• 09:23 AM ET  07.22
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Editor’s Note: Each Monday, Kerry Whisnant brings you his Whisnant rankings – an objective MLB team ranking using the formula explained below.

Changes from last week:

Series sweeps by the Angels, Brewers and Rockies helped move those teams up in the rankings. A series sweep by the Cardinals didn’t improve their ranking but did drop the Padres into last place. The Braves fell four spots after losing two of three to the Nats. The Royals moved up two places with a series win over the second place White Sox.

The Whisnant rankings through games of Sunday, July 20:

Rank +/- Team Rating O D W L Sch.Str. (Rank)
1   Bos 0.623 5.25 4.03 57 43 0.34 ( 6)
2   ChW 0.613 5.09 4.00 55 42 0.29 ( 9)
3   Oak 0.600 4.34 3.50 51 47 0.28 (11)
4   Tam 0.590 4.70 3.88 57 40 0.39 ( 2)
5 +2 Ana 0.576 4.63 3.93 60 38 0.36 ( 5)
6 -1 ChC 0.575 5.10 4.34 58 40 -0.38 (29)
7 -1 Tor 0.575 4.41 3.76 48 50 0.39 ( 1)
8   NYY 0.565 4.75 4.14 53 45 0.30 (8 )
9   Min 0.560 4.96 4.37 55 43 0.27 (14)
10   Phi 0.547 4.79 4.33 53 46 -0.30 (24)
11   Cle 0.538 4.73 4.36 43 54 0.27 (13)
12   Det 0.534 5.03 4.68 49 49 0.29 (10)
13   Bal 0.525 4.96 4.70 47 50 0.36 ( 4)
14 +1 NYM 0.504 4.73 4.68 53 46 -0.32 (25 )
15 +3 Mil 0.502 4.56 4.54 55 43 -0.26 (22)
16   Tex 0.497 5.78 5.82 51 48 0.33 ( 7)
17   StL 0.493 4.54 4.61 57 43 -0.39 (30)
18 -4 Atl 0.488 4.25 4.35 46 52 -0.34 (27)
19 +2 KCR 0.480 4.38 4.57 45 54 0.36 ( 3)
20 -1 LAD 0.478 3.96 4.14 48 50 -0.30 (23)
21 -1 Ari 0.467 4.29 4.60 48 50 -0.34 (26)
22   Sea 0.459 4.09 4.46 38 60 0.28 (12)
23   Fla 0.445 4.80 5.40 52 46 -0.35 (28)
24   Cin 0.442 4.34 4.92 48 52 -0.10 (15)
25   Hou 0.433 4.15 4.78 46 52 -0.14 (17)
26 +2 Col 0.415 4.40 5.29 43 57 -0.19 (19)
27 -1 Pit 0.411 4.75 5.75 44 54 -0.10 (16)
28 -1 SFG 0.403 3.94 4.85 40 58 -0.18 (18)
29 +1 Was 0.362 3.60 4.86 38 61 -0.22 (20)
30 -1 SDP 0.361 3.63 4.92 37 62 -0.25 (21)

The offense (O) and defense (D) ratings correspond to the average number of runs scored and runs allowed, respectively, teams would expect to have against an average team at a neutral site. A fit is performed to the scores of all major league games to find the O and D values that give the smallest overall quadratic deviation (least-squares error) from the actual game results. The overall rating is the team’s hypothetical won-loss percentage using the O and D ratings in the Pythagenpat formula. The home-field advantage factor is about 0.175 runs per game, and the average number of runs per game is 4.56 (which gives a Pythagenpat exponent of 1.89).

The average ratings by division are (the W/L record is for inter-league games):

Rank Division Rating Sch.Str. W L
1 AL East 0.575 0.36 52 38
2 AL Central 0.545 0.30 58 32
3 AL West 0.533 0.31 39 33
4 NL Central 0.476 -0.23 42 51
5 NL East 0.469 -0.31 34 44
6 NL West 0.425 -0.25 27 54

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