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Also see:

Benchmark Conference Comparison Part 1 - SEC

Benchmark Conference Comparison Part 2 - Big East

Benchmark Conference Comparison Part 3 - PAC 10

Benchmark Conference Comparison Part 5 - Big 12

Benchmark Conference Comparison Part 6 - Big 10

Benchmark Conference Comparison Finale - Summary, Who's Best

Brief Overview

This is an apples to apples comparison between the major 6 conferences.  If this is your 1st time perusing this series, you will find a detailed description of how the comparison was made in Part 1 and Part 2 (link above)

The Benchmark by Year

 

Yearly Results

Even

Higher

Lower

Total

Benchmark

vs.

W

L

W

L

W

L

W

L

W

L

BM

2007

1

-3

5

-4

5

-8

11

-15

11

-15

0

2006

1

-3

4

-4

1

-7

6

-14

10

-10

-4

2005

2

-2

5

-1

6

-6

13

-9

8

-14

5

2004

2

-2

6

-1

3

-6

11

-9

9

-11

2

2003

3

-2

6

-1

4

-9

13

-12

9.5

-15.5

3.5

2002

3

-3

6

-2

4

-4

13

-9

11

-11

2

 

Cumulative results to 2007

2007

1

-3

5

-4

5

-8

11

-15

11

-15

0

2006

2

-6

9

-8

6

-15

17

-29

21

-25

-4

2005

4

-8

14

-9

12

-21

30

-38

29

-39

1

2004

6

-10

20

-10

15

-27

41

-47

38

-50

3

2003

9

-12

26

-11

19

-36

54

-59

47.5

-65.5

6.5

2002

12

-15

32

-13

23

-40

67

-68

58.5

-76.5

8.5

 

44.4%

71.1%

36.5%

49.6%

43.3%

 

You can't speak of the ACC without looking at the startling difference of the record from 2005 and earlier as compared to the last 2 years.  In 2005 and earlier they had an overall record of 50-39 and were an incredible 12-1/2 games above their benchmark.  In 2005 sportswriters were all but ready to officially make the ACC title game a qualifier to the NC game (an enthusiasm well founded).

In the last 2 years the ACC has an overall record of 17-29 against the major 6 conferences, are 4 games below the benchmark, and have posted a series of BCS losses.

The reasons are readily apparent - the conference's 2 powerhouses, FSU and Miami, have each finished 5th and 6th in their division the last 2 years facing lingering and frustrating problems on and off the field.

The conference did not have other teams ready to fill the chasm.  The 2007 champion was pummeled by the SEC champion, then posted another loss to Big 12 division #2 team, while the conference 2nd place team posted a closely contested 3 point win over the Big 10 8th place team in their only game against the other major conferences.  In 2006 the top 2 teams went 3-3, with all 3 wins coming against 4th thru 8th place Big East teams.

The result is the 2nd worse cumulative record against the benchmark of the conferences over the last 2 years, and it could have been much worse - in a single game (many would say single play) Connecticut upset USF shuffling the Big East standings, giving the ACC 2 lower wins against the benchmark rather than an even and higher win.  Had USF prevailed, the ACC record against their benchmark would have been as bad the last 2 years as it was good the 4 years prior.

The saving grace for the reputation of the conference is that while the downfall of FSU and Miami are well known, the woes of the rest of the conference have been kept relatively quiet.  35 of their 46 games against the other major conferences were against the SEC and Big East limiting their geographic exposure.  Outside the region most of their losses have been mismatches, while they have accumulated some even and upset wins.

ACC vs. SEC Recap

See part 1 for details.

Prior to 2006 the conferences played dead even.  Proximity had made for some of the best inter conference rivalries in the country.  In the last 2 years the ACC has been dismal against the SEC, with a combined 6 games below the benchmark.

ACC vs. Big East Recap

See part 2 for details.

I usually only evaluate the Big East since 2005.  With a 50% change in membership between 2003 and 2005, earlier results can be considered insignificant.

The Big East is the ACCs most common opponent among the major 6 conferences.  If the USF upset noted above, the conferences would be even against the benchmark over the last 3 years.

ACC vs. PAC 10 Recap

See part 3 for details.

These conferences almost never play each other, facing off only 6 times in 6 years.  The low sampling makes any comparison useless.

ACC vs. Big 12

 

Big 12 by Year

Even

Higher

Lower

Total

Benchmark

vs.

W

L

W

L

W

L

W

L

W

L

BM

2007

0

-0

0

-3

2

-1

2

-4

3

-3

-1

2006

0

-0

0

-0

0

-0

0

-0

0

-0

0

2005

0

-0

1

-0

2

-1

3

-1

1

-3

2

2004

0

-0

0

-0

0

-1

0

-1

0

-1

0

2003

0

-0

3

-0

0

-0

3

-0

3

-0

0

2002

1

-1

1

-0

0

-1

2

-2

2

-2

0

 

Cumulative to 2007

2007

0

-0

0

-3

2

-1

2

-4

3

-3

-1

2006

0

-0

0

-3

2

-1

2

-4

3

-3

-1

2005

0

-0

1

-3

4

-2

5

-5

4

-6

1

2004

0

-0

1

-3

4

-3

5

-6

4

-7

1

2003

0

-0

4

-3

4

-3

8

-6

7

-7

1

2002

1

-1

5

-3

4

-4

10

-8

9

-9

1

 

50.0%

62.5%

50.0%

55.6%

50.0%

 

The conferences play each other sporadically.  They have played approx. even in their match ups.

ACC vs. Big 10

 

Big 10 by year

Even

Higher

Lower

Total

Benchmark

vs.

W

L

W

L

W

L

W

L

W

L

BM

2007

0

-0

1

-0

1

-0

2

-0

1

-1

1

2006

1

-0

0

-0

0

-0

1

-0

0.5

-0.5

0.5

2005

0

-2

0

-0

1

-0

1

-2

1

-2

0

2004

0

-0

0

-0

0

-1

0

-1

0

-1

0

2003

0

-0

0

-0

0

-4

0

-4

0

-4

0

2002

0

-0

0

-1

1

-1

1

-2

1

-2

0

 

Cumulative to 2007

2007

0

-0

1

-0

1

-0

2

-0

1

-1

1

2006

1

-0

1

-0

1

-0

3

-0

1.5

-1.5

1.5

2005

1

-2

1

-0

2

-0

4

-2

2.5

-3.5

1.5

2004

1

-2

1

-0

2

-1

4

-3

2.5

-4.5

1.5

2003

1

-2

1

-0

2

-5

4

-7

2.5

-8.5

1.5

2002

1

-2

1

-1

3

-6

5

-9

3.5

-10.5

1.5

 

33.3%

50.0%

33.3%

35.7%

25.0%

 

The conferences don't meet often.  When they do meet they have played approx. even.

Benchmark Shortcoming

Of note in the ACC vs. Big 10 results is a fault of the benchmark system (and a hint to the summary to come in a later blog).

While the ACC has a positive benchmark, approx. 2/3 of the teams have been lower than their Big Ten opponent.

The ACC has played the Big 20 worse than the average for all conferences when the teams are even or the ACC team is higher.  The ACC has played about average when the lower team.

A higher percentage of games played by lower teams have allowed the ACC to accumulate a positive benchmark even though their performance has been below average.

Benchmark by Conference Ranking

Div.

Even

Higher

Lower

Total

Benchmark

vs.

rank

W

L

W

L

W

L

W

L

W

L

BM

1.1

0

-9

9

-2

0

0

9

-11

15.5

-4.5

-6.5

2.1

5

-1

3

-4

1

0

9

-5

10

-4

-1

2

1

-1

8

-2

4

-2

13

-5

11

-7

2

3

2

-1

6

-3

6

-6

14

-10

10.5

-13.5

3.5

4

2

-2

4

-2

3

-8

9

-12

8

-13

1

5

2

0

2

0

5

-12

9

-12

3

-18

6

6

1

-1

0

0

3

-12

4

-13

1

-16

3

The conference champion has not done well, primarily a result of poor performances in the BCS.

The rest of the teams have performed typical.  It is common for the teams at the top to have a poor benchmark record because of the system - they are the lower team few times negating opportunities to improve their benchmark.  The opposite holds true for the bottom of the conference.

Benchmark by Team

average

Even

Higher

Lower

Total

Benchmark

vs.

rank-team

W

L

W

L

W

L

W

L

W

L

BM

2

VT

1

-3

2

-2

1

-0

4

-5

6

-3

-2

2

BC

0

-0

1

-0

0

-0

1

-0

1

-0

0

2

FSU

1

-5

7

-3

2

-2

10

-10

13

-7

-3

3

Virginia

1

-0

4

-5

5

-0

10

-5

9.5

-5.5

0.5

3

Clemson

2

-2

4

-1

2

-4

8

-7

7

-8

1

3

Ga Tech

0

-1

4

-1

3

-5

7

-7

5.5

-8.5

1.5

3

Miami

0

-0

2

-0

2

-3

4

-3

2

-5

2

4

Maryland

4

-0

2

-0

1

-5

7

-5

4

-8

3

4

WF

1

-1

4

-1

4

-3

9

-5

6

-8

3

5

NC State

2

-0

2

-0

0

-3

4

-3

3

-4

1

5

N Carolina

1

-2

0

-0

1

-9

2

-11

1.5

-11.5

0.5

6

Duke

0

-1

0

-0

1

-6

1

-7

0.5

-7.5

0.5

Note: The average conference ranking is based on a division conference.  In the years the ACC had fewer than 12 teams, their finish was compared to a division finish, the same as was used to determine the benchmark.

The addition of VT, BC, and Miami has not transformed the conference as expected.  It will take time to determine if this is a temporary anomaly or an adjustment in the conference's structure.

A Look Inside the ACC - Average Ranking

The top 3 teams have finished in the top third of the conference 85% of the time.  The bottom 3 teams have finished in the bottom half of the conference 83% of the time.  The next 2 best teams have finished in the top half of the conference 75% of the time.  As a whole, the conference is not dynamic, though 7 of the 12 teams have finished in the top 2 at least once.

Sampling

The ACC members average over 2 games a year against the other major conferences, 2nd only to the Big East (whose higher average can be traced to playing 1 less conference game).

However, 72% of the games against the other major conferences have been played against the SEC and Big East, making noticeable comparisons to the other 4 conferences difficult at best.

Discrepancy With Common Opinions

Why the deviation from common opinion?  See Part 2 of the series.

 

In Part 5 we will take a detailed look at the Big 12.

 

Friendly Reminder

This is a Prove It blog, not a bastion of free speech.  As a courtesy to my 6 readers, leave an idiot comment and I will zap it or trash you with facts as the mood hits - either way, at best you're wasting your time, at worse you are stepping on an uneven field.

 

Thanks for reading.

 

Calculations and Games

Details of the calculation of conference ranking are at the bottom of Part 1

Below are the ACC games over the last 6 years against the SEC, Big10 and the Big 12.  Other games against the Big East and PAC 10 are listed in parts 2 and 3.

If you find a mistake, please let me know.  (with approx. 380 conference teams-years ranks and 670 games I suspect I made at least 1 mistake)

2007confrankteamrankteamconf1.11.1VTlost2KansasB1233WFlost5NebraskaB1222Virginialost3TTB1244FSUbeat3ColoradoB1255Miamilost1.1OklahomaB1255Miamibeat4TA&MB1222Clemsonlost2AuburnSEC1.11.1VTlost1.1LSUSEC44N Carolinalost4SCSEC44FSUbeat5AlabamaSEC44FSUlost5KentuckySEC22Clemsonbeat4SCSEC33WFbeat6VanderbiltSEC44FSUlost3FloridaSEC33Ga Techlost2GeorgiaSEC2.12.1BCbeat5MSUTen66Dukebeat4NorthwesternTen200666Dukelost6VanderbiltSEC2.12.1Ga Techlost4GeorgiaSEC22VTlost4GeorgiaSEC1.11.1WFbeat5MississippiSEC44Clemsonlost5SCSEC66Dukelost4AlabamaSEC55FSUlost1.1FloridaSEC44Clemsonlost3KentuckySEC33Marylandbeat3PurdueTen200533Clemsonbeat4TA&MB1233Clemsonbeat2.1ColoradoB1222Miamibeat1ColoradoB1256WFlost3NebraskaB121.11.1FSUlost3FloridaSEC33Ga Techbeat2AuburnSEC33Ga Techlost1.1GeorgiaSEC22Miamilost1LSUSEC33Clemsonbeat2SCSEC56WFlost4VanderbiltSEC1.11.1FSUlost1.1PSUTen44N Carolinalost4WiscTen55Virginiabeat4MinnesotaTen200444Clemsonlost3TA&MB121.11.1VTlost1.1AuburnSEC44Clemsonbeat4SCSEC2.12.1FSUlost3FloridaSEC22Miamibeat3FloridaSEC44Ga Techlost2GeorgiaSEC58.1NC Statelost1.1OSUTen20031.11.1FSUbeat4ColoradoB1233NC Statebeat5KansasB1233NC Statebeat4TTB1222Clemsonbeat2TennesseeSEC1.11.1FSUbeat3FloridaSEC22Clemsonbeat4SCSEC33Virginialost4SCSEC44Ga Techbeat5VanderbiltSEC44Ga Techbeat3AuburnSEC22Clemsonlost1GeorgiaSEC44Ga Techlost2.1GeorgiaSEC66Dukelost2TennesseeSEC610.1Dukelost7.1NorthwesternTen35.1NC Statelost2.1OSUTen59.1WFlost3.1PurdueTen611.1N Carolinalost8.1WiscTen200233Clemsonlost3TTB1233NC Statebeat3TTB121.11.1FSUbeat3ISB1266N Carolinalost2TexasB121.11.1FSUlost1.1GeorgiaSEC1.11.1FSUbeat2FloridaSEC33Clemsonbeat4SCSEC2.12.1Virginiabeat4SCSEC22Marylandbeat3TennesseeSEC44Ga Techbeat6VanderbiltSEC33Clemsonlost1.1GeorgiaSEC44Ga Techlost1.1GeorgiaSEC2.12.1Virginialost4.1PSUTen611.1Dukelost10.1NorthwesternTen59.1WFbeat4.1PurdueTen

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