Sorry I am a little late with this, but I have been rather busy with the money paying job. Geez, I hate it when they expected me to actually work!
Another 1-miss weekend as I was 7-1 on my picks. This brings my total to 20-3 on my picks. This time I should have listened to my heart and not my gut on the Vandy-Auburn picks. Oh well, live and learn.
Anyway, on to my thoughts and observations.
FLORIDA over ARKANSAS. I was right on about this one. Myers made sure that he lit-up the Hogs to try to get the bad Ole Miss taste out of his mouth. However, despite of the big score, Arkansas played relatively tough for a while. But mistakes by the young team just kept digging their hole deeper and deeper. One step forward and two steps back.
The good news is that Auburn is coming to town this weekend, so there is hope.
And I am still not sold on Florida being that great. The upcoming game with LSU will tell a lot about both teams. I will certainly have to ponder that one deeply this week.
SOUTH CAROLINA over OLE MISS. Either Ole Miss was still hung over after all the partying from the previous saturday, or SC has a real defense. I am leaning toward the latter. I think before it is all said and done, the Gamecocks could be a real spoiler in the East. It also appears that Spurrier has found a QB that he likes this week. They certainly got their offense going against a defense that stymied the Gators. It was a quite, but very good win for South Carolina.
ALABAMA over KENTUCKY. Ok, my first thought is to say that maybe Kentucky is better than they appeared to be. And that may yet be proven correct over the course of the season. However, trying to set my homerism aside, I'd have to say that Bama just played poorly. Yeah, they got the win. Yeah, they hung on to the number two rating. But they sure didn't play like the #2 team in the nation and to be honest, I wouldn't have been surprised if they had dropped a spot or two in the poles.
JP Wilson just did not look sharp at all. As has been the case, it is his constancy, or lack thereof, that has been the problem. He makes some throws like the seasoned senior QB that he is, then turns around makes some that I really just can't understand. A bright spot had to be how Julio Jones appears to be maturing into a fine WR.
Glenn Coffee has been a workhorse. Outside of the two fumbles, he played a tremendous game. He is running with more heart, more determination than he ever has. And I have read some other articles that accused Bama's O-line of not living up to billing Saturday and I think that is crap. A running back does not gain 200-plus yards behind a badly-playing offensive line against an eight-man defensive front. Yeah, they gave up 3 sacks, but I think those can also be contributed to JP holding the ball a bit too long, and UK playing a good man-to-man coverage most of the day. Lets not forget the UK has one, maybe two, NFL-caliber DBs on their team.
Bottom line: a win is a win. Yes, Bama played badly, but still found the moxie to put together a long drive when it counted. Yes, they had lots of penalty yards, but this young team has been due a mental lapse this season. Now they have an off-week to settle down and get back to business. And I would bet that Saban will hammer home all the mistakes and get their focus back on track. If he doesn't, then Ole Miss will be glad to take-down another top 5 team.
VANDERBILT over AUBURN. Wow, Vandy pulls off the shocker and AU leaves with even more questions than they had to begin with. I would not have given Vandy the slightest chance without Nickson, but Adams stepped in and looked like a seasoned veteran. As a whole, the Vandy offense looked pretty good against a stingy AU defense.
You have to wonder if the Auburn defense is growing weary from all the tough situations the offense has dropped them in. Already we are starting to see injuries pile up in crucial positions. Vandy's ability to wear down that weary, hurting defense in the second half is proof.
And what to do for the Auburn offense? At one point I might have said the QB change would make the difference. But it didn't have a lot of effect Saturday night. They tried riding Tate, but the Vandy D wised up, slammed 8 in the box and dared Auburn to beat them through the air. It was a worthwhile gamble, as the AU offensive line couldn't protect the QBs and the WRs couldn't get open in an empty parking lot.
I don't know. At first I thought getting back to more of a power running game might be the answer. But considering the poor O-line play - especially in the second half - I don't know if they would be able to mount a real running game without some kind of play action passing to keep the defenses honest. Tuberville has promised "changes" - again. It will be interesting to see what those changes are and if they will work any better than the other "changes"
BTW, I have a copy of Tony Franklin's Offensive System that I will let go for CHEAP! ;)
TENNESSEE over NORTHERN ILLINOIS. Well Fulmer managed to save his hide for at least another week. But it sure was ugly. Facing that MAC powerhouse Huskies, the Vols could only mange a half-filled stadium and a half-hearted offense. Think about the last time you heard the Vol-nation go wild over a 7-yard pass (Stephens' first completion)? Dropped passes, penalties and one long completion for a TD is the difference. That 53-yard completion is the longest play of the season for the Vols. This Tennessee team looks terrible. And it is not going to get any easier as the Vols visit what will be an angry Georgia team this weak.
That is the SEC wrap-up. This past week I also looked at three games in other conferences, as requested by a reader. This my take on those games, though I still have to say that I am not an authority on these teams. But I did watch the games, and will tell you what I thought.
MISSOURI over NEBRASKA. My first thought is that Nebraska is totally helpless. Not only was their defense like a sieve, but their offense was equally inept against the #112 defense in the nation. Had they been able to get any kind of a running game going, they might have at least made it more respectable. As it was, Daniels' was shooting fish in a barrel. Granted he looked sharp - but I still ask: against what? I still want to see how Mizzou and Daniels will look against a legitimate team. But Saturday, against a big-name team in Nebraska, they sure looked like contenders.
OHIO STATE over WISCONSIN. While it was a struggle at times, I think that the Pryor Era at OSU has officially begun. The Buckeye faithful have to be on cloud 9 after that late 4th quarter drive that sealed the deal. Wisconsin played a tough, hard-nosed game, but just couldn't come up with the big plays when they had it. This win had to be a HUGE confidence builder for the Buckeyes - and they will need all of that as their date with Penn State looms on the horizon. I think that might turn out to be the biggest game of the year in the Big 10.
NORTH CAROLINA over CONNECTICUT. As I predicted, a tough, battle-tested Tar Heels team came in and just flat-out whipped U Conn. The clock struck midnight for the Huskies and maybe they are not quite ready to swim with the big fish (wow, I managed to mix two tired old metaphors in one sentence!). North Carolina is sitting at 4-1 and I believe that they are now the team to beat in the ACC (maybe with GA Tech also thrown in).
Ok, that wraps up my thoughts on the weekend. Now it is your turn to correct me where you feel necessary.
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Comments (35) Add A Comment
Bru, I am so glad you aced your non SEC picks! The SEC plus the next best three!!! I like the ring of that! You can call your blog whatever you want, but I will from now on refer to it as "The SEC Plus The Next Best Three! May I be dismissed?
norka
Bubba Spot, GA
Total Comments (4094)
suggestion logged. in fact, i like it. Mind if steal it for the next blog?
BTW, not dismissed - promoted. Damn, who said OSU fans were brain dead?
BruceS1G
Pelham , AL
Total Comments (5497)
I'll even go one better, for the next pick-em blog, I well let the readers choose "The Next Best Three" games that I analyze. But they have to be from 3 different conferences - not a one conference bundle.
Dang, this could get tough.
BruceS1G
Pelham , AL
Total Comments (5497)
As long as you have the last call, I think it's a great idea. I absolutely believe this makes your blog 300% more interesting to the rest of the nation.
norka
Bubba Spot, GA
Total Comments (4094)
I would be honored if you took "SEC Plus The Next Best Three" for your own.
norka
Bubba Spot, GA
Total Comments (4094)
Oh I can just FEEL the love in this blog.You are good at being objective,I`ll give you that.I tend to agree with almost everything you post.So you must be pretty damn smart.LOL
bpcarman
Mobile, AL
Total Comments (4754)
20-3 on his picks? And I got PROMOTED! 3-0 on his non SEC picks, my suggestion. Did I mention I got promoted? Darn right I'm loving it! BRU RULES WHILST THE TIDE ROLLS!!!! BTW bpcarman, you were dangerously close to being dismissed but your last sentence saved you.
norka
Bubba Spot, GA
Total Comments (4094)
Whew,that was close.I just wanna be on the team.I`ll be the guy you can always count on to say something really stupid.It`s what I`m best at.
bpcarman
Mobile, AL
Total Comments (4754)
the plucky comic relief?
BruceS1G
Pelham , AL
Total Comments (5497)
Choose the next 3 picks? here's my vote for 2 of them (i am keeping to known teama - not pulling up MAC games)
PSU Wisconsin
Oklahoma Texas
Prove It
Frellin Cold In, AK
Total Comments (6729)
Plucky at best.I do what I can.Sometimes,we take this GAME a little too seriously.(myself included).
bpcarman
Mobile, AL
Total Comments (4754)
OK, that is two votes. Let's see how the rest vote.
Thanks for avoiding the MAC teams! I would be lost - we don't get to see a lot of MAC games down this way.
BruceS1G
Pelham , AL
Total Comments (5497)
Votes for next 3:
Oklahoma (1)/ Texas (5)
Oklahoma St. (17)/ Missouri (3)
Penn St. (6)/ Wisconsin
Also, BruceS1G with your way with words this should be your day job!
E in Austin, Texas
Total Comments (1708)
Well Bruce you are smoking on the picks congrats. I watched the majority of the UK-Bama game and the game wasn't as close as the score indicated in my opinion. The last fumble Coffee had though was kind of bad. Luckily the ball bounced Bama's way on that one. Where they had the ball at though they should have been able to punch it in from there. UK was tough but it seems to me that Bama plays to the level of their compitition still. That is something Saban is going to have to cure them of.
Auburn-Vandy, what can you say? Who would have thought the backup would be better than the starter again against Auburn. You are absolutely correct when you say the defense is really starting to feel it from the positions the O is putting it in. With no Sen'derrick Marks on the line the defense really gets soft. Powers getting hurt in the game didn't help either. I think your off on Vandy's 8 men in the box shutting down Auburn's running game though. I think Tony Franklin is the one that hurts the running game more than the players. That line was way to good last year to be playing the way they are this year. They went away from the two tight end sets that was giving them positive yardage in the first quarter and never really went back to it. I didn't see the first quarter though because I was watching the Bama game. When I turned it to the Auburn game after Coffee's fourth quarter fumble the offense looked its normal ugly self with the single back 3 and 4 reciever sets. At this point I don't think they have anything to lose by putting in the 3rd string QB. He couldn't possibly do any worse.
One day Tubbs or Franklin is going to realize for those backs to go they need a fullback or at worse an H-back to do the lead blocking. They also need to actually call some running plays for Todd so that when he actually hands off then goes the other way defenses think he may still have the ball. That or put Burns in and sink or swim with his passing because at least he is a threat to run.
I would say that E in Austin's 3 picks are good to cover. I second his motion.
wildbill21475
East, TN
Total Comments (4885)
That is the way I see it, too. I have heard good things about the true freshman Trotter. At this point, I am not sure there is anything that Auburn can do to correct what Franklin has screwed up. The first three drives of the game we rammed it down Vandy's throat. In fact it was the same play over and over that was killing them. Tate had like a 10 yd per carry average. Then all of the sudden we quit running that formation and play for the most part. This goes back to my play action arguement though; If they adjust to that play there needs to be a couple of passing plays that action off of it. That isn't happening right now. I don't know that we even necessarily need a full-back. It would definately help. I think that we will be lucky to end this season 3-3. Arkansas scores points (we don't), Ole Miss is good enough, West Va. runs the same offense (only better), and Bama and UGA are much better on offense. It's like I said last time, if we can average over 20 points, we should be in okay shape going into UGA and BAMA. If we can't we may be looking at a losing season. If that happens, Franklin has to go. For that matter if we lose the next two, he needs to go (and take that crappy offense with him).
AUTigerfaninTX
Garland, TX
Total Comments (51)
I don't think the offense is so much the problem. He ran it successfully at Troy the last couple of years. Troy always played big time schools tough using that offense. I just think he needs a QB that can run it, and Auburn doesn't have it. They have a verbal from a kid out of Maryland that looks like he could run it for them, but that does nothing for this year. I think the kid out of Georgia they asked to switch to DB over the spring that ended up transfering probably could have ran it also. With what they have now though it can't be done which means Frankling needs to make the adjustment not the offense.
I understand that the spread is a shotgun formation, but if you are a QB you need to be able to stand under center and not fumble the ball which for some reason Auburn hasn't been able to do. That should be the next easiest thing to do behind handing the ball off on a football field. I think Tubberville needs to get in there and start teaching fundamentals again because that is where Auburn is breaking down. Don't worry about game planning as much. Coach fundementals and they need to get the attitude of this is what we are going to do now let them try and stop us whether it is on offense or defense.
wildbill21475
East, TN
Total Comments (4885)
I cast a vote for Notre Dame at North Carolina. Both teams are a surprising 4-1, this game is big!
norka
Bubba Spot, GA
Total Comments (4094)
Bruce is an idiot and the SEC sucks!
Ok, now that's out of the way...
Outstanding write-up.
John Parker needs to get his mojo on. He can't disappear like that, at least not with NCG on the horizon. Hopefully he's just a mini-version of the Trojans the last few years (bad games against weaker opponents). At least the rest of his team can carry him in the little games. If he disappears like that against the better teams, that game would be a loss instead of a win.
Auburn needs to stop screwing around with these gimick offenses. If USC can make a pro-style offense work, so can Auburn. It helps with recruiting the better players...and...just when you think of Auburn, you think of a bruising running game. Just a shame to see that go away.
As for games (I'm with E in Austin):
Oklahoma St./Mizzou
Penn St./Wisconsin
OU/Texas
silars
Total Comments (1652)
I know Auburn fans will hate this...but this year's Alabama looks like the old school Auburn teams.
silars
Total Comments (1652)
Wildbill, you do realize that Todd ran this same exact offense in high school and junior college and only came to Auburn because he had committed to play at Troy for Franklin, before Franklin moved to Auburn. Silars is right on with what I am saying. It's the thing that we had when Campbell was the QB. I guess we just didn't learn our lesson with baby Bowden. I think Patrick Nix needs to leave Miami and come home to run our offense.
AUTigerfaninTX
Garland, TX
Total Comments (51)
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