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Last week: 5-9-1

Overall: 14-15-1

5 star picks: 1-1

The lines I'm using are from here

home teams in caps

ATLANTA (-5.5) over Kansas City

Final: Atlanta 38, Kansas City 14

I normally don't like picking rookie QBs and I'm not a big fan of the Falcons.  However, the Chiefs are starting Tyler Thigpen at QB.  Who is Tyler Thigpen, you ask?  Exactly.  I expect Atlanta to win this one by 10 or so.

5 star pick: Cleveland (+2.5) over BALTIMORE

Final: Baltimore 28, Cleveland 10

I think Cleveland is being underrated at the moment.  Sure they're 0-2, but that have played the best teams in each conference.  I REALLY don't like Joe Flacco.  I think Cleveland wins this one by double digits.

BUFFALO (-9.5) over Oakland

Final: Buffalo 24, Oakland 23

I'm done picking against Buffalo.  They're better than I expected.  Good enough to make the playoffs?  I doubt it.  Good enough to beat Oakland by 10+?  I say yes.

Tampa Bay (+3) over CHICAGO

Final: Tampa Bay 27, Chicago 24

While both of these teams have very good defenses, the Bucs have a definite advantage on offense.  People are raving about Matt Forte and I don't understand why.  Forte had a 50 yard TD run against the Colts, here's what he's done outside of that:

45 rushes, 165 yards, 3.7 ypc, 0 TD

Not very impressive.  I say the Bucs win this one outright.

Dallas (-3) over GREEN BAY

Final: Dallas 27, Green Bay 16

While I like Green Bay this year, Dallas is the best team in the NFL.  If this game were played two months from now on the frozen tundra, my prognostication might be different, but Dallas's high powered offense will be at full force for this one. The Cowboys win this one by at least a TD.

DENVER (-5.5) over New Orleans

Final: Denver 34, New Orleans 32

Jay Cutler will be the clear frontrunner for the MVP after he shreds New Orleans' pass "defense".  The Broncos take this by double digits.

INDIANAPOLIS (-5.5) over Jacksonville

Final: Jacksonville 23, Indianapolis 21

Jacksonville has not looked good so far this season.  Garrard looks nothing like the master of efficiency he was before.  Indianapolis is still the king of the AFC South.  I think they prove that by winning this by at least a TD.

Carolina (+3.5) over MINNESOTA

Final: Minnesota 20, Carolina 10

Gus Ferotte?  Seriously?  Anyways, Steve Smith will go OFF.  Minnesota is awful against the pass, look for that to be exploited all game long.  I expect Delhomme to have over 300 yards passing and Steve Smith to have about half of those yards.  The Panthers win this by about a TD.

Miami (+12.5) over NEW ENGLAND

Final: Miami 38, New England 13

I think New England will win the game, but in the Matt Cassel era, a 12.5 spread is a bit silly.  Miami looked solid against the Jets and I think they're improved enough to stay in this game.  I say New England wins it by 10 or less.

Cincinnati (+13.5) over NEW YORK GIANTS

Final: New York Giants 26, Cincinnati 23

This is a similar situation to the Miami - New England game.  I agree that the Giants will win the game, but by 10 or less.  It's time for Ocho Cinco to step up.

Pittsburgh (+3.5) over PHILADELPHIA

Final: Philadelphia 15, Pittsburgh 6

I think this will be the game of the weeks.  I see this as a game that will be very close, with whoever wins the game winning by 3 or less.  As an Eagles fan, I hope the Eagles win, but I know this will be close so I'm taking Pittsburgh with the points.

SAN FRANCISCO (-4) over Detroit

Final: San Francisco 31, Detroit 13

Detroit has been a major disappointment this year.  The 49ers might actually make it to .500 this year.  Not a lot of teams can say they beat Seattle at Qwest Field.  I say San Fran wins this by at least a TD.

SEATTLE (-9.5) over St. Louis

Final: Seattle 37, St. Louis 13

Seattle has been a major disappointment so far.  I expected them to start out 2-0, but now they're 0-2.  However, the Rams might be the worst team in the NFL and Seattle is was great at home.  I say they put themselves firmly back into the race for the NFC West title by winning this by double digits.

Houston (+5) over TENNESSEE

Final: Tennessee 31, Houston 12

I like Houston this year and I really don't like Kerry Collins.  I expect Super Mario to make Collins wish Vince Young was still the starter by sacking him at least once and bringing consistent pressure.  I say this game is decided by 4 or less, either way.

Arizona (+3) over WASHINGTON

Final: Washington 24, Arizona 17

I'm surprised we haven't heard from Drew Rosenhaus in more than 17 seconds.  Anyways, I really like Kurt Warner and this Arizona offense.  I say they beat Washington in a close game to establish themselves as legitimate playoff contenders for the first time in years.

New York Jets (+9) over SAN DIEGO

Final: San Diego 48, New York Jets 25

I really like the Jets this year.  Darrelle Revis is establishing himself as one of the best corners in football.  Against Miami, he held Ted Ginn to 2 catches for 17 yards.  Against the Pats, he held the great Randy Moss to 2 catches for 22 yards.  If you've got Chris Chambers on your fantasy team, don't start him.  I say the Chargers win it, but by a TD or less.

Look upon my picks, ye mighty, and despair!