I don't understand how everybody seems to be jumping on the Jaguars bandwagon all of a sudden. If history has taught us anything, it's that Jacksonville will find a way to not win the AFC South. The Win Machine in Indianapolis always manages to be a couple of wins better than them.
2007 saw a solidification of the Jags' front seven on D. They arguably fielded one of the most rough-neck squads in the league. But Indy's D was better. They were faster. They filled the gaps better. And they swarmed to the ball every time.
I won't even waste my breath on whose offense is better here. Garrard has been impressive, but he will never be able to win a shootout with Peyton and the boys. The ground game has been known to chew up the clock and put up some big numbers against Indy (MJD and Taylor definitely owned the Colts back in '06); but with the Colts' new look on rush D, they weren't able to put together any kind of respectable effort against the division champs in '07.
People will argue the strength of schedule angle; but for the most part, Indy and Jax have the same schedule. Indy has always had a slightly tougher schedule than the Jaguars. This is because they continue to win the division and get pitted against the Patriots year after year (in Foxboro up until last year). Yet somehow, the Colts always seem to overcome this little obstacle and post a better record than the Jaguars.
Bottom line: the Jags had better come up with a new game plan if they intend to win their first ever AFC South crown. Their current formula isn't hacking it, and the Colts keep finding their number. Until Jacksonville takes the field with something truly noble and revolutionary, I say we give them the respect they deserve-- second best in the AFC South. Wild Card team, who could easily win any of five other divisions in football with ease.
Colts will win their sixth straight division crown. Set your clock to it.