love seeing LSU's defense dominate, this is the game for you.  Ole Miss's offense wasn't anything to brag about before the suspensions.  With the suspensions, this game just gets ugly.  Ole Miss doesn't have a defense to speak of either.  I honestly don't see a way Ole Miss loses by less than 35.  LSU should have no problems defensively, and Ole Miss's defense is bad enough to make LSU's offense look like a juggernaut.  LSU wins 48-0

 

Kentucky @ Georgia- If Georgia wins this game, they go to the SEC Championship Game.  If they lose, they have to stay home and watch South Carolina play in the big game.  So, even though this game doesn't seem very interesting, there is a lot riding on it.  Kentucky is a down right terrible team.  They are terrible on both sides of the ball.  There'sa reason why their only conference win is against Ole Miss.  Georgia has a lot of momentum coming into this game after their dominating performance over Auburn.  I can't see them slipping against the second to last place team in the SEC East between the hedges.  Georgia has one of the better defenses in the SEC, and Kentucky's weak offense plays into their favor big time.  Georgia has also shown they can put up a lot of points against weak defenses.  You will see Georgia in the SEC Championship against either LSU or Bama. Georgia wins 56-7

 

The This Would Have Been Interesting if Preseason Rankings Held True

 

Mississippi State @ Arkansas- Mississippi State has been playing better ball lately.  They hve a decent defense, that will likely keep this game from being  blowout, much like the Bama game.  But, they can't rely on Vick Ballard to win games against the top teams in the SEC.  He is a great running back, but they are going to have to get a passing game going if they are gonna make life difficult against the top teams in the SEC.  MSU's one dimensional offense plays into Arkansas' favor.  Arkansas doesn't have a top defense, but they have a good enough defense to not let one player beat them.  Like I said, MSU does have a decent defense, but Arkansas' offense is high octane and running on all cylinders.  Tyler Wilson is one of the best QBs in the SEC, and he has four solid receivers to throw to.  It wo't be a blowout, but Arkansas will win, 31-17

 

Game of the Week(I had to pick one)

 

Vanderbilt @ Tennessee- Vanderbilt is a better team than their record indicates.  They damn near beat Florida, Georgia and Arkansas, and Bama had trouble with them.  Tennessee on the other hand is yet to win an SEC game, and they are worse than their 4-6 record indicates.  Tennessee has a weak offense that could still be without their QB.  They have a decent defense, but they are gonna have to score if they plan on winning.  This is a big game for both teams when it comes to making a bowl game.  If Tennessee wins, they will sit at 5-6 heading into their season finale with Kentucky.  If they lose, they are eliminated from bowl contention.  Vandy sits at 5-5.  If they win, they will be bowl eligible.  If they lose, their season finale against Wake Forest becomes a must win game. That, and the fact that this is an in state rivalry game, anything can happen.

Vandy has a very solid running game.  Lead by Zac Stacy, they can run on any SEC team not named LSU or Alabama.  Wth Aaron Rodgers' little brother at QB, Vandy has a big edge on offense IMO.  When it comes to defense, while Vandy does hav a decent defense, I have to give a slight edge to Tennessee.  In the end, I'm not confident in Tennessee's ability to score.  I think Vandy has a good enough defense to shut down Tennessee's offense.  I'm also very confident in Vandy's running game, and I think they will scre enough to win this one. Vanderbilt wins 21-14

 

The Next Best 3

 

Nebraska @ Michigan- I'm far from a B1G guru.  If you want a better, more in depth breakdown of this game, you should check out Rudedog's Big Ten and the Next Best 3 blog.  From what I have saw, I haven't been impressed by Nebraska's defense, while Michigan's offense has been very solid.  I've also noticed that Michigan plays solid defense.  In a very important game for both teams, I look for Michigan to win 35-28

 

Oklahoma @ Baylor- The computers are high on Baylor, and they have a chance to ruin any chance Oklahoma has at a Big 12 Championship and a National Championship appearence.  But, Oklahoma's offense should be too much for Baylor to handle.  Baylor isn't known for their defense, Oklahoma will put up points.  Oklahoma's defense is a solid unit as will.  RG3 will have his work cut out for him in this one.  I look for Landry Jones to have another big game.  Oklahoma wins 56-21

 

USC @ Oregon- USC might not be eligible for postseason play, but they can damn sure play spoiler to a team with National Championship hopes.  In the end, I'm not sure USC's defense can hang with Oregon's high octane offense, and Oregon's defense has impressed me as well.  Like B1G games, I'm not a Pac 12 expert.  If you want a better, more in depth breakdown, check out Orac/OM's Pac 12 and the Next Best 3.  But, I like Oregon to win, 48-35.

November 16, 2011  10:54 PM ET

I don't think Auburn is scoring 49 on anybody even and FCS school. I also don't think they can only give up 7 points to anybody, and thats my team. In their defense though they have lost to teams ranked #1,#6,#7, and #14 in the most recent BCS poll. Plus they will more than likely lose to the team ranked #3 in the poll in two weeks. So to go 7-5, assuming they beat Samford, in a year after losing all they lost isn't too bad of a season considering their defense has been as horrible as it has been. The offense really hasn't been much better either.

November 16, 2011  10:57 PM ET

I feel bad for Ga. Southern though why on earth would you schedule Alabama right before the FCS playoffs are set to start. They are probably going to limp into the playoffs and get crushed because they are going to be so broken up after playing Alabama.

November 16, 2011  11:03 PM ET
QUOTE(#1):

I don't think Auburn is scoring 49 on anybody even and FCS school. I also don't think they can only give up 7 points to anybody, and thats my team. In their defense though they have lost to teams ranked #1,#6,#7, and #14 in the most recent BCS poll. Plus they will more than likely lose to the team ranked #3 in the poll in two weeks. So to go 7-5, assuming they beat Samford, in a year after losing all they lost isn't too bad of a season considering their defense has been as horrible as it has been. The offense really hasn't been much better either.

They've exceeded my expectations. Preseason, I had the as a 4-8 team with only one win in the SEC. After the Utah State game, I thought my prediction was going good, but they have really surprised me. They did play arguably the toughest schedule in the SEC, and the best team in the ACC.

November 16, 2011  11:04 PM ET
QUOTE(#2):

I feel bad for Ga. Southern though why on earth would you schedule Alabama right before the FCS playoffs are set to start. They are probably going to limp into the playoffs and get crushed because they are going to be so broken up after playing Alabama.

It doesn't make much sense, but I'm sure they're getting a decent payday for taking the game.

November 16, 2011  11:05 PM ET

Damn this blog is just full of typos. Too lazy right now to fix them all, but I did change Sugar Bowl to SEC Championship in the UGA-Kentucky part.

November 16, 2011  11:23 PM ET
QUOTE(#3):

They've exceeded my expectations. Preseason, I had the as a 4-8 team with only one win in the SEC. After the Utah State game, I thought my prediction was going good, but they have really surprised me. They did play arguably the toughest schedule in the SEC, and the best team in the ACC.

I didn't think with all the top shelf talen they have recruited the past three years the defense would be as bad as it has been. So I expected them to be better than 4-8. My preseason thoughts was at worst 5-7 with 7-5 more likely, and if they had really good luck 9-3. But I thought they would beat Clemson and lose to South Carolina.

November 16, 2011  11:24 PM ET
QUOTE(#4):

It doesn't make much sense, but I'm sure they're getting a decent payday for taking the game.

Even if they are making a great payday thats the type of game you schedule for the beginning of the season that way if guys get injured maybe you get them back by the playoffs.

November 17, 2011  09:14 AM ET

if OSU looses then Bama goes in as "THE ONLY GOOD CHOICE" but undeserving as we had our chance to beat them in our house and lost.

Shows how weak the rest of field is and how good SEC west is this year with BAMA LSU ARKY.

November 17, 2011  09:48 AM ET

Well-written article... I especially like the part where you say Oklahoma is deserving of the nod for the #2 spot over Alabama. ;-)

Let's think about this though. Why is no one talking about Virginia Tech? I realize they are way behind as far as rankings go. However, they are on a collision course for a rematch with Clemson. If they can beat Clemson and redeem their only loss of the season, why don't they deserve a shot?

November 17, 2011  09:54 AM ET
QUOTE(#9):

Well-written article... I especially like the part where you say Oklahoma is deserving of the nod for the #2 spot over Alabama. ;-)Let's think about this though. Why is no one talking about Virginia Tech? I realize they are way behind as far as rankings go. However, they are on a collision course for a rematch with Clemson. If they can beat Clemson and redeem their only loss of the season, why don't they deserve a shot?

That's a good question. personally, I haven't been impressed by VA Tech, but if they redeem their only loss(which was a pretty big loss if I remember correctly), then they might be in the discussion. But the reason they aren't getting much love is because of the national perception of the ACC being a weak football conference. There's two top 10 teams, but then a lot of mediocre to bad teams. The general feel is a one loss SEC, Big 12 or Pac 12 school would be more deserving than a one loss ACC school. Honestly, I can't say I disagree. Personally, I'll be picking Clemson to win the ACC Championship.

November 17, 2011  09:56 AM ET

From now on, I'm writing this either on my break at school, or on my lap top. My desktop's Internet Explorer doesn't sync up with the keyboard or something. If only you could have paragraphs with Google Chrome.

November 17, 2011  10:05 AM ET
QUOTE(#9):

Well-written article... I especially like the part where you say Oklahoma is deserving of the nod for the #2 spot over Alabama. ;-)........

Texas Tech?????????????

November 17, 2011  10:06 AM ET
QUOTE(#2):

I feel bad for Ga. Southern though why on earth would you schedule Alabama right before the FCS playoffs are set to start. They are probably going to limp into the playoffs and get crushed because they are going to be so broken up after playing Alabama.

maybe they keep their team healthy and a bigger blow out than anticipated for BAMA.

November 17, 2011  10:08 AM ET
QUOTE(#2):

I feel bad for Ga. Southern though why on earth would you schedule Alabama right before the FCS playoffs are set to start. They are probably going to limp into the playoffs and get crushed because they are going to be so broken up after playing Alabama.

i talked about that wiht some friends and thought maybe they would not play their starters as much to stay healthy and the game could be more of a blow out than anticipated.

November 17, 2011  10:08 AM ET
QUOTE(#12):

Texas Tech?????????????

If LSU can use the "We're undefeated in regulation" defense, Oklahoma can use the "We're undefeated when the game isn't delayed by an hour and a half due to a storm" defense.

November 17, 2011  11:29 AM ET
QUOTE(#12):

Texas Tech?????????????

As Jerry Palm stated, "If Oklahoma wins on that last day, beating the No. 2 team in the country, I don't think people will care that they lost to Texas Tech. I think they'll care they haven't played LSU."

November 17, 2011  11:32 AM ET
QUOTE(#16):

As Jerry Palm stated, "If Oklahoma wins on that last day, beating the No. 2 team in the country, I don't think people will care that they lost to Texas Tech. I think they'll care they haven't played LSU."

I agree with that as well. I'm as big of an SEC fan as they come, but I wouldn't want a rematch.

November 17, 2011  12:17 PM ET
QUOTE(#15):

If LSU can use the "We're undefeated in regulation" defense, Oklahoma can use the "We're undefeated when the game isn't delayed by an hour and a half due to a storm" defense.

The defense LSU used works much better when every other quality team in the country but one has two losses as was the case in '07.

November 17, 2011  12:18 PM ET
QUOTE(#17):

I'm as big of an SEC fan as they come, but I wouldn't want a rematch.

Same here.

 
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