I'm mostly going to talk Patriots draft, but thought I'd tackle the top 5 picks here. I think it's an interesting year with definite possibility of some movement.
The one thing I think is a lock is that the Seahawks want Crabtree, and hope to God he's there at #4.
I think the Lions and Chiefs would both love to trade out of their spots and get extra picks. Probably a tough task for the Lions -- maybe not so tough for the Chiefs.
Crabtree is the stimulus. He's by far the best available receiver -- and if you are a team in desperate need of a receiver, you know you've got to get in front of the Seahawks.
There are a lot of partners.
Cincy at 6
Oakland at 7
Jacksonville at 8
and SF at 10 all desperately need a number 1 reciever (assuming TJ leaves Cincy, which I think is a lock.)
Cincy probably can't do it -- they need a wideout, but they need D Line more, and this is the spot to get it.
Oakland was my first thought, but it turns out they haven't taken a first round WR since 1988. Obviously Al is capable of anything, but history says no.
Jacksonville hasn't been active moving up in the past. But if anything could make them do it, a great player at their biggest need position could be the thing to get it done.
SF down at 10 would have to give up a ton to get up to 3. Probably an extra 2 plus a 2 next year. Seems unlikely.
But KC could be offering a discount. There are 4 top OTs in the draft, and KC likely wants one of them, and doesn't want to pay #3 money. So what if they drop their asking price? Pioli has done that before -- last year the Pats dropped from 7 to 10 and didn't get the 'full value' in return. But they got their man at their price -- worked out pretty good.
What if they call Jacksonville and say they'll do it for just a one and a three? I think Jacksonville has to do it. And KC still gets their OT, pays him less money, and picks up a high 3rd rounder to boot. Win-win. Or even finding a way where Jacksonville keeps the same number of picks -- KC trades the #3 and their 3rd rounder for JAX's #8 and their second rounder. Again, win-win in my book.
But now what about Seattle? Do they just sit there at #4 and do nothing? Or do they make a counter offer at market value? I think to top those Jacksonville offers, the Seahawks have to offer much more value -- because dropping to #4 doesn't help the chiefs much. Still an expensive pick. So even if Seattle offers up their 3rd rounder, I'm not sure the Chiefs take the offer, unless they think they can trade down again from #4. Which they probably can't...UNLESS
What if the Lions don't draft Stafford? The Rams won't take him. Now the Chiefs are sitting pretty with the best QB and best WR still on the board. If they trade out of 3 to 4 with Seattle, Stafford is still there at 4. Now he's worth it, if the Chiefs want him. He'd be hard to pass up -- and people know that. So now anyone who wants Stafford has to come with market value.
Unfortunately the first team that needs a QB is SF at 10 and BUF at 11, which may push the Chiefs out of getting one of the top four O-Linemen. I'm not sure they can give that up. But if SF calls offering the #10 and their 2nd and 4th rounders, it may be worth it.
KC would end up dropping 7 spots, but picking up an extra 2, 3, and 4. Think it can't happen? If anyone can do it, Pioli can.