There has been much discussion to whether Tim Tebow will win the prestigous Heisman Award which goes to the "best" College Football player of that season for the second year in a row and I have decided to give an analysis on this preseason issue.
Who is Tim Tebow?
Well for the people who have been living uder a cave for the last two years. Tim Tebow burst on the scene in 2006 as a backup quarterback with running back skills during Florida's National Championship run, he was given the starting job last year as a sophmore and lit up SEC offences, but Florida struggled while Tebow succeeded and they did not qualify for the BCS. tebow won the Heisman over Arkansas running back Darren McFadden, extending Tebows already huge popularity. This year brings great expectations for Florida and Tim Tebow as the team will be a year older and should be a year better.
Reasons Tim Tebow Could Win The Heisman
1. The Spread Offence
Tim Tebow and the Florida Gators run the spread offence which gives him more passes as it is basically all in the shotgun set. There are many teams and quarterbacks who have had sucess with this system. The best examples would be Timmy Chang and Colt Brennan of Hawaii, who rewrote the NCAA and wrecked havoc on WAC offences uder June Jones system. Also Texas Tech has had some success with this system.
2. His Recievers
While to have a succesful spread offence, you need good receivers and Florida has that, especially with another player who burst onto the scene as a freshman during Floridas National Championship run, Percy Harvin, who has been used as a running back as well as WR, but is supposedly going to be used more strictly as a wideout this year, likely giving Tim Tebow more passes and more completions to Harvin. Also a new crop of young recievers will be returning for a second year in the NCAA and should be ready to make a huge impact. In conclusion Tebows recievers should be able to make big plays this fall.
3. His Athletic Ability
Tebow is basically the improvement of Mike Vick, he can run, pass, and I am pretty sure if called upon he could line up at WR. He will run over the SEC and will win his team some games with his legs alone, his athletic ability leads to more appearances on the highlight reels which will give him more exposure to the writers who vote for this award, expect to see more of the Tebow that everyone has grown to love.
4. Floridas Chances At The National Championship
Last yera the Gators did not really have a team that could contend for the National Championship and that was the only real flaw for Tebow on his Heisman criteria. This year with Floridas prized recruiting crop of the 06 offseason coming to age and getting ready to make some plays on Saturdays, the Gators look like Title contenders in the SEC(more on that later) and for the BCS title. If the Gators win often thaqt will increase Tebows chances in a huge way.
Wrap up for reasons he could win
Tebow is a rare breed of football player that only comes up once in a generation if he continues to play at the pace he has set, he will go down as the greatest quarterback in NCAA history. If he plays his cards right he SHOULD win the Heisman trophy in December.
Reason Tebow Cpould Lose The Heisman
1. The SEC
The SEC is the toughest conference ever assembled in college football, LSU, Georgia, Tennessee are also contenders for the SEC title and almost every team in the SEC has a fast and hard-hitting defence. If Florida can make it out alive without a conference loss I will be suprised as they do have a very tough task in Tennessee on September 20th in Knoxville that will be their first real test. It looks like Tebows stats might be going down this year.
2. The Fact He Won Last Year(The Steve Nash Effect) and The Contenders
This is what I call the Steve Nash effect, when a player who has better stats and is obviously more important to their team or is the hands down best player in the league loses because the writers want to give it to someone who hasn't won it before, this is extremely popular in College Football as most Heisman winners do not stick in the pors for long for a variety of reasons to long to be mentioned here. Contenders that could win are: Crabtree or Harrell from Texas Tech, Knowshon Moreno of Georgia, and Pat White of West Virginia all look like contenders for the Heisman and could beat Tebow out with the he hasn't won before angle.
3. Too Much Game Film
Tebow burst onto the scene last year and there wasn't much material for opposing teams to scout, now they have an entire season of film to decipher to figure out, I am not going to use the sophmore jinx as an example, but it is possible that teams will figure out how to slow him down, but i do not see Tebow getting shut down in college football.
Last time I checked there was only one two-time Heisman trophy winner and that was Ohio State legend Archie Griffin, for reason that I listed and many others it seems that it is one of the hardest feat in football to win two straight Heismans, Tebow might be the one to do it, but he has an uphill battle and has many factors besides other players and defences going against him.
I say that Tebow will not win the Heisman because he has won it before and Pat White and Michael Crabtree seem to have an easier schedule and path to the Heisman and I truly believe that the voting is based on who deserves it the most, not who is the best player and it is sad. Tebow will likely be the best player in college football, but he will not repeat as the Heisman trophy winner.