asifyouknow's Blog
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Some folks think Juan Pablo Montoya just needs more luck. I do believe you need some luck to win a race, but lets be honest folks good teams make their own luck by performing mistake free week in and week out.

Can we agree on that?

When top teams win or get top tens  it has nothing to do with luck, It's got to do with preparation, in other words a good team working together.

Here is some American folklore sayings that define luck:

"The best luck of all is the luck you make for yourself"

"The harder I work the luckier I get"

HERE IS MY FAVORITE: 

"So-called ''luck'' usually is found at the exact point where preparation meets opportunity"

That last quote, in this blogger humble opinion, is what's going on with the folks on the #42 team, week after week they make silly mistakes or have a parts failure. Who ever is in charge of preparing this team is apparently not doing a good job and is costing JPM good runs. 

Richmond's fourth place finish (actually could of won), proves my point, it wasn't by luck they were up front all night with a chance to win, it was because the team was a beast in the pits and there were no mechanical issues.

Probably they were well prepared and worked together as good teams do. Just guessing.

Let me make this perfectly clear, I'm not excusing JPM from responsibility, after all he does drive the car.

Could the #42 team be missing on opportunities a fast car gives them because they aren't prepared? I think that's a fair question to ask.

Don't you?

Today at Talladega the 42 team looked like keystone cops trying to start the car after the rain delay. I guess the # 22 had the same problem, but so what, I didn't see #48, 88, 5, 24, 5,99 or the low budget teams who came in first and second have a problem.

I know fans that love Juan Pablo, as I do, want to blame the sub-par 2013 season on bad luck, but that's a really hard story to swallow, the -bad luck card- has been played too many times by their fans and sometimes by the team, it no longer holds water folks.

As always this is just a fans opinion and from what I understand everybody has one and I'm thankful for that.

Enough said.

 

 

 

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May 6, 2013  12:23 AM ET

Agree with what you've said.....except JPM does have bad luck......and I think that is a strong factor, but certainly not the only one......Plate races are "need lots of luck" races....but the other tracks should redeem his talent more.

I believe JPM is capable of better.........not Championship better, but certainly making the Chase more often.........but he never will, unless his owner starts caring more, his team gets better organized and his luck changes and he gets his passion back.........he seems to have lost that important element...........I was hoping the change to Hendrick engines would make a difference.......but it has not........JPM is 25th in points and his team mate McMurray is 15th.
JPM should be worried about next year.....very worried.

May 6, 2013  08:45 AM ET
QUOTE(#1):

Agree with what you've said.....except JPM does have bad luck......and I think that is a strong factor, but certainly not the only one......Plate races are "need lots of luck" races....but the other tracks should redeem his talent more.I believe JPM is capable of better.........not Championship better, but certainly making the Chase more often.........but he never will, unless his owner starts caring more, his team gets better organized and his luck changes and he gets his passion back.........he seems to have lost that important element...........I was hoping the change to Hendrick engines would make a difference.......but it has not........JPM is 25th in points and his team mate McMurray is 15th.JPM should be worried about next year.....very worried.

Agree....

May 6, 2013  10:40 AM ET

The engine problems after a rain delay is a semi-regular occurrence. While JPM had more issues that most other drivers it is a concern for the engine builders.

The other thing you missed is that he needs NASCAR on his side like they are with a certain team in the series. You know like when you come down pit road 3 wide, pull ahead of those 2 competitors, but only they are caught speeding...

We know Ganassi is capable of creating championship level teams, look at what he has accomplished in Indy Car. I agree with LittleE that if they want to win races and championships EGR has to make some major changes to their system.

I think Montoya's best option is to walk away from the #42 when his contract is up. If/when he does I don't think he will be able to get a Cup ride right away, and may need to drop down to the Nationwide series to rehabilitate his career (that seems to be working for guys like Elliott Sadler, Sam Hornish, and Regan Smith) before coming back to Cup. His other options as I see them are to try the open-wheel circuit again which might not be feasible either with Indy's sponsor issues, or to just retire.

Personally I think retirement might be his best option. I have said before, and just now, Cup has made him damaged goods, and with his age there are few teams who would be interested in him. Bow out now with dignity before he ends up a Start and Park joke.

May 6, 2013  12:06 PM ET
QUOTE(#3):

The engine problems after a rain delay is a semi-regular occurrence. While JPM had more issues that most other drivers it is a concern for the engine builders.The other thing you missed is that he needs NASCAR on his side like they are with a certain team in the series. You know like when you come down pit road 3 wide, pull ahead of those 2 competitors, but only they are caught speeding...We know Ganassi is capable of creating championship level teams, look at what he has accomplished in Indy Car. I agree with LittleE that if they want to win races and championships EGR has to make some major changes to their system.I think Montoya's best option is to walk away from the #42 when his contract is up. If/when he does I don't think he will be able to get a Cup ride right away, and may need to drop down to the Nationwide series to rehabilitate his career (that seems to be working for guys like Elliott Sadler, Sam Hornish, and Regan Smith) before coming back to Cup. His other options as I see them are to try the open-wheel circuit again which might not be feasible either with Indy's sponsor issues, or to just retire. Personally I think retirement might be his best option. I have said before, and just now, Cup has made him damaged goods, and with his age there are few teams who would be interested in him. Bow out now with dignity before he ends up a Start and Park joke.

Very good points.

I think NW might be his best option, to step back and rebuild his racing reputation......he is only 37, so he could have 8~10 racing years left.........but only if he makes positive changes, next year, when contract is done.

May 6, 2013  07:48 PM ET

Luck is what you make it.. and even though JPM's luck may seem 'unlucky' right now.. ALOT of people would say 'he's damn 'lucky' to be doing what he's doing and for a team where he has the support of the owner.. even though he hasn't gotten the results he would like.. JPM should consider himself 'lucky' to be in the position he's in right now.. things could be worse.. with sponsor dollars in short supply.. I don't even think he could catch on with a Nationwide team if he ever left EGR

May 6, 2013  09:40 PM ET

It's a tough call with Montoya (I am a fan), and what precisely is his motivation. Can he really be OK with running around the track in mid-field or is there something else? It's hard to believe he's just "having fun" racing and collecting his $6M per year. Then however, what is to be said of McMurray? He's a NASCAR guy through and through. My thought is just how long can Chip Ganassi continue to 'soak' the sponsors before having to deliver results? The 'shine' is starting to fad a bit over on Chip's IndyCar program as well. If rumors are right maybe Ganassi should sell out his NASCAR (and what is left of Earnhardt) operation to someone that's serious about winning.

May 7, 2013  09:05 AM ET
QUOTE(#6):

It's a tough call with Montoya (I am a fan), and what precisely is his motivation. Can he really be OK with running around the track in mid-field or is there something else? It's hard to believe he's just "having fun" racing and collecting his $6M per year. Then however, what is to be said of McMurray? He's a NASCAR guy through and through. My thought is just how long can Chip Ganassi continue to 'soak' the sponsors before having to deliver results? The 'shine' is starting to fad a bit over on Chip's IndyCar program as well. If rumors are right maybe Ganassi should sell out his NASCAR (and what is left of Earnhardt) operation to someone that's serious about winning.

Unless Ganassi is happy loosing money. I am no business expert, but I know losses for a business mean a tax break. So while Ganassi is winning championships in Indy, and making big profit there, he might need a way to "hide" that money, or at least soften the tax blow.

I have to also think the Target sponsorship is base more from the extra decals Ganassi has from his Indy teams rather than anything his Cup teams have been doing. He must have them locked up in a pretty tight long term contract, because I'm surprised at Target's loyalty to Chip in the Cup series otherwise.

But I guess it is no different from Penske's deal with Verison, Verison's name was on Penske's Indy and NW cars, but there was money from them being funneled into the Cup team. Although that was mostly NASCAR/Sprint's doing with their "exclusive sponsor" deal.

May 7, 2013  02:18 PM ET
QUOTE(#7):

Unless Ganassi is happy loosing money. I am no business expert, but I know losses for a business mean a tax break. So while Ganassi is winning championships in Indy, and making big profit there, he might need a way to "hide" that money, or at least soften the tax blow.I have to also think the Target sponsorship is base more from the extra decals Ganassi has from his Indy teams rather than anything his Cup teams have been doing. He must have them locked up in a pretty tight long term contract, because I'm surprised at Target's loyalty to Chip in the Cup series otherwise. But I guess it is no different from Penske's deal with Verison, Verison's name was on Penske's Indy and NW cars, but there was money from them being funneled into the Cup team. Although that was mostly NASCAR/Sprint's doing with their "exclusive sponsor" deal.

As always. good points.

May 7, 2013  11:14 PM ET
QUOTE(#3):

The engine problems after a rain delay is a semi-regular occurrence. While JPM had more issues that most other drivers it is a concern for the engine builders.The other thing you missed is that he needs NASCAR on his side like they are with a certain team in the series. You know like when you come down pit road 3 wide, pull ahead of those 2 competitors, but only they are caught speeding...We know Ganassi is capable of creating championship level teams, look at what he has accomplished in Indy Car. I agree with LittleE that if they want to win races and championships EGR has to make some major changes to their system.I think Montoya's best option is to walk away from the #42 when his contract is up. If/when he does I don't think he will be able to get a Cup ride right away, and may need to drop down to the Nationwide series to rehabilitate his career (that seems to be working for guys like Elliott Sadler, Sam Hornish, and Regan Smith) before coming back to Cup. His other options as I see them are to try the open-wheel circuit again which might not be feasible either with Indy's sponsor issues, or to just retire. Personally I think retirement might be his best option. I have said before, and just now, Cup has made him damaged goods, and with his age there are few teams who would be interested in him. Bow out now with dignity before he ends up a Start and Park joke.

I'll agree with everything you said EXCEPT!!... lol... with the retirement think ...too young...I still like to see him win the Daytona 500 and the 24 hours of Le Mans, then he will become the only driver in the history of racing EVER to win the most important races in the world...IN 5 DIFFERENT KINDS OF CARS........he is amazing....
Unfortunately he is not with a top NASCAR team, EGR is at best, low to mid twenties.
From reading the comments not only in here but also in other websites I can clearly see that many NASCAR fans have drank the Kool-Aid NASCAR has served, you know, the believe that everyone has a chance be a champion, they don't!
There are 5 teams who are there year in and year out and even though right now you see some unfamiliar faces in the top 15 they will eventually go back an settle where they belong.
Let me just leave you with this.. There is 0 doubt in my mind that if Juan Pablo Montoya was with Hendrick or Joe Gibbs he would of made the chase 5 out of the 7 years and have won a championship by now. If you are not one of the 5 Elite teams or their satellites you should be happy running in the high teens or low twenties.
Take a look at the stats in the last 5 years.

May 7, 2013  11:26 PM ET
QUOTE(#8):

As always. good points.

I think is some thing similar to selling advertising , you go in to a sponsor and tell them you got 100 radio and TV stations to market their product of course you don't tell them that half of the station belong to your kids broadcasting from the basement on amateur radio.

Ganassi can say he covers all important racing in the USA. He can offer two out of three excellent team and one bust out.
As the popular song goes "two out of three ain't bad"...lol

May 7, 2013  11:35 PM ET

I have a feeling Juan will bring his own sponsorship and be able to walk into a good situation.....Nelson Jr brought his own Paludo also did, hell even Milka Duno did...Look for another Gibbs of Stewart team...

May 8, 2013  08:08 AM ET
QUOTE(#9):

I'll agree with everything you said EXCEPT!!... lol... with the retirement think ...too young...I still like to see him win the Daytona 500 and the 24 hours of Le Mans, then he will become the only driver in the history of racing EVER to win the most important races in the world...IN 5 DIFFERENT KINDS OF CARS........he is amazing....Unfortunately he is not with a top NASCAR team, EGR is at best, low to mid twenties.
From reading the comments not only in here but also in other websites I can clearly see that many NASCAR fans have drank the Kool-Aid NASCAR has served, you know, the believe that everyone has a chance be a champion, they don't!
There are 5 teams who are there year in and year out and even though right now you see some unfamiliar faces in the top 15 they will eventually go back an settle where they belong.
Let me just leave you with this.. There is 0 doubt in my mind that if Juan Pablo Montoya was with Hendrick or Joe Gibbs he would of made the chase 5 out of the 7 years and have won a championship by now. If you are not one of the 5 Elite teams or their satellites you should be happy running in the high teens or low twenties.
Take a look at the stats in the last 5 years.

Ok I know he is young for retirement, but if he enters free agency with no one interested, which could be a possibility considering how few seats there are, he might be forced to do it. But I will add that I did not think of Le Mans or other racing series beyond Cup, NW, and Indy when I made the retirement being the best option comment.

I have to wonder if he would do well on another team. Like you said "two out of three ain't bad", which we have seen a lot of from the big teams, there is always the odd man out. The past 2 seasons it has been Jeff Gordon at Hendrick, it was Lagano at Gibbs, it has been Carl Edwards and Greg Biffle at Roush recently, a couple years ago it was Jr at Hendrick. All big teams have that one team every year that just spins its wheels it seems. And at this point in his career I have a feeling Montoya would be "That Guy" on any team he joins.

May 8, 2013  08:15 AM ET
QUOTE(#11):

I have a feeling Juan will bring his own sponsorship and be able to walk into a good situation.....Nelson Jr brought his own Paludo also did, hell even Milka Duno did...Look for another Gibbs of Stewart team...

I'm not sure if he would bring his own sponsor with him or not. His entire Cup career he has had 1 major sponsor - Target - which is more a Ganassi sponsor than a Montoya sponsor. Granted I don't know what other endorsements he has backing him up, but as a new sponsor coming into the sport looking at Montoya's accomplishments in the past couple of years there is not much there to justify a big investment I think. Yes his overall career has great accomplishments, but in this ADHD world who cares what happened 10+ years ago. in professional sports that might as well have been the Dark Ages.

May 8, 2013  08:59 PM ET

Thank you Michelle for editing me...It was Richmond not Martinsville where Montoya had a fourth place finish.........I guess I really like that track it is my favorite...lol

 
May 8, 2013  09:22 PM ET
QUOTE(#13):

I'm not sure if he would bring his own sponsor with him or not. His entire Cup career he has had 1 major sponsor - Target - which is more a Ganassi sponsor than a Montoya sponsor. Granted I don't know what other endorsements he has backing him up, but as a new sponsor coming into the sport looking at Montoya's accomplishments in the past couple of years there is not much there to justify a big investment I think. Yes his overall career has great accomplishments, but in this ADHD world who cares what happened 10+ years ago. in professional sports that might as well have been the Dark Ages.

You got to understand the dynamics of sponsorship from other countries, Milka has sponsors from Venezuela, Citgo and their telephone company.. and so does EJ Viso in INDY and F1's Pastor Maldonado, some of the Brazilian have sponsors from the tourism, Montoya has some opportunities with the Columbian coffee industries or the tourism.
He is a name in racing all over the world.....about 3/4 of a million tweeter followers should tell that story...he is a spots hero in Columbia so he sponsorship is viable for one of those companies...

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