I slacked off with these blogs over the last couple of weeks but my goal was to post the season ending Strength of Schedule stats before any of the major media outlets could. So here it is:
Followed by the Adjusted SOS. For anyone unfamiliar with the Adjusted Strength of Schedule, this is simply a team's SOS after removing all the games said team actually played. Or in other words Green Bay's 15 wins were removed from their "opponent's losses" column. Et cetera. It's just a way to remove a team's direct impact from their own SOS ranking.
And finally, a sneak peak at the 2012 NFL Draft selection order has been included because Strength of Schedule plays a significant role in determining draft order position.
Note: The Oakland Raiders traded their 2012 first round selection (17th overall) to the Cincinnati Bengals as part of the Carson Palmer trade.
There appears to be two draft order ties that need be broken by coin flip: Carolina Panthers and Miami Dolphins for the 8 & 9 spots, then Kansas City Chiefs and Seattle Seahawks for the 11 & 12 spots. That number does seem high to me because I can't recall many instances in the past where the NFL has actually flipped a coin over any tiebreaker. But following the NFL's draft selection tie-breakers, the primary tie-breaker (SOS) is even and the secondary tie-breaker (divisional and conference records) is not applicable. So to the best of my knowledge, the NFL will need to break these ties via coin flip.
Jessica Gomes
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So if the Vikings won today, they'd picked 5th and the Bears 11th. Awesome.
Rudedog: Thankful
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Wow. I'm on my phone so I can't easily review the other blogs you did, but I know the positions changed a bunch both regular and adjusted since the last blog you posted. Very interesting to say the least.
Happy New Year (Un). Thanks for posting!
LoveItHateIt
Portland, OR
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This also means the Vikings were the best 3-13 team this year
Rudedog: Thankful
Total Comments (27533)
**** Bears had to win now that it's meaningless and ruin their draft position
:CubanMissile:
Chicagoland, IL
Total Comments (2115)
So the biggest knock I always see everyone make on here about the niners is how easy their schedule was, yet the bottom five included the saints (even lower than sf), packers, pats and Texans. How come they are never knocked for their schedule yet its held against the niners so much?
SJ Pete
San Jose, CA
Total Comments (541)
Packers beat the 3rd, 4th, and 5th seeds once and 6th seed twice. They may have had an "easy" schedule but they beat every winning team they played.
U. Wrex
Total Comments (1452)
#SuckforWing
Assassin: Simile…
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whod you bet with that you have to sport the denver avatar now?
SJ Pete
San Jose, CA
Total Comments (541)
I don't mean it as a slight to the other teams - they all have 13+ wins so they won the games they were supposed to- but how are the niners bashed for playing in a weak division and having an easy schedule when it isnt even thought of for the other top teams? The 4 top teams in the NFL (according to most power rankings) are in the bottom 5 of the strength of schedule but its only ever brought up when people try to diminish what SF has done. How about the fact that the Saints with the easiest schedule lost to teams that are 4-12 and 2-14, but the worst team the niners lost too was 8-8 (cowboys and cards)
SJ Pete
San Jose, CA
Total Comments (541)
SOS is not even a good stat. Look at how the 49ers and Rams are on opposite sides of the spectrum yet they play largely the same schedule. Tells me you can throw that stat in the trash with QB rating.
BuckyBadger.
Total Comments (2791)
Rams had Packers(15-1), Saints(13-3), and 49ers twice(13-3) So that is 4 games against a combined 54-10. 49er had the Lions(10-6), Bucs(4-12), and Rams twice(2-14). So 4 games against a combine 18-46.
So they had 25% different schedules and in that 25% different schedule they had a diffence of 36 games won and lost.
U. Wrex
Total Comments (1452)
The difference between a first place and last place schedule. Take a look at the niners schedule next year. I'm expecting a huge drop off from this seasons win total.
SJ Pete
San Jose, CA
Total Comments (541)
Good points in comments #15, SJ Pete. We'll see about the record with upgraded SofS next yr.
SFanNSDOland
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