The Expert Fan

As we wind down to the first round of the NFL draft, I've decided to do a 2nd round mock draft as well as my round 1 mocks. This will not be included in the Fan vs. The Experts challenge, as later round predictions are nearly impossible the deeper you get into individual team's draft boards. Especially for me, this is where having access to game tape and actual scouting reports would be useful, but the whole point of this is to see how well I can do versus the "experts" with the limited resources available to a normal person.

With the first round, it's been my experience the average of correct picks is somewhere between 5-8 for the experts (and I usually hit around the 5 mark myself), so anything over that is extremely good. The 2nd round? Well, if I can get two of these right, I'll be pleasantly surprised.

Please also note, that yes I can count, there are 32 picks each round, but New Orleans lost their 2nd round pick this year for the bounty scandal, resulting in only 31 picks this round.

As you'll see, I'm predicting a run on receivers at the top of the 2nd round. As always, feel free to comment/criticize (but I reserve the right to respond back if I feel necessary):


33. St. Louis Rams - WR Stephen Hill, Georgia Tech

After missing out on Justin Blackmon in the first round, the Rams pick up a first round receiver that slides due to character issues.

34. Indianapolis Colts - WR Alshon Jeffrey, South Carolina

Some think the Colts will try to get an offensive lineman or focus on defense here, but I think they take the heir-apparent to Reggie Wayne and try to get a nose tackle like Alameda Ta'amu in round 3.

35. Minnesota Vikings - WR Reuben Randle, LSU

Another team that needs a second receiver for a young quarterback to throw to.

36. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - DT Devon Smith, Penn State

After taking Morris Claiborne with their first pick, they decide to focus on a major position of need to help their 32nd ranked rush defense.

37. Cleveland Browns - RB David Wilson, Virginia Tech

This could easily be QBs Brandon Weeden or Brock Osweiler, but I think they try and replace Peyton Hillis and hope to land Matt Barkley next year.

38. Jacksonville Jaguars - OT Mike Adams, Ohio State

The Jags need help at not only getting to the opposing quarterback, but also protecting their own.

39. St. Louis Rams - DT Kendall Reyes, UConn

The Rams need help with a run defense that ranked 31st in the league.

40. Carolina Panthers - DE Chandler Jones, Syracuse

The Panthers got their franchise DT in Fletcher Cox in round 1, now they add to a pass rush that only got to the quarterback 31 times all last season (25th).

41. Buffalo Bills - OLB/DE Whitney Mercilus, Illinois

Bills could probably got with OT Bobby Massie here as well, but he's probably a bit of a reach at this point in the 2nd round, so they go with the best player available. I wouldn't be surprised at all to see them trade down a bit though.

42. Miami Dolphins - S Harrison Smith, Notre Dame

With the Yeremiah Bell probably leaving, the Phins make up for a questionable round 1 pick with his replacement.

43. Seattle Seahawks - CB Janoris Jenkins, Northern Alabama

Seattle needs some help at corner, and I can't see Jenkins, who is rated as a round 1 talent, falling any further than this.

44. Kansas City Chiefs - QB Brandon Weeden, Oklahoma State

Weeden will put some pressure on Cassel, and could quiet any critics who think the Chiefs should have traded up to get Ryan Tannehill.

45. Dallas Cowboys - CB Josh Robinson, UCF

Cowboys need a playmaker in the secondary, but were hoping wither Jenkins or Smith would have fallen to them. They don't, so they grab the next best DB option in Robinson.

46. Philadelphia Eagles - OG Amini Silatolu, Midwestern State

The Eagles need depth on the O-line after trading Winston Justice and releasing Kyle DeVan.

47. New York Jets - WR Brian Quick, Appalachian State

A reach here for a WR who probably shouldn't go until the 3rd round, but the Jets need a taller receiver than the 5'11" Santonio Holmes, and Quick is the tallest remaining wide-out with the highest draft grade.

48. New England Patriots - OLB Lavonte David, Nebraska

Another pick for the Pats to help with the pass rush.

49. San Diego Chargers - OT Bobby Massie, Mississippi

Chargers don't really need the help at tackle, but take the best player available. As with Buffalo, I see these two potentially swapping picks.

50. Chicago Bears - DE Vinny Curry, Marshall

This pick is to help take some pressure off of edge rusher Julius Peppers and provide a youth injection into an aging defensive unit.

51. Philadelphia Eagles - OLB Shea McClellin, Boise State

Even after trading for DeMeco Ryans, who will probably play MLB, the Eagles need an upgrade at OLB.

52. Tennessee Titans - C Peter Konz, Wisconsin

Though they gave up the second-fewest sacks last season, they need help creating running lanes for Chris Johnson, and Konz should be an upgrade over Eugene Amano.

53. Cincinnati Bengals - DT Brandon Thompson, Clemson

They get their run-stuffer here after missing out in round 1.

54. Detroit Lions - OG Jeff Allen, Illinois

They need help in the run game, and Allen can help open up some space. A big need especially if they reach for Doug Martin (or another RB) in round 1 as I have them doing right now.

55. Atlanta Falcons - CB Trumaine Johnson, Montana

They need another CB to go with Dunta' Robinson.

56. Pittsburgh Steelers - OT Kelechi Osemele, Iowa State

The Max Starks Replacement Pick.

57. Denver Broncos - QB Brock Osweiler, Arizona State

The Peyton Manning Injury Insurance pick. Osweiler would also benefit from sitting behind Manning for a few years (ala Aaron Rodgers).

58. Houston Texans - OT Mitchell Schwartz, California

Another O-line depth pick. Could possibly start in a year or two, and help protect Matt Schaub.

59. Green Bay Packers - OLB Zach Brown, North Carolina

Green Bay needs someone to help Clay Matthews with getting to the other teams' QBs.

60. Baltimore Ravens - WR A.J. Jenkins, Illinois

The Ravens got a play making TE in round 1, now they can focus on someone to help free up Anquan Boldin on the outside.

61. San Francisco 49ers - DE Olivier Vernon, Miami

Purely a depth pick. They're pretty set everywhere on D, Vernon is just the best available.

62. New England Patriots - OG Brandon Brooks, Miami (OH)

They'll need help with the run game after taking Lamar Miller, and help protecting Tom Brady.

63. New York Giants - TE Dwayne Allen, Clemson

They missed out on Fleener, but get the second best TE in this year's draft.

I will be updating both my 1st and 2nd round mocks Wednesday night before the draft, and I can tell you already some things are probably going to be different, so keep an eye out.

Follow me on Twitter @expertfan1


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