asifyouknow's Blog
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I often wonder what would NASCAR look like if Dale Earnhardt Jr. just got sick an tired of all the scrutiny and just quit.

Will NASCAR merchandising survive?

How would that affect the attendance?

What about the television rating?

How many sponsors might be asking for their money back?

From what I understand 30% of the NASCAR related merchandise are bought by the Earnhardt nation, and I say Earnhardt nation rather than Jr. nation because I assume many of those are Dale Sr. fans looking out for their heroes kid.

You've seen how the fan react when Dale Jr. takes the lead, those folks go nuts. Is it safe to say that a high percentage of fans attending NASCAR events are Jr. nation members, I say yes, now imagine the financial hit the tracks would take if Jr. retires

Again, if 30 % of NASCAR memorabilia merchandising is generated by Dale Earnhardt Jr. I don't thing is a stretch to say "maybe" about the same may be true for the television audience, just guessing here, but that may be a very safe guess.

I don't think the scenarios listed above are just a product of an active imagination, actually those things could happen if Dale Earnhardt Jr. decided to say good bye anytime soon.

Should NASCAR be planning for Dale Jr. retirement?

Who do they have as the "NEXT" or "IT" is obvious the 5 time champion cant fit that bill?

What is it that fans want?

Mr. France should be thinking about this and he should have a plan ready because if Dale Jr. leaves NASCAR it will bring a fan exodus of biblical proportions, we could compare it to Mosses leading the Jews out of Egypt.

I know that last paragraph might be a bit over the top but hey is not total fiction, it could happen.

As always this is just a fans opinion and from what I understand everybody has one and I thank God for that.

Enough said.

June 19, 2012  08:23 AM ET

NASCAR will survive just as Indy Car has survived the loss of Danica.

Yes Jr. picked up a good chunk of his fans with the death of his father, but he is also still a throwback to the blue collar roots of the series. Once he is gone so will the"redneck" element NASCAR has been trying to distance itself from for quite some time. If anything NASCAR probably wants Jr to retire.....or win a championship.

It wouldn't surprise me that the post Jr plan is already in place. And I have a feeling it would be an attempt to challenge F1 as most popular racing series in the world. NASCAR has already started testing the international market with races in Mexico and Canada, but if they can get enough super teams going then NASCAR can take things to a global level. The only things holding them back right now I think is the cost and their "redneck" fan base who would riot if NASCAR went the way of F1.

June 19, 2012  01:59 PM ET
QUOTE(#1):

NASCAR will survive just as Indy Car has survived the loss of Danica. Yes Jr. picked up a good chunk of his fans with the death of his father, but he is also still a throwback to the blue collar roots of the series. Once he is gone so will the"redneck" element NASCAR has been trying to distance itself from for quite some time. If anything NASCAR probably wants Jr to retire.....or win a championship.It wouldn't surprise me that the post Jr plan is already in place. And I have a feeling it would be an attempt to challenge F1 as most popular racing series in the world. NASCAR has already started testing the international market with races in Mexico and Canada, but if they can get enough super teams going then NASCAR can take things to a global level. The only things holding them back right now I think is the cost and their "redneck" fan base who would riot if NASCAR went the way of F1.

Yeah, to bad for NASCAR the next generation of drivers are all good ole boys.

Stenhouse- Mississippi
Bayne- Tennessee
Dillon Bros- North Carolina.

It would be best for NASCAR if it remembers where it came from.

June 20, 2012  08:06 AM ET
QUOTE(#2):

Yeah, to bad for NASCAR the next generation of drivers are all good ole boys.

Stenhouse- Mississippi
Bayne- Tennessee
Dillon Bros- North Carolina.

It would be best for NASCAR if it remembers where it came from.

Stenhouse - 2011 Nationwide Champion, and contender again this year - not fully sponsored for 2012
Bayne - 2011 Daytona 500 winner - not fully sponsored in Nationwide or Cup 2012
Dillon Brothers - Running on Grandaddy's money and name, Austin is the 2011 Truck Champion, but he was driving equipment that was far superior to anyone not named Kyle Busch, and Ty is an ARCA champion but that is more like NASCAR's second cousin.

They might be the next generation and good ole boys, but unless something changes I have a feeling they will end up languishing in Nationwide (if they can find sponsorship) for a few more years yet. Both Dillon's have Bass Pro as a sponsor, but Bass Pro is already an associate sponsor for 2 cars in Cup (Newman and McMurry) so I doubt they will step up to full time on a single car even if it is RCR.

And not everyone one who would have been considered a "Good Ole Boy" in the past fits that mold anymore. The media likes to mention JJ grew up in a trailer park (G.O.B. material) yet that doesn't help him connect to the blue collar fans like Jr does.

To me a Good Ole Boy needs to at least look like he will jump in there and work on the car himself, which there really isn't anyone in Cup or NW that fits that image anymore. I know there are 1 or 2 guys but the majority of the fields are too clean cut to be "Good Old Boys". the older Truck guys are probably the closest we see today that harken back to the hayday of the 70's and 80's, and NASCAR has marginalized the Truck series to the point that most people probably don't even know it's still around.

June 20, 2012  08:05 PM ET

Will the end of the good old boys be the end of NASCAR as a big time sport. will it go back to the hills of North Carolina ??? a little over the top but a good question...
I personally like Stenhouse but I would not pay a dime to watch the Dillon bros.
Man I don't see a superstar comming up a Jeff Gordon type back in the days...do you?

June 21, 2012  08:40 AM ET
QUOTE(#4):

Will the end of the good old boys be the end of NASCAR as a big time sport. will it go back to the hills of North Carolina ??? a little over the top but a good question...
I personally like Stenhouse but I would not pay a dime to watch the Dillon bros.
Man I don't see a superstar comming up a Jeff Gordon type back in the days...do you?

I don't think the end of the Good Ole Boys will end the sport. The sport will shrink initially I think, but once the Good Ole Boy crowd is gone I look for another round of expansion and the deaths of several South Eastern tracks. The current heads of NASCAR will never take it "back to the hills of North Carolina" as you put it, that is the heart of the image they are trying to get rid of.

I honestly think Brian France thinks NASCAR can compete on an international stage, if they can build the fanbase just a little bit more. Their races in Mexico and Canada were considered successes, but cost (Mexico City) and venue (Montreal) caused those races to be dropped from the schedule. Teams complained about the cost of shipping the cars, crews, and equipment to Mexico City which is understandable for a series running on a budget. Montreal did not renegotiate its NASCAR contract mainly because they were able to get F1 to come back to the country/city, and considered that a higher priority.

 
June 21, 2012  08:51 AM ET
QUOTE(#4):

Man I don't see a superstar comming up a Jeff Gordon type back in the days...do you?

Honestly I don't know if Jeff Gordon in his Nationwide (Busch) series days would be turning heads today. Granted I only did a quick search of his NW career on Wikipedia, but there is little in that article that screams "Jeff Gordon". He was extremely reckless in his early career, and arguably one of the reasons for the double yellow line rule at Daytona and Talladega.

And don't judge a driver just on his NW career, Jimmie Johnson has less than stellar NW numbers, and he's a multi-time Cup Champ.

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