Make no illusions, Florida is no underdog to Oklahoma. Sure UF is ranked #2 in the BCS even though they beat the #1 team in the nation before going to the off-season.
What wins championships? Defense (or so I'm told). The last several years the team with the better D (LSU, Florida, Texas, USC, LSU, Ohio State, Miami, and OU as opposed to Ohio St. x2, USC, OU x2, Miami, Nebraska, and FSU respectively) has won the NC. Florida has a much better D this year. Florida is ranked #8 in total D for the season while OU is ranked #64 for total D. Oklahoma is ranked #3 in total offense, and Florida is ranked #18 in total offense, just for the record.
But wait! OU has such a good offense that they'll score a lot against even a good D. Really? Florida has a really good offense also who'll be able to score more points on a push-over D like OU's.
Just look at OU's BCS record too. They are 2-4 in the BCS bowls. The Sooners won the national championship game in 2001, but they lost the next two NC games they were in which were not close games. The Sooners have lost the last 4 BCS games that they have competed in too. Florida is 2-1 in BCS bowl games, and the Gators have won the last NC they played.
Take a look at the Heisman factor too. Heisman winners are 3-5 in the BCS bowls. Over the past 4 years, the most current Heisman winner in a BCS bowl is 1-3 (Matt Leinart is the sole winner, but he remained on the team for the 2006 Rose Bowl loss where his team mate Reggie Bush was the winner of the Heisman that year). If Bradford hopes to do well, he better channel Carson Palmer and Matt Leinart as opposed to Chris Weinke, Eric Crouch, Jason White, and Troy Smith.
Why do I say all of this? Because the underdog usually wins the national title, and I want the Sooners to win. The last time Florida played in the nation title, they were the heavy underdogs and were able to kill Ohio St. Florida should not have that luxury this time around, but they may not need it too.
Still, Florida is definitely the favorite in the national title game this year.
If Oklahoma can win this year, then that will be very encouraging for Ohio State in 2011 since Ohio State in the '08 and '07 bowl games played the same role as the '05 and '04 Oklahoma bowls teams (both lost the NC twice in a row by not very close games).