bruces1g's Football Blog
  • 11:19 PM ET  10.16
Views
1491
Comments
34
This is Redemption Saturday for several of the SEC teams coming off of losses last weekend.  We also get to see if a couple of the teams will suffer from open-week hangovers or come out recharged.

As is the usual, I'll start with the SEC games (in order of kickoff time) and then get to the other conference matchups that you guys picked.

VANDERBILT at GEORGIA:  Vandy got a little bit of a reality check last week as the MSU defense didn't let them mount their usual come from behind win. This week, Coach Bobby Johnson has announced that back-up QB Adams will be the starter rather than the relief. In addition, there might be some distractions in the Music City as Johnson's name keeps coming up for the now vacant Clemson job. This game is Homecoming for the Bulldogs in what has become the "We'll Rain On Your Parade" series. The past two years, both teams have been the other's HC opponent, and in both cases the visitor spoiled the party. And in both of those games, a FG was the deciding points. This year we have a much improved Vandy team facing a Georgia team that is still struggling in a couple of key areas.  The strength of this Vandy team has been the option running game, and the Dawgs have shown a slight weakness in that area. Vandy has also been playing tough run defense and the problems on Georgia's offensive line have been well documented. Still, I think the Dawgs have something to prove at home this year and maybe that the Vandy team has just had too much going on around them. I am going to go with the Dawgs, but this might be a very close game.

OLE MISS at ALABAMA: There are two big questions to be asked here: Which Bama team will show up for this game? And was Ole Miss's win over Florida their one big shot for the season? On paper, this game is all Bama.  The Rebels have shown some glimpses on both sides of the ball at times this year, and did put together a great game against the Gators. But do they have it in them again? This week they are going to be facing a defense that has been playing extremely well and an offense that has played fantastic at times and just OK at other times. If Bama comes out hitting on all cylinders, this game is over by the half. If they come out flat, they should still win but it will be a much tougher game. I'm going to have to go with Bama on this one.

ARKANSAS  at KENTUCKY:  The Hogs are coming off what might be the biggest win of their season at Auburn. Kentucky took it on the chin last week in a tough loss at home to SC. In spite of Arkansas's big win, I still don't think that they are that good of a team this year. I would also have to say that Kentucky is, at this time, a much better team than Auburn. Kentucky's offense struggle against a very good SC defense, but that is one thing the Razorbacks do not have.  I think the Cats' defense will end up being too much for the Hogs as well and it is their turn to roast a pig at home.

MISSISSIPPI STATE at TENNESSEE: Fulmer on the ropes, the fans calling for his head. MSU coming off a big(?) win over - Vandy? Both teams are 2-4 on the season and not at all like the teams that were regarded so highly in the pre-season.  I'll tell you, this may be the hardest game of the week to pick. Trying to look for positives for both teams is tough. Both offenses have looked terrible, although both teams did look better on O last week. Both defenses have looked decent, but not dominating. This might be A 3 to 3 take-it-to-overtime game. I think there are just too many problems in the Vol-nation, so I am going to take MSU in a mild upset in what may be the boringest game of the season. If you plan to watch, I suggest lots of caffeine. Also, I wonder what the over/under is for when the Vols fan start to leave the game?

LSU at SOUTH CAROLINA: LSU is coming off a major butt-whipping and it will be very interesting to see how the Tigers respond. For the second straight week, they have to leave the comfortable confines of Death Valley and play at a tough location. SC has been playing some tough defense this year - the 3rd ranked in the nation allowing only 241-yards per game. This does not bode well for the Tigers as Charles Scott was only able to pickup 35 yards on 12 carries. The LSU offensive and defensive lines did not look look nearly as good as they were supposed to be, and I think that they are going to be severely tested again. Stephen Garcia came in for the Ball Coach last week and looked pretty good in the win.  If he can continue to play well and (The Captain) Munnerlyn can come up with another big play or two, it could be bad for LSU. Also, I wonder if the Tigers will be looking ahead to their matchup with Georgia in their next game.  I am going to pick another upset here - I think SC's defense will frustrate the LSU offense and that the O will do just enough to win.

Auburn and Florida get a pass this week. Florida fans are probably disappointed as they would like to see their suddenly-hot team keep going. Auburn fans are breathing a sigh of relief.

Now for the non-SEC games.

A note about the Next Best Three: One of the rules was no doubling-up in any one conference.  A lot of readers voted for the TX-Mizzou game and OK-Kansas game. Same with the OSU-MSU or UM - PSU matchup. Since that violates the original rules a bit, I get to choose (hey, it Is my blog). So lets start with....

OHIO STATE at MICHIGAN STATE:  OSU has unleashed the Pryor/Wells attack with less than spectacular results last week. At times Pryor couldn't have hit water if he was on a boat in a lake, and Wells had a pedestrian 94-yards on 22 carries (that is a decent but not great 4-yards per carry).  OSU is now sporting the second-worst offense in the Big 10. That is not good. With Pryor's shaky passing, the Buckeyes are becoming one-dimensional. Michigan State's defense hasn't exactly been shutting people down, so it may be a break for OSU. However, Javon Ringer has been wearing his Superman cape and leads the nation in rushing. Last year, OSU contained Ringer, but this isn't last year's defense (although they have been a tough nut to crack of late). There appears to be some dissension in the OSU camp as some of the players have been pretty vocal in their support of Todd Boeckman. This is a tough one to call, as I like OSU's defensive matchups vs MSU, but Ringer is a phenomenal athlete. Also, if OSU's offense doesn't get over its anemia, it could be a long game. I think I am going to go with MSU in a home game.

WAKE FORREST at MARYLAND:  The Terps have been giant-killers against ranked teams this year, and the Demon Deacons have seen their offense fizzle somewhat in the past three games.  However, two of the Terps big wins have been against Cal and the imploded Clemson, so the "quality" of those wins has to be questioned. The Terps were expected to have a better season this year, but lost to Middle Tennessee and got shelled by Virginia last week.  Granted, the Deacons have been winning by the slimmest of margins, but their defense has kept them in every game. I just don't see Maryland being able to mount much of an offensive attack and I think the Demon Deacons have turtle soup.

MISSOURI at TEXAS: The Longhorns looked very impressive in their win over the Sooners last week. However, since neither team has exactly faced tough competition prior to their game, it is still hard to tell exactly what the Horns have. Mizzou, on the other hand, got smothered by OK State in their game and it was demonstrated that Daniel cannot win every game for them with his arm. Mizzou's defense has looked pretty porous this year giving up over 380-yard per game. The Horn's D hasn't been a whole lot better, but I think they will be the best that Mizzou has seen so far this year. Ognonnaya picked up some of the rushing load for the Horn's last week, and he needs to more of the same to keep Daniel and the Flying Tigers offense off the field. But I think that OK State unveiled the blueprint for stopping Mizzou this year: keep Daniel on the run. And Texas has enough defensive players to do this. Texas wins this shootout.
    
And there they are. I hope I do a little better than I did last week! Hmm, maybe I should have gotten out a coin.

Ok guys, now it is your turn to voice your opinions.  But remember the rule of no cheap smack without something to back it up.  Bring some facts. Bring some substance to your position. SEC fans are supposed to be the most knowledgeable fans in country so lets show it.

To all fans, of all teams: Enjoy the weekend. I wish your teams good luck. And let's all show some class and sportsmanship.
October 16, 2008  11:29 PM ET

good picks, i agree on most of them. im not gonna tell you which, so i can point out how wrong you are on sunday. overall very well written, can tell you took an objective eye to all teams (even Bama).

October 17, 2008  12:28 AM ET

Found errors in your blog Bruce your slipping buddy. Vandy played MSU last week not SC. Thats ok though we can over look that. I say you should have covered the PSU game instead of OSU since Penn St still has some relevance on the National Championship picture. Other than that good blog as usual.

October 17, 2008  12:32 AM ET

the problem with the PSU/Michigan game is that it won't even be close. If the Woverines thought that the Rockets were tough....It will be a slaughter that will only be limited by when Paterno calls off the dogs.

October 17, 2008  12:35 AM ET

oh and thanks for the heads-up on the error. Duh. It has been fixed.

October 17, 2008  06:01 AM ET

Well done as always...

October 17, 2008  10:02 AM ET

BOOOOOO Bruce...

j/k good picks, I like em all except for the obvious.

The main problem with the passing game isn't that TP is shaky, over 60% completion, 5tds, only 1 real pick. in 4 games as the starter. Its that he hasn't been allowed to throw very much, I think the stats back that up as well. Only 14 attempts last week. In this game I think the pass game will come alive and that will open up lanes for big28, the defense holds court. man on the edges and 8 in the box. OSU wins walking away!

October 17, 2008  12:27 PM ET

I agree with 84... I think Tressel will open up the playbook for Pryor. Only 14 attempts last week but he did complete 10 of them. They didn't need a ton of offense last week but will have to sustain drives to keep Ringer from wearing down the defense.

OSU wins, as this team MUST get all cylinders firing for the big one next week.

October 17, 2008  12:48 PM ET

Another PSU OSU classic in the works, they are always good games!

BTW can we get Morelli back next week? Malcolm has been asking for him!

October 17, 2008  02:02 PM ET

Awww you were so close to getting Morelli back. I hear Belicheck wanted to give him a shot this week while Brady is injured. After that, I think he was heading over to Tennessee to show that other PSU QB Kerry Collins a thing or two.

Maybe Todd Blackledge can come down out of the booth instead. Will that work ok?

October 17, 2008  02:06 PM ET

I think he trew as many touch down passes for OSU in that game last year as Boeckman did!

October 17, 2008  05:52 PM ET

Have to go with Missouri over Texas. Close and perhaps in overtime but things are just too complacent around Austin. It just doesn't have the feel of them taking it too seriously. Maybe things are different in the locker room.

Also, the LSU/SC game. Have to go with LSU. They have a lot at stake throughout the rest of the season. And after the whooping last week I think they will be out for blood. And SC, well I think Spurier can take guys and squeeze all that he can out of 'em but I just don't think it will be enough this week. I think it will be another game with Ms. Spurrier's head buried in her hands.

Ohh and I do choose Auburn to win this week!

October 17, 2008  06:06 PM ET

Always nice work Bru, I've come to expect no less!
A note about the Next Best Three: I hope you miss one of them! I agree with xxx84xxx.....

October 17, 2008  09:26 PM ET

OK seriously torked here. Trying to scroll down to this blog, the In Spin's blogs are driving me nuts. Looked at their profile last week and it looks as if it is some sort of company. It just annoying. At least this week they are timely. There were some last week that had just been posted but were for already been played games.

Deep breath....

And yes, Bruce this is another fine example of your penmanship. Seriously this should be your day job.

October 17, 2008  11:00 PM ET

OK fellas I'm back from my weekend and a half of paying pennance in Florida. Yea that's right I had a conference in Orlando and had to watch the game from my resort room and get utterly disgusted with the performance the Tigers put on, or didn't put on. To make matters worse, my family drove down to meet me and we spent the week at Disney. I've been having to look at that ugly Gator head for 10 days now. I'm in St. Augustine , FL now and will be glad to hit I-10 West in the morning. At the begining of this season I picked the Tigers to go 10-2 or 9-3. I picked the losses to be to UF and South Carolina with wins coming against UGA and Bama in Tiger stadium. I am not a fan that expects his team to win the championship every year. I try to keep thing realistic. I take into account that we are coming off of 5 years with 2 national championships. We have a RS freshman at QB and Freshmen in the defensive secondary. What do the Tiger fans expect. Let me see, a red shirt freshmen against the Heisman trophy winner? You make the call. The Tigers are right on track to meet the expectationss that I set....as if what I expect matters in the least to the football program. Am I disapointed they lost? yes. Do I think that if they played Florida again they would get beat by 30 points again? Absolutely not. Saturday night was the best performance I have seen out of florida since their BCS Title win and the worst I have seen by the Tigers in 4 years. I will stick to my guns and say that LSU's years will be 09 & 10. This team will be formidable and one game does not make the season. As a matter of fact I seem to recall a two loss team doing pretty well last year. By the way if no one is paying attention, there are a few more 1 loss teams out there, and they didn't lose to a ranked team.

October 17, 2008  11:21 PM ET

CenLA, I feel your pain. Geez talk about entering the 7th ring of hell! I am sure you are ready to scream.

I was getting a little worried. Hoping you hadn't killed a Gator fan in a loss of self control.

October 17, 2008  11:44 PM ET

Scream is an understatement Bruce. I give a lot of credit to the Gators but they weren't the only team on the field helping the Gators to win this one. Our young QB threw at least two passes that would have gone for TD's behind Brandon LaFell. Ricky Jean Francois and Alexander didn't participate, the DB's can't figure out who they are to cover, I counted 6 missed tackles on one play in the second half. Geez, like I said, I'll give credit to UF for showing up to play that night but this was indeed the worst exhibition of football I have seen in a few years from the Tigers. As a matter of fact, McNeese State could have beaten them that night. They're top 5 in 1-AA. But I have to gain composure and realize there is a possibility of a rematch in the GA Dome. We'll see. They're young at crucial positions. They'll do fine.

October 17, 2008  11:52 PM ET

trust me, I do so understand. Last year, La Monroe. Shudder.

October 17, 2008  11:54 PM ET

Yea, we lost to UAB a few years ago.

October 18, 2008  12:44 AM ET

I do have one thing to say about you Mizzu vs Texas game. You keep saying there D isn't really that good. Well look at this stat. Heading into Saturday's key game against Missouri, the Longhorns are allowing 15.3 points per game, leading the nation in sacks (22) and are third in rush defense (51.2 yards per game.)

 
October 18, 2008  12:50 AM ET
QUOTE(#19):

I do have one thing to say about you Mizzu vs Texas game. You keep saying there D isn't really that good. Well look at this stat. Heading into Saturday's key game against Missouri, the Longhorns are allowing 15.3 points per game, leading the nation in sacks (22) and are third in rush defense (51.2 yards per game.)

yeah, I have read those stats BigJoe, but I also have looked at the level of teams that they faced. Against OK, they gave up over 400 yards. It will be interesting to see how they do as they get into tougher opponents. Mizzou will be a big test. But I still think that they will shut down Daniel. Also, it should be noted that Will Muschamp, even tho from Auburn, is one helluva defense coach. Texas' D will only get better if they can keep him there. He put together some tremendous defenses at AU and considering the Horn's recruiting power, I think he will do the same there.

Comment

Remember to keep your posts clean. Profanity will get filtered, and offensive comments will be removed.


Coming soon: Log in with your Facebook account, send comments and Throwdowns to Facebook and more.

Start Your Own Blog

Start Now

The Si.com Cover Hub Go to the Cover Hub

Stub Hub

The 2009 schedule has been released. Search for tickets!

Truth & Rumors

MOST POPULAR

  1. 1
    Chargers accuse McDaniels of trash talk
    Views
    21146
    Comments
    2805
  2. 2
    Source: Damon won't take pay cut
    Views
    48489
    Comments
    969
  3. 3
    Should Notre Dame join Big Ten?
    Views
    19734
    Comments
    235
  4. 4
    Weis won't resign
    Views
    41534
    Comments
    221
  5. 5
    Beckham won't own Montreal team
    Views
    1136
    Comments
    181

Message Boards

  1. MMA > General MMA

    Arlovski's next fight -…
    Views
    312
    Replies
    7
  2. NCAAF > Ohio State Buckeyes

    Season Analysis
    Views
    222
    Replies
    32
  3. NFL > Chicago Bears

    Jay Cutler Must GO!!!!
    Views
    191
    Replies
    26

Blogs

SI.com

Swimsuit

SI Photos