asifyouknow's Blog
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Can we agree on that, lets take closer look at the standings:

1) Greg Biffle:This is lock, almost impossible for this team to fall out of the top 10.

2) M. Kenseth: Also a lock, they are running well with a win and seven top tens.

3) Dale Jr.    : Many folks, mostly Jr haters, think he will fall apart, he won't, will make chase.

4) D. Hamlin:  Two wins and six top tens, this guy is in cruise control, is over, he is in.

5) J.Johnson: Lets be serious, do we have to talk about JJ, bet the house and the dog. IN.

6) M. Truex Jr: Will make it, stats don't lie, seven top tens and a win just around the corner.

7) T. Stewart : As Tony Soprano would say....FORGET ABOUT IT.... a super lock.

8) K. Harvick : He might have the best chance of falling off the top ten, BUT he will make it.

9) Ky. Busch  : Like a box of chocolate, you never know what you gone get. BUT will make it.

10) C. Edwards : Seven top ten, you know he is going to win a race or two. IN.

The best of the rest:

Brad Keselowski: Has two wins, running well, he will probably win another race and secure a wild card spot, he is very aggressive and will probably have some DNF that will keep him from the top ten, but will stay in top twenty to qualify for chase.

That leaves only ONE or TWO spots open, I can go into a million scenarios for you but that would be a book rather than a blog.

One wild card spot is already done, Keselowski is a lock, that leaves one WC spot left, Harvick or Busch could fall from the top ten and become the other WC, that would still leave only one spot.

Oh well this is giving me a headache. It is what it is.

There are a few teams in the eleventh to twentieth spot that are in danger of going 100 points down from the tenth spot, correct me if I'm wrong NASCAR experts, 100 points is just too much to make up.

I know basketball fans that just watch the playoffs, if most of the chase participants are decided this early into the season will fans lose interest.

Good question isn't it.

As always this is just a fans opinion and from what I understand everybody has one and I thank God for that.

Enough said.

May 21, 2012  08:40 AM ET

The last Wildcard spot is a toss up between Clint Bowyer and Kasey Khane, with the edge going to Khane.

While Khane has had some bad luck, if you look at where he has been running when it has happened the results don't match the effort. He has been running Top 10 most of the season, in fact many times Top 5 only to have his problems. At Martinsville he was third before his engine blew up, and in Vegas he was running 3-4 before getting squeezed into the wall by Matt Kensith. The way Khane has been running he is about to click off a needed win or two. All he has to do is get the momentum rolling and I think he will be a force to reckon with come the Chase.

Bowyer has been consistent, with only a couple of finishes outside of the Top 20, and while he will no doubt continue to be consistent, unless he can rack up a couple of wins I don't think he will be making the Chase.

As for a Wildcard to the Wildcard I would have to go with Marcos Ambrose. He doens't have the Top 10 consistency of Bowyer or Khane, but this season he has 1 DNF (tied with Bowyer), and only 1 other finish outside the Top 20. He has been steadily improving on the oval tracks, and with the two road courses coming up he has a good chance on getting the two wins needed to put him in contention for a Wildcard spot.

As far as being 100 points outside of the Top 10 at this point I think it is too early to tell if that means you are out of the Chase or not. There's the Wildcard positions, and don't forget last year Brad K. almost drove his way into the Chase after being 25th in points before his first win at Kansas. So it does open some things up for drivers, but ultimately I have a feeling it will end-up being nothing more than a gimmick that falls flat on its face.

May 22, 2012  11:28 AM ET

why do they call it nascar when theres not a STOCK car out there?

May 23, 2012  12:06 PM ET
QUOTE(#2):

why do they call it nascar when theres not a STOCK car out there?

That is a question that NASCAR does not like to bed asked..lol

May 23, 2012  12:13 PM ET

Like to agree with you...but..Bowyer and his crew chief will fall apart.....and Kasey won make it ...this top ten will keep trading spots all year long......Brad alreeady got one WC spot ( I think he will win one more time) I see one spot open maybe two if somebody toytaly falls apart....some guys had DNF and did not lose much....incredible

May 23, 2012  12:15 PM ET
QUOTE(#1):

The last Wildcard spot is a toss up between Clint Bowyer and Kasey Khane, with the edge going to Khane. While Khane has had some bad luck, if you look at where he has been running when it has happened the results don't match the effort. He has been running Top 10 most of the season, in fact many times Top 5 only to have his problems. At Martinsville he was third before his engine blew up, and in Vegas he was running 3-4 before getting squeezed into the wall by Matt Kensith. The way Khane has been running he is about to click off a needed win or two. All he has to do is get the momentum rolling and I think he will be a force to reckon with come the Chase.Bowyer has been consistent, with only a couple of finishes outside of the Top 20, and while he will no doubt continue to be consistent, unless he can rack up a couple of wins I don't think he will be making the Chase.As for a Wildcard to the Wildcard I would have to go with Marcos Ambrose. He doens't have the Top 10 consistency of Bowyer or Khane, but this season he has 1 DNF (tied with Bowyer), and only 1 other finish outside the Top 20. He has been steadily improving on the oval tracks, and with the two road courses coming up he has a good chance on getting the two wins needed to put him in contention for a Wildcard spot.As far as being 100 points outside of the Top 10 at this point I think it is too early to tell if that means you are out of the Chase or not. There's the Wildcard positions, and don't forget last year Brad K. almost drove his way into the Chase after being 25th in points before his first win at Kansas. So it does open some things up for drivers, but ultimately I have a feeling it will end-up being nothing more than a gimmick that falls flat on its face.

Like to agree with you...but..Bowyer and his crew chief will fall apart.....and Kasey won make it ...this top ten will keep trading spots all year long......Brad got one locked WC spot ( I think he will win one more time) I see one spot open maybe two if somebody toytaly fall apart....some guys had DNF and did not lose much....incredible

May 23, 2012  02:23 PM ET
QUOTE(#5):

Like to agree with you...but..Bowyer and his crew chief will fall apart.....and Kasey won make it ...this top ten will keep trading spots all year long......Brad got one locked WC spot ( I think he will win one more time) I see one spot open maybe two if somebody toytaly fall apart....some guys had DNF and did not lose much....incredible

Who do you think will make the Chase? You obviously have picked 11 of the contenders, but what about #12?

June 17, 2012  10:23 PM ET

Still relevent...lol

June 24, 2012  10:31 PM ET

Still relevent...lol after Senoma ..one new player in the top 10

July 2, 2012  03:05 PM ET

Congrats to Brad, a most powerful run but somewhat boring. Ironically, my wife blew my mind this weekend while I was watching the race as she pranced around the house in a spoof of the NASCAR logo tee shirt with the word "BORING" on the front! She picked it up at http://www.nascarwidows.com and it was quite funny and too close to the truth.

 
October 3, 2012  07:44 PM ET

"The last Wildcard spot is a toss up between Clint Bowyer and Kasey Khane, with the edge going to Khane. "
I wnt back to my old blog on predicting the chase I hit 8 and you told me about the other two...

Good job ...we should do one prediction together next year...lol

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