Give Blood... Play Hockey's Blog
  • 04:45 PM ET  05.17
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Well, I remain perfect in my playoff predictions thus far, and I hope to carry my streak through the conference finals. Here's my breakdown:

Eastern Conference Finals: Pittsburgh Penguins (4) vs Carolina Hurricanes (6)

I think people dissapointed in this series are going to be in for a surprise. The last time these two teams played in the regular season, it was a thoroughly entertaining game. There were two leads erased, a failed penalty shot, and a thrilling overtime finish by Anton Babchuk. It should be an exciting series. But I think the series comes down to the goaltending matchup. I've got to give the edge to Cam Ward here. Not only does he have the best save percentage of all goalies remaining in the playoffs, but also the second best GAA, after Osgood. It should be noted that Crosby has 17 points in 14 career matchups against Carolina (Malkin has 11 in 11). But Cam Ward is a fundamentally different goalie in the playoffs. If Cam Ward put up these numbers in the regular season, he would have had the 2nd highest GAA and save percentage in the league. People say the Hurricanes and Penguins split the season series. This is true, but actually misleading. Cam Ward only played in 2 of the 4 games, but he was undefeated in the 2 games he played. He had a stunning 1.49 GAA and .956 save percentage. He held Crosby goalless (and with only 1 assist in those 2 games). He also shut down Malkin on a penalty shot. Last series, Ward was able to get the better of Boston's 4 scoring lines. The Penguins have a lot less depth. Meanwhile, the Hurricanes have had solid production from 3 lines, and their blue line  also has much more offensive capability. I know Crosby has more points than Staal, but then again, he didn't just have to match up against Zdeno Chara. Fleury has been an OK goaltender throughout the playoffs, but he has worse numbers now than he did in the regular season. A good goalie steps up during the playoffs. I think it's ultimately too much for the Pens to handle.

Hurricanes in 6

Western Conference Finals: Detroit Red Wings (2) vs Chicago Blackhawks (4)

This original 6 matchup should be exciting to the finish. But once again, I think the goaltending is everything. Chris Osgood has the best GAA of remaining goalies, and 2nd best save percentage. Meanwhile, Khabibulin has the worst in both - a 2.76 GAA and a frightful .896 save percentage. I shudder to think how he will fare against the likes of Franzen and Zetterberg. But I'm not going to count out Chicago completely. Prolific scorers like Havlat, Sharp, Kane, Toews, and Versteeg could keep them in the game. Chicago has the highest goals per game ratio of the 4 remaining teams, at 3.67. It all comes down to Osgood. If he can stay on top of his game, then the Red Wings should be able to cruise into the finals. But if he can't handle Chicago's offense, Detroit could find themselves in trouble. In the end, I think Detroit is too much for Chicago to handle. The Red Wings won 4 of the 6 games the teams played this season, and I expect them to get another 4 here.

 Red Wings in 7

 

May 18, 2009  02:02 AM ET

least you have the balls to pick the canes unlike other blogs

May 18, 2009  08:05 AM ET

You live in NC and your a fan of the Hurricans...have fun losing you don't know what your talking about and your speaking from a Carolina standpoint when you are trying to sound neutral.

May 18, 2009  04:15 PM ET

detroit and chicago, who could ask for more, some old time rivarly, anyone notice the empty seats at joe louis in game 1? sad

this is why i dislike the eastern conference, all the storied franchises; montreal, toronto, philly, boston, hell, even new jersey and pittsburgh, and the damn hurricanes (or lightining) always find themselves in the mix, at least san jose has the decency to lose in the 1st round every year

May 18, 2009  08:05 PM ET

Carolina with a ton of momentum, just beat the 1 and 3 seeds. Pens with Crosby... great team.
I like the Canes in six.

May 18, 2009  11:42 PM ET
QUOTE(#4):

Carolina with a ton of momentum, just beat the 1 and 3 seeds. Pens with Crosby... great team.I like the Canes in six.

They will need to win 4 of the next 5 for you to be right.

May 19, 2009  12:54 AM ET

Pens in 5.
Wings in 5.

May 19, 2009  09:48 AM ET

Habby stood on his head in game one and the Hawks still lost. The Wings defense has looked amazing and Ozgood's numbers are more a result of his team as opposed to his play. The Hawks beat ozzie and hit a few pipes and crossbars in game 1, so Ozzie's play was far from special. Game 2 tonight will be important for the Hawks, who look completely over matched

Canes in 6
Wings in 5

 
May 19, 2009  03:43 PM ET

I think your perfection streak ends this round. I don't see any way that the Canes can beat the Pens this year. While Ward has been amazing thus far, they simply have too much fire power and the odds will eventually turn against him. Even with a save percentage of .950 you'd still let 3 in if they give up 50 shots. Pens in 6.
After far us the 'Hawks series is concerned, they can't match Detroit in any category except speed. They play smarter and have the experience to guide them through. Detroit in at most 5.

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