FanNation - The Republic of Sport

Here are my MLB 2009 Over/Under's based on the Vegas number. Odds from 3/3 and i don't know if they updated them but i could not find more recent ones.

AL

Baltimore: 74.5-over- Baltimore's lineup is quite good but their pitching is awful. But i think Toronto got a lot worse and the and 73.5 would be a 6 game improvemnt over last year. I think they get that but barely. It will be close

Boston: 94.5- over-  very solid overall team in beantown this year. Very solid pitching depth will carry them to about 95 wins. However they don't have much hitting depth and have hitters like lowell Papi and Drew who get hurt.

White Sox: 76.5- under- This is a team i don't like this year. Their offense is good but they have little speed and are dpendent on the homerun and with older players like they have its harder. I don't trust Buerhle or Contreas or Floyd in the rotation either

Clevland- 83-over- I think people were a year ealier on this team. A lot of good young hitters and 2 good pitchers to top the rotation in Lee and Carmona and they got wood to solidify the closer role. They came on at the end of the year to. About 90 wins for them.

Detroit: 79.5-under- Their starting pitching after verlander is putrid and their middle relief with zumaya and rodney can't stay healthy. And now that they tried to get better on D their lineup is not even as good.

Kansas City- 75.5-over- Its and improving and young team that got 75 last year so i say they get a little bit better again. Not much over 75 though. Their rotation is getting better with Greinke deveoping into an ace and Meche is solid. Their lineup has a good combo of speed in Crisp and Dejesus and power in gullien jacobs and butler.

LA Angels- 87.5-over in their division they should win 90. But watch out for a possible downfall if Lackey and Escobar can't comeback healthy because their rotation without them now does not look good.

Minnesota-79.5-over- i say they finish just behind the indians this year. I like their pitching staff because they all throw strikes. Now the offense won't be as clutch as last year but will be good enough with a good power and speed combo with morneau crede and cuddyer providing power and casilla and gomez providing speed.

NY Yankees- 96-over- 96 wins is a lot and i know people hate the yankees and will disagre but I think this is the best team in baseball and will get their. I like the attitude of these new players because they are team 1st guys and are great clubhouse guys with swisher loosening up the clubhouse and CC taking the starting staff to Magic games during the spring. Nobody in baseball can compare to their 3-4-5 in the starting staff in Burnett Pettite and Joba. They won 89 games with guys like Rasner and Ponson as regulars in the rotation. And with their rotation they should not go on loosing streaks longer than 4-5 games at all. When A-Rod comes back the Teixiera A-Rod combo in the middle is one of the best in baseball. The only question with this team is injuries. So far so good with Jorge throwing great so far this spring and all the pitchers are healthy.

Oakland- 81.5-under I know that thier pitching always does well but their rotation is filled with a bunch of no names. I can also see Beane trading Holliday at the deadline.

Seattle-72.5-under- a terrible team with only about 2 players in Felix Hernandez and Ichiro that are any good. Bedard and Silva have potential but will nevr live up to it and their offense is terrible especially in the park they are in.

Tampa Bay 89.5-over- I see Tampa wining about 90 but missing the playoffs. I see them missing out for a couple of reasons. I still have to see how they react to being the hunted for a whole year and if they can handle expectations. Also they got so many innings from their regular starting 5 that percentages show that does not happen 2 years in a row. Also u can't trust percival to stay healthy and their bullpen went from one of the worst in the history of the league to 3rd best in the league last year so i still have to see their pen do it again.

Texas 81.5-over- i say they get over 81 wins last year which is not asking a lot because they had 79 last year. Their offense is great and they have some veterans in the rotation in milwood padilla and kris benson.

Toronto 81.5-under- their offense has never been good and now their pitching other than halladay is not good either witout burnett marcum and McGowan.

NL

Arizona 86.5-under- they struggled down the stretch and lost Dunn and hudson to a already weak lineup and Webb and Haren will have to carry them.

Atlanta 84.5-under- can't trust chipper jones to stay healthy and they are in a tough division where i think they are the 4th best team and don't have enough overall pitching even with the addition of lowe and vazquez who you can never trust.

Cubs-94.5-over- should be the class of the NL and should get over 94  however zambrano and harden are injury prone in the roation and lily and dempster have to do it for a 2nd year. But if those 4 do what they did last year which they should they are the best team in the NL.

Cincinnati- 76.5-over- I love their pitching staff with veterans arroyo and harang and young studs in volquez and cueto. Have some good young offensive players to in phillips bruce and votto and their park will help their offense. Should just get over 80 wins

Colorado-76.5-under- no pitching and without holliday their offense is worse

Florida-75.5-over- don't be surprised if this team steals 2nd from the mets or phillies. They have good starters with nolasco and josh johnson and anibal sanchez coming back from injuries and have good young hitters

Houston-74.5-under- have a pretty good offense but hav 4 #5 starters after oswalt and in that park it a huge problem.

LA Dodgers- 84.5-over- with manny it completes their offense and makes it a very solid team. Starting pitching is the only question but i think billingsley and kershaw will be very good and wolf is a good veteran.

Milwaukee 85.5-under- solid offense but without CC and sheets not enough pitching and a bad bullpen to.

Mets- 90.5-under they fixed the bullpen but thir starting pitching after santana is not good. Pelfrey is pretty good but you can't trust perez and maine and livan hernandez is not good. Also you have to think Delgado won't repeat his season of last year.  just under 90 wins.

Phillies-87.5- over- i like this team's character and intangibles which is why they will beat the mets out again. Still have the big 3 on offense in howard utley and rollins. Hamels and myers are still good at the top of the rotation plus the bullpen is great

Pittsburgh-66.5- under- terrible team in a pretty good division

San Diego- 67.5-under- worst team in baseball

St.Louis- 83.5-over- i really like this team if carpenter and wainwright can stay healthy and have 3 good power hitters in the middle of their lineup in pujols ankiel and ludwick. LaRussa always gets the most out of them to.

Washington-68.5- under- another bad team but their offense is getting better with adam dunn coming in and milledge and dukes getting better.

Predicted Standings:

AL East

1.Yankees

2.Red Sox

3.Rays

4.O's

5.Jays

Central

1.Indians

2.Twins

3.Royals

4.Tigers

5.White Sox

West

1.Angels

2.Rangers

3.A's

4.Mariners

NL East

1.Phillies

2.Mets

3.Marlins

4.Braves

5.Nats

Central

1.Cubs

2.Cards

3.Reds

4.Brewers

5.Astros

6.Pirates

West

1.Dodgers

2.D-Backs

3.Giants

4.Rockies