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Also see:

Benchmark Conference Comparison Part 1 - SEC

Benchmark Conference Comparison Part 2 - Big East

Benchmark Conference Comparison Part 4 - ACC

Benchmark Conference Comparison Part 5 - Big 12

Benchmark Conference Comparison Part 6 - Big 10

Benchmark Conference Comparison Finale - Summary, Who's Best

Brief Overview

This is an apples to apples comparison between the major 6 conferences.  If this is your 1st time perusing this series, you will find a detailed description of how the comparison was made in Part 1 and Part 2 (link above)

PAC 10 vs. SEC Recap

See part 1 for details.

Of the 13 games played in the past 6 years, there was only 1 higher loss and 1 lower win, both occurring in the Tennessee vs. Cal games, otherwise the games have followed the rankings.  Most of the match ups have not been played by nearly equally ranked teams

PAC 10 vs. Big East Recap

See part 2 for details.

I usually only evaluate the Big East since 2005.  With a 50% change in membership between 2003 and 2005, earlier results can be considered insignificant.

The conferences have played 5 games in 3 years - not much to say given the low sampling except that they are playing each other about even.

The Benchmark by Year

 

Yearly Results

Even

Higher

Lower

Total

Benchmark

vs.

W

L

W

L

W

L

W

L

W

L

BM

2007

2

-0

4

-2

2

-2

8

-4

7

-5

1

2006

1

-0

7

-2

1

-3

9

-5

9.5

-4.5

-0.5

2005

0

-1

4

-1

2

-3

6

-5

5.5

-5.5

0.5

2004

2

-0

3

-3

1

-4

6

-7

7

-6

-1

2003

1

-0

9

-2

1

-6

11

-8

11.5

-7.5

-0.5

2002

3

-4

5

-3

0

-6

8

-13

11.5

-9.5

-3.5

 

Cumulative results to 2007

2007

2

-0

4

-2

2

-2

8

-4

7

-5

1

2006

3

-0

11

-4

3

-5

17

-9

16.5

-9.5

0.5

2005

3

-1

15

-5

5

-8

23

-14

22

-15

1

2004

5

-1

18

-8

6

-12

29

-21

29

-21

0

2003

6

-1

27

-10

7

-18

40

-29

40.5

-28.5

-0.5

2002

9

-5

32

-13

7

-24

48

-42

52

-38

-4

 

64.3%

71.1%

22.6%

53.3%

57.8%

 

2002 was not a good year for the PAC 10, finishing 3-1/2 games below the benchmark.  I do not know a lot of details about what was happening in the PAC 10 at that time, nor do I really care what happened in 2002 (though if someone has some details I will insert it with credits).

Since 2002 the PAC 10 has finished about even against the benchmark by year and accumulated record, finishing within 1 game of the Benchmark every year in both categories.

PAC 10 vs. ACC

 

ACC by year

Even

Higher

Lower

Total

Benchmark

vs.

W

L

W

L

W

L

W

L

W

L

BM

2007

0

-0

1

-0

0

-0

1

0

1

-0

0

2006

0

-0

0

-1

0

-0

0

-1

1

-0

-1

2005

0

-0

0

-0

0

-0

0

-0

0

-0

0

2004

1

-0

0

-0

0

-0

1

-0

0.5

-0.5

0.5

2003

0

-0

1

-0

0

-0

1

-0

1

-0

0

2002

0

-1

0

-1

0

-0

0

-2

1.5

-0.5

-1.5

 

ACC Cumulative from 2007

2007

0

-0

1

-0

0

-0

1

-0

1

-0

0

2006

0

-0

1

-1

0

-0

1

-1

2

-0

-1

2005

0

-0

1

-1

0

-0

1

-1

2

-0

-1

2004

1

-0

1

-1

0

-0

2

-1

2.5

-0.5

-0.5

2003

1

-0

2

-1

0

-0

3

-1

3.5

-0.5

-0.5

2002

1

-1

2

-2

0

-0

3

-3

5

-1

-2

 

50.0%

50.0%

0.0%

50.0%

83.3%

 

These conferences almost never play each other, facing off only 6 times in 6 years.  The low sampling makes any comparison useless.

PAC 10 vs. Big 12

 

Big 12 by year

Even

Higher

Lower

Total

Benchmark

vs.

W

L

W

L

W

L

W

L

W

L

BM

2007

0

-0

2

-1

0

-0

2

-1

3

0

-1

2006

1

-0

4

-0

1

-1

6

-1

4.5

-2.5

1.5

2005

0

-1

1

-1

0

-0

1

-2

2.5

-0.5

-1.5

2004

1

-0

0

-2

0

-2

1

-4

2.5

-2.5

-1.5

2003

0

-0

2

-1

0

-2

2

-3

3

-2

-1

2002

1

-2

2

-2

0

-1

3

-5

5.5

-2.5

-2.5

 

Big 12 Cumulative from 2007

2007

0

-0

2

-1

0

-0

2

-1

3

-0

-1

2006

1

-0

6

-1

1

-1

8

-2

7.5

-2.5

0.5

2005

1

-1

7

-2

1

-1

9

-4

10

-3

-1

2004

2

-1

7

-4

1

-3

10

-8

12.5

-5.5

-2.5

2003

2

-1

9

-5

1

-5

12

-11

15.5

-7.5

-3.5

2002

3

-3

11

-7

1

-6

15

-16

21

-10

-6

 

50.0%

61.1%

14.3%

48.4%

67.7%

 

The Big 12 is tied as the most common opponents among the major 5 conferences for the PAC 10, with 31 games over 6 years.

Even if you negate the 2002 season, the PAC 10 has had a terrible time against the Big 12, finishing with both a yearly and cumulative negative record against the benchmark for every year except 2006.  Against the Big 12 they are below the average for all conferences for higher and lower wins, and at the average for even wins.  It is also the only conference they have a cumulative loosing record against.

The even and higher losses include 5 teams from the PAC 10 ranked from conference 1st to 3rd (7 teams from 1st to 7th if you include 2002), and 6 teams from the Big 12 ranked from conference 1st to division 5th (7 teams if you include 2002).

It would not be true that the Big 12 is playing a division or even a conference rank better against the PAC 10 as was the case between the SEC West over the Big 12 (as this would reverse the benchmark results).  It is true that the Big 12 is consistently playing above their conference rank against the PAC 10.

PAC 10 vs. Big 10

 

Big 10 by year

Even

Higher

Lower

Total

Benchmark

vs.

W

L

W

L

W

L

W

L

W

L

BM

2007

0

-0

1

-0

1

-2

2

-2

1

-3

1

2006

0

-0

2

-0

0

-0

2

-0

2

-0

0

2005

0

-0

2

-0

1

-1

3

-1

2

-2

1

2004

0

-0

3

-1

1

-1

4

-2

4

-2

0

2003

1

-0

3

-1

1

-3

5

-4

4.5

-4.5

0.5

2002

1

-1

1

-0

0

-3

2

-4

2

-4

0

 

Big 10 Cumulative from 2007

2007

0

-0

1

-0

1

-2

2

-2

1

-3

1

2006

0

-0

3

-0

1

-2

4

-2

3

-3

1

2005

0

-0

5

-0

2

-3

7

-3

5

-5

2

2004

0

-0

8

-1

3

-4

11

-5

9

-7

2

2003

1

-0

11

-2

4

-7

16

-9

13.5

-11.5

2.5

2002

2

-1

12

-2

4

-10

18

-13

15.5

-15.5

2.5

 

66.7%

85.7%

28.6%

58.1%

50.0%

 

The Big 10 is the other major conference competitor of the PAC 10 with 31 games over the last 6 years, though the historic significance of the match ups have lost their significance in the BCS era.  It is also the best performance by the PAC 10 against the Benchmark.

I would never be one to berate my rival (tSUN) nor am I prone to point towards 1 team as the difference in benchmark performance (Wolverines), but when 1 team compiles a horrible overall record (1-4) as well as a horrible benchmark record (-2.5) it has to be noted.

Against Michigan the PAC 10 has looked awesome.  Against the rest of the Big 10 the conferences have played even - when evenly ranked the PAC 10 is even, when the higher team they are 12-2, when the lower team they are 2-9.

Benchmark by Conference Ranking

Conf.

Even

Higher

Lower

Total

Benchmark

vs.

Rank

W

L

W

L

W

L

W

L

W

L

BM

1.1

3

-3

7

-0

0

-0

10

-3

10

-3

0

2.1

2

-0

6

-5

0

-0

8

-5

12

-1

-4

3.1

1

-1

6

-4

2

-0

9

-5

11

-3

-2

4.1

0

-0

5

-1

0

-2

5

-3

6

-2

-1

5.1

1

-0

3

-2

2

-2

6

-4

5.5

-4.5

0.5

6.1

0

-0

2

-1

2

-5

4

-6

3

-7

1

7.1

1

-0

0

-0

1

-4

2

-4

0.5

-5.5

1.5

8.1

0

-1

2

-0

0

-4

2

-5

2.5

-4.5

-0.5

9.1

0

-0

1

-0

0

-3

1

-3

1

-3

0

10.1

1

-0

0

-0

0

-4

1

-4

0.5

-4.5

0.5

Most of the higher losses of the conference 2nd and 3rd place teams can be tracked to the games against the big 12.  Otherwise, most of the conference ranks have played about even.

Benchmark by Team

rank-team

Even

Higher

Lower

Total

Benchmark

vs.

W

L

W

L

W

L

W

L

W

L

BM

1

USC

5

-1

8

-1

0

-0

13

-2

12

-3

1

4

California

0

-0

7

-2

1

-1

8

-3

9

-2

-1

4

UCLA

0

-0

5

-3

0

-2

5

-5

8

-2

-3

5

ASU

0

-1

5

-3

3

-2

8

-6

8.5

-5.5

-0.5

5

Oregon

1

-1

2

-3

3

-1

6

-5

6

-5

0

5

Or State

2

-0

1

-1

0

-3

3

-4

3

-4

0

6

WSU

0

-2

3

-0

0

-3

3

-5

4

-4

-1

8

Arizona

0

-0

0

-0

0

-6

0

-6

0

-6

0

8

Stanford

0

-0

0

-0

0

-1

0

-1

0

-1

0

9

Washington

1

-0

1

-0

0

-5

2

-5

1.5

-5.5

0.5

Most of the teams have played approx. even against the benchmark, the notable exception being UCLA.  Also of interest is Oregon, whose record when the higher team is as bad as their record when the lower teams is good, courtesy of 2 lower wins against Michigan and 1 against Oklahoma.

A Look Inside the PAC 10 - Average Ranking

Washington State has had the largest transition from 1st to 8th.  The top 3 teams (USC, Cal, UCLA) finish in the top half of the conference 94% of the time.  The 3 lowest teams (Washington, Stanford, Arizona) finish in the bottom half of the conference over 94% of the time.  The remaining 3 teams finish in the middle 60% of the conference over 83% of the time.  It may not be accurate to say the conference is all USC, but it would be accurate to say the conference is not dynamic in its rankings.

Sampling

The PAC 10 averaged just 9games against the other major 6 conferences, tied for last among the major 6 conferences.  This is why, despite having a nearly even benchmark record and an incredible overall record the last 5 years of 40-29, they still find themselves somewhat overlooked by the rest of the country.

Discrepancy With Common Opinions

Why the deviation from common opinion?  See Part 2 of the series.

 

In Part 4 we will take a detailed look at the ACC.

 

Friendly Reminder

This is a Prove It blog, not a bastion of free speech.  As a courtesy to my 6 readers, leave an idiot comment and I will zap it or trash you with facts as the mood hits - either way, at best you're wasting your time, at worse you are stepping on an uneven field.

 

Thanks for reading.

 

Calculations and Games

Details of the calculation of conference ranking are at the bottom of Part 1

Below are the PAC10 games over the last 6 years.  Not included are the games against the Big East (listed in part 2).

If you find a mistake, please let me know.  (with approx. 380 conference teams-years ranks and 670 games I suspect I made at least 1 mistake)

2007confrankteam rankteamconf32Or Statebeat5MarylandACC2.12.1ASUbeat3ColoradoB121.11.1USCbeat5NebraskaB122.11ASUlost2TexasB1274Californiabeat2.1TennesseeSEC1.11.1USCbeat3.1IllinoisTEN55.1Oregonbeat2.1MichiganTEN1011.1Washingtonlost1.1OSUTEN89.1WSUlost4.1WisconsinTEN200643UCLAlost5FSUACC32Or Statebeat2MissouriB1285WSUbeat6BaylorB1264ASUbeat5ColoradoB121.11.1USCbeat2.1NebraskaB122.12.1Californiabeat3TA&MB1253Oregonbeat1.1OklahomaB1296Washingtonlost1.1OklahomaB121.11.1USCbeat2.1ArkansasSEC2.11Californialost2TennesseeSEC85WSUlost2AuburnSEC74Arizonalost3LSUSEC1.11.1USCbeat2.1MichiganTEN2.12.1Californiabeat6.1MinnesotaTEN20051.11.1USClost1.1TexasB122.12.1Oregonlost3OklahomaB1232UCLAbeat3OklahomaB121.11.1USCbeat4ArkansasSEC64ASUlost2.1LSUSEC44.1Californiabeat11.1IllinoisTEN33.1UCLAbeat4.1NorthwesternTEN67.1ASUbeat4.1NorthwesternTEN89.1Arizonalost8.1PurdueTEN20041.11.1USCbeat1.1VTACC1.11.1USCbeat1.1OklahomaB1253UCLAlost5Ok StB122.12.1Californialost4TTB1274WSUlost2.1ColoradoB1264Oregonlost1.1OklahomaB1243Or Statelost2LSUSEC55.1UCLAbeat10.1IllinoisTEN67.1Oregonlost11.1IndianaTEN33.1ASUbeat4.1NorthwesternTEN33.1ASUbeat5.1PurdueTEN33.1ASUbeat2.1IowaTEN89.1Arizonalost3.1WisconsinTEN200399ASUbeat10N CarolinaACC53UCLAlost4ColoradoB122.12.1WSUbeat4ColoradoB122.11WSUbeat2TexasB1243Californialost1.1KSUB1253UCLAlost2.1OklahomaB121.11.1USCbeat3AuburnSEC32Oregonbeat6Miss StateSEC105Arizonalost1.1LSUSEC1.11.1USCbeat1.1MichiganTEN44.1Californiabeat11.1IllinoisTEN55.1UCLAbeat11.1IllinoisTEN67.1Washingtonbeat10.1IndianaTEN33.1Oregonlost4.1MinnesotaTEN910.1ASUlost6.1IowaTEN33.1Oregonbeat1.1MichiganTEN67.1Washingtonlost2.1OSUTEN1011.1Arizonalost3.1PurdueTEN200233ASUlost9N CarolinaACC88Oregonlost8WFACC2.12.1USCbeat2.1ColoradoB1232ASUlost2KSUB121.11.1WSUlost1.1OklahomaB1243Californiabeat6BaylorB122.11USClost2KSUB1232ASUlost4NebraskaB1253UCLAbeat4Ok StB1253UCLAlost2.1ColoradoB122.12.1USCbeat3AuburnSEC85Oregonbeat6Miss StateSEC2.12.1USCbeat2.1IowaTEN1.11.1WSUlost1.1OSUTEN44.1Californiabeat9.1MSUTEN67.1Washingtonlost3.1MichiganTEN67.1Washingtonlost6.1PurdueTEN1011.1Arizonalost8.1WisconsinTEN

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