Once again, not a power-packed week in the SEC. However, last week showed that every week can be a very interesting week in this conference.
Last week I was 6 and 1 on my picks, bringing my season (only a two week season as I was not making picks in earlier weeks) total to 13-2. I missed the Ole Miss win, but then again I don't know of anyone that hit that one. But even in the loss, I did say that the Gators secondary would get tested. Of course I didn't know that they would also get toasted. Or that Ole Miss's defense would shut down the Gator attack.
But that is why they go ahead and play them out every week regardless of predictions.
OK, on to this week. Again, I will be listing the games in order of game time.
FLORIDA at ARKANSAS. Ouch, a pissed-off and highly motivated Gator is going to roll into Arkansas and feast on some pig. I don't think this one is going to be very pretty. Florida is stinging from having their offense smacked last week and they are going to be out to prove a point against a young and struggling Hawg defense. I look for them to light it up as Myers will pile it on.
SOUTH CAROLINA at OLE MISS. If anyone had ask me a week ago, I would have easily picked the **** for this one. But after last week, I am not sure. SC has shown that it has a good defense, and Spurrier is saying good things about his QB. The Rebels had a heck of a win last week, and did show that they could win games. But I think that will work against them and the let-down bug will bite them. While Snead made some good plays last week, he also made some bad ones. The Ole Miss defense did stop the one or two dimensional Gators, but I think SC will spread it around a little more with a stronger running game. I am going to have to go with SC on this one.
KENTUCKY at ALABAMA. There will be a 92-thousand plus love fest at Bryant-Denny this weekend. The fans will be showing the love after last week's big win. Poor old Kentucky will be at the wrong place at the wrong time. But I do expect a bit of a let down from the Tide - how do you get fired-up again like last week for UK? But the Tide better beware, UK brings an undefeated record in and a number #4 ranked defense. But all of that comes at the expense of some pretty weak teams. I don't think that they will have an answer for Bama's rushing attack. It may be kind of dull and boring, but Bama will pound this one out on the ground.
AUBURN at VANDERBILT. Who would have thought this would be the game of the week in the SEC? Who would have ever thought Game Day would be in Nashville? Is this a sign of the Apocalypse or what? Seriously though, I have had to put a lot of thought into this game. Auburn's offensive offense has managed to make just about every game a struggle. Their D has continuously saved their bacon. But Vandy comes into this game with a good defense as well. And a decent, if one dimensional, offense. They have certainly shown a knack for being opportunistic. Ole Miss beating Florida added to their credibility. Vandy is getting WR Smith back, but also Nickson is nursing a sore shoulder. Tony Franklin and Tuberville have said that they are going to pare-down their offense a bit and maybe a little more toward the "I" formation. They are going to have to do something, or they are going to keep putting their D in the hole once to often.
I think the keys for Auburn in this game are:
1. Must get a running game going.
2. NO TURNOVERS
3. The defense has to force Dickson to win it with his arm.
For Vandy, they need to:
1. Must find a way to run effectively and open-up their play action.
2. FORCE turnovers. With Auburn's shaky offense they must play pressure D.
3. Play field position. Don't give Auburn the short field. Make their offense have to put together long drives.
My heart tells me Vandy, but my gut says that Auburn's defense will stifle Vandy's offense and create short-field opportunities for the offense. I would not be surprised to see another 3-2 game here (seems like I said that last week too), but I think that Auburn will pull this one out. It will be very interesting to see if AU's offense wakes up this week.
NORTHERN ILLINOIS at TENNESSEE. This should be a relief week for Fulmer and the Vols. The Huskies played tough in two losses (Minnesota & W. Michigan) and rolled up some points in the last two games (85). However, even though Tennessee is looking lousy this year, they still ought to out-match the Huskies. Will be interesting to see who ends up being the QB for the Vols - although I can't possibly see how anyone can be worse than Crompton. I think it would be a lot of fun to watch a bunch of angry orange clad fans charge the field and hang Fulmer from the goal post if the Vols choke this one.
Now, because I have had a request, I am going to look at a couple of other games from some of the other conferences. But I have to say, those are not the teams that I study that deeply so I can't be considered an expert by any stretch.
MISSOURI at NEBRASKA. This is the battle of two teams with no defense. The Huskers coughed up 377 yard in losing at home to Va. Tech. On the other hand, Mizzou has the 112th ranked defense in the nation (and considering some of cupcakes they have faced so far, that is really bad). If Nebraska can get an effective running game going and keep the Tiger's offense off the field then they might have a chance in a low scoring game. But Mizzou is hell-bent on getting Daniels the Heisman this year so they will have him throwing and throwing and throwing. I think Mizzou wins this if it is a scoring contest, but Nebraska might make it more interesting if can hold it down to something reasonable.
OHIO STATE at WISCONSIN. To be honest, I never thought that highly of Wisconsin after watching them struggle against Fresno State. A good team, but not a top 10 team. I also thought that OSU was terrible after laying down to USC. However, last week OSU seemed to find a little confidence. I don't know if it was the change to Pryor or the return of Wells, but they actually looked like they believed they could win. Talent wise, I have never thought that OSU was bad, it just seemed that this team had taken so much abuse on the national stage that they lost all confidence in themselves. Pryor, being a freshman, is going to make some mistakes, but there is no denying his athleticism. I think this will be a "W" for the Buckeyes and add some interest in the Big 10 mix. Certainly would make a nice set-up for the October 25th when the Nittany Lions come calling.
CONNECTICUT at NORTH CAROLINA. I didn't give the Tar Heels a snowball's chance against Miami without Yates. Instead, Sexton comes off the bench and plays a great game. Has he got another one in him? U Conn comes in ranked and undefeated coming in off a big win against Louisville. If you just look at stats, these two seem to match-up pretty evenly. However, I think NC comes in the more battle tested team. I haven't seen a lot of U Conn (who has?), so they are a bit of an unknown. And while they did beat Louisville - I don't think Louisville has that great of a team this. I am going to say that U Conn's cinderella story comes to an end.
Ok guys, now it is your turn to agree or disagree. But please, as always, none of the crappy rhetoric of "oh yeah, we'll will beat their ****!" Bring some facts. Bring some substance to your position. SEC fans are supposed to be the most knowledgeable fans in country so lets show it.
To all fans, of all teams: Enjoy the weekend. I wish your teams good luck. And lets all show some class and sportsmanship.
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Melissa Haro
Hilary Rhoda



Comments (25) Add A Comment
Nice predictions again. Being a fan of the SEC no victory comes as a surprise to me anymore. Upsets happen all the time thats why Ole Miss beating Florida didn't surprise me. Bama's performance shocked me a lot in the first half. Then when I went back and looked a little more closely I noticed a few things. Moreno had more yards per carry than Coffee did, don't know why Richt didn't use him more. Their defense tackled very poorly. The one play that really stood out to me was Upchurch's screen that he took on the 4th quarter TD drive. He should have been stuffed for minimal to no gain on the play except UGA wasn't tackling anyone so much as they were putting shoulders into them. A good player will make you pay if you don't wrap up and drive them to the ground. Upchurch did. Bama was giving UGA short underneath routes all night why Stafford should have saw that and has to make better reads. Cody got weaker as the game went along that is when UGA should have tried to mix in more runs instead of allowing Stafford to throw into double and triple coverage. Bama held on though and a W is a W I don't care if you win 1 or 21.
I could see them laying an egg this week against UK if the game was in Lexington. Knowing its in Tuscaloosa. I think Bama wins the game by a score similar to the Tulane game.
Like you I agree Florida is going to make BBQ out of the Pigs.
Ole Miss are read, set, go for the let down following the big win in Gainsville.
UT has opened their QB compitition back up and hopefully petitioned the league for permission to use stick'em on Fosters hands. Any team that can't master the art of the handoff is going to be doomed in the SEC. May get caught looking ahead at their game with the Dawgs next week.
Gameday in Nashville. Auburn-Vandy, second time gameday has been to an Auburn game this year. Hopefully for their sake Bama broke the Corso curse if he puts that Tiger head on. Vandy has played good ball this year. Their defense is really good. Auburn is going to work Burns into the game more this week which is absolutely the right thing to do. Why run the spread option if you have a QB that is no threat to run the ball. Todd is only a threat to himself the very few times he does actually keep it. Burns on the other hand is a running threat which will cause Vandy to put 8 in the box which is the perfect time for Burns to hit the TE on seam routes and the recievers on crossing routes. I think if Burns gets 20-25 snaps the game isn't close, but if he only gets 5-10 it could get interesting. Look for 7 more from the defense to cancel out the home field advantage.
wildbill21475
East, TN
Total Comments (4892)
You're right about the confidence for OSU, Pryor hasn't been around so he's like the Chinese gymnasts, too young to know about the pressure, and Wells still think he's the best player in college football. Those two will lead.
UK wil be tougher than they look, since of course they have an Ohio kid at QB, haha.
Good picks, I still like Purdont in an upset bid, but wouldn't put any money on it.
84
Total Comments (7228)
Notice to Alabama! LSU was in the same situation last year when we played Kentucky. Granted the game is at BD stadium and not Lexington but an inspired UK team can sneak up on you. Don't think that Nick Saban is above looking past some teams. LSU lost in a great season to UAB under Tricky, I'm a scum-bag, money hungry, dick sucking, Nick Saban. Oh I'm sorry, did I say that out loud. Ya know I often wonder how Bama fans would feel about Nick if he wins big this year and decides to leave for the NFL again, fails again, and then decides to come back to your conference and to the west......I don't know, Arkansas for example? Just imagine that for a minute (Be objective) and you will be able to comprehend LSU fans disdain for the man.
CenLA Tiger
Tigerland, LA
Total Comments (3780)
Your mistaken. Bama fans would be worse about it. They would take it personal like Nick had just ran off with their daughters. No offense Bruce.
wildbill21475
East, TN
Total Comments (4892)
LOL, non taken. But you are so right. Hey, you got to consider the coaching roller coaster we have been on. Dubose was an idiot. Franchione deserted. Price turned out to be a perv. Shula was a letdown.
However, for 32 million bucks, a legion of adoring fans, celebrity galore, and magazine covers, why would Saban want to leave? This job is an egotist's wet dream.
BruceS1G
Pelham , AL
Total Comments (5526)
Bryant had a huge ego. And he passed up being Governor or Senator to stay where he was the King.
I don't care if Saban is a prick. I don't care if he has no personality. Like most Bama fans, I don't care if he has "666" tattooed on him somewhere - as long as he keeps winning. You have to take into account the mindset of fans in my age group (45-55). We grew up watching Bama dominate and continuously in the national mix. Maybe we got spoiled and maybe college football isn't built that way anymore, but it is what we have come to expect.
BruceS1G
Pelham , AL
Total Comments (5526)
I dont think Saban would leave Bama like he did LSU. Afterall, who wouldnt leave LSU if a better opportunity came along?
Bama fan
Grant , AL
Total Comments (1)
Not that is some funny stuff right there Bama fan. You need to go argue with LSUDYNASTY or DOMEPATROL to get an LSU fan to bite on that one. By the way, congratulations on your first post buddy. Glad to see you on FN. OK guys back to the conversation. by the way, I was supposed to have left for the skating rink about 20 minutes ago and pick up SOLO cups on the way. My two boys are having a party tonight, well they usually skate first and then eat cake. I get sucked in every time I log on.
OK in response to the leaving comment I would say that any SEC team would be hard to leave if the opportunity presented itself. I mean in the south a successful college football coach is practically a demi god. If you think about the advantages a college coach has over a pro and it's pretty remarkable. I think I'll do a blog about this but here's a teaser. A college coach for the most part has his aulmni settle in the area or at least the state. Fans stay faithful for life. So what does this mean? Well fer are a few examples: There are Alum that own Cadillac or Mercedes dealerships, car done, Own real estate business, house, below market value. The bank is going to give you a dirt cheap loan because the presidents son plays for the band and he a real big fan. You get free meals at every restaurant in town, golf membership paid, etc, etc, etc. College football is the way to go. In the Pro's, the players are the focus, they could be there for years (Favre, Peyton, Payton, Elway, and so forth) Well gotta go get those SOLO cups. See ya
CenLA Tiger
Tigerland, LA
Total Comments (3780)
Just my point CenLa. Why would he want to leave? I will be the first to admit that Saban seems to have a king-size ego. So where better to enjoy that ego than at Alabama, where SUCCESSFUL coaches are raised to preposterous levels. Don't you think that now, looking back, Francione kicks his own **** for leaving? Now I don't think that he is nearly the coach that Saban is, but he had the fans behind him and he was winning. As the old cliche goes, do you think Saban could get a free lunch anywhere in Alabama? If a coach has an ego that needs to be stroked, there is no place in the world like Alabama.
BruceS1G
Pelham , AL
Total Comments (5526)
Well Bruce, I could add UF also. Just look how they loved Spurrier. Everyone and their momma hated that guy. But to Gator fans, he was the savior...Just my two cents worth.
BR549
Total Comments (863)
Great point BR549. I think that there are some Gator fans that still wish that he would come back. I believe that they would welcome him back with open arms.
BruceS1G
Pelham , AL
Total Comments (5526)
BruceS1G and CenLA Tiger you are both right about reasons that Saban would be slow to leave but I add into it the power, control factor. It's somewhat like the demi-god idea but it is very hard to come by even in SEC school. When Saban made his deal with Alabama he was coming off the heals of being an NFL coach with very limited control (Think Raiders). In order to come Saban demanded complete control of the team including publicity, finances etc... According to the Forbes article this is way beyond what most teams, even most SEC teams are willing to offer. Note how few head coaches are ADs in this day and time. As opposed to the days of Bear Bryant and Vince Dooley and all these others that were both. Mal Moore and the University gave him what he wanted minus the title of AD but with a good part of the job. It would take a lot more than demi-god status but the whole full god status within the program to draw him away. And hey, Saban may be a control freak but you gotta love that he makes it work.
E in Austin, Texas
Total Comments (1710)
Bru, Good stuff, I like your game comments. For me picking upsets is hit or miss and I'm not picking Arkansas over the Gators but I feel the Hogs are also highly pissed off and could make it interesting. And I'm glad you added some other than SEC contests in your blog. A couple of high profile games outside of the slow, weak and boring SEC gives your blog more interest. Oops, sorry about the crappy rhetoric, just trying to add some entertainment value.
norka
Bubba Spot, GA
Total Comments (4107)
Here 's something on a personal note that I thought I would mention. Last Saturday night I stayed in my seat at the LSU vs. MSU game until the crowd left. Traffic has been horrible in and around BR since Gustav and I wanted it to clear before I left. Went it died down a little i went back to my tailgating spot to grab another sandwich and a link of Boudin. I BS'd with my buddies for a little while and started walking back past the stadium toward my truck that was parked in the projects past the Pete Marovich assembly center and the track and field complex. As I was passing the players exit I saw big Herm, Tyson Jackson, and Rahem Alem. There was a crowd of little kids standing around them getting autographs and the guys were awesome with the kids! they took their time and talked to each one of them. As I stood at a distance and just watched I was impressed with their interest and compassion for these little fans. Just as I was about to walk away Charles Alexander waked out and the kids eyes lit up they all sprinted toward him. As soon as he noticed them him smiled and yelled "hey guys, can I have your autographs"! It was really cool. He took his time with them as the others did and the kids walked away comparing their memorabelia with each other. That was a really cool snapshot and one I won't forget. This to me is what makes Colege Football in the South so special. It's not just a game, it's an event bordering on a holiday each time we have a home game. Ya just can't beat it.
CenLA Tiger
Tigerland, LA
Total Comments (3780)
Great Stuff, CenLa! That is the reason we all love college football.
BruceS1G
Pelham , AL
Total Comments (5526)
Yea and the program may list Herman Johnson as 6'7" , 356 but he looked 8'3" , 475lbs Ha! That's one big dude. I can wait til that big guard takes on Bama's big nose tackle.
CenLA Tiger
Tigerland, LA
Total Comments (3780)
If Bama comes to Tiger Stadium and plays like the have today, it will be a long, long game for the Tide. They get the "W" but it sure was ugly.
BruceS1G
Pelham , AL
Total Comments (5526)
Honestly? Brutally honest? If Coach Saban left right now? I'd thank him and wish him luck. Even if he came back to the SEC. In less than 2 years, he has recruited more talent to Alabama than I have seen in a very long time. This last class was rated at being equivalent to the Derrick Thomas class and there were some great players in that class - I think Dt is in the football HoF. I'd be hugely disappointed that he left, but I'd also be thankful he brought us so much. You may not believe that, but it is true.
We almost laid an egg to Kentucky today. We managed to pull it out. It's kind of scary when the coach says, "The crowd pretty much won the game by disrupting the KY QB so much he had delay of games, false starts, and had to call time outs. He couldn't hear or be heard when calling audibles. We're not consistent and I am not sold that we are #2 right now. But polls are living and changable and I'm sure we will suffer the consequences of looking crappy today.
I'll also say this about Coach Saban. Fans of other teams need to get past this. Coach Saban's former LSU players, Wayne Huizenga, and many others have no problem at all with how it all fell out. Most of the Dolphins said they had no problem with the way it fell out. Coach admits he handled it unwisely, but the major players, other than the fans, hold no grudge. It's bordering on obsession. I'm not trying to insult anyone, especially CenLA Tiger, who is a very gracious person. But, some of the stories I have heard are scary. I know a guy who went on a church trip to Louisiana and somehow or another the bus or their name indicated Alabama and he said the reaction by Louisiana people to the people on the bus was hostile to the point of being almost scary.
Joekidd1992
Total Comments (1850)
I wonder if Saban wouldn't be very happy to see Alabama slip a few positions in the polls. It would definitely give him something to focus this young team on.
They just need to keep winning. Remember '92? Bama didn't blow-out every opponent on the schedule. That year, Southern Miss and Tennessee were 7 point wins (17-10 in both games) and La Tech 13-0. Even Miss State was on a 9 point win (30-21). So huge win margins aren't the difference. Bama won that season with a smothering defense and a strong ground game. That seems to be the strong points this year. But the key is to just keep winning. Everything else will work out if they do.
BruceS1G
Pelham , AL
Total Comments (5526)
Hey, Saban's great, but Les Miles is no letdown. I mean, what was LSU to do? Let Les go for Nick! LSU had a commitment, and obviously that word meant something. I'm happy that it worked out for everybody. Les is a great coach and I'm happy he's here. Sure, Nick is a great recruiter, and we will be battling for some of the same players, but Les has a way with young men that brings out the best in them. Plus, he's a stand-up guy. LSU will be fine without Nick Saban. I'm happy that Nick is still in the SEC. Great coaches are one of the reasons why the SEC is as great as it is.
Mikethetiger
Plaquemine , LA
Total Comments (6)
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