Ok, here are my top QBs going into the fantasy season this year with a few sleepers and a few guys who are projected too high:
1. Tom Brady, New England Patriots
This was an easy call. Brady may be coming off a major knee injury but he isn't going to fall of the face of the earth or anything like that, he is still good for at least 3,500 yards and 30 TDs, probably more than that. Secondly, Randy Moss and Wes Welker haven't gone anywhere. If Matt Cassell can be a top fantasy QB, so can Brady.
2. Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints
Brees did almost break the single season passing yards record last year but he's still rated No. 2 in my book. Why? Well the Saints have three good runningbacks in Pierre Thomas, Reggie Bush and Duece McAllister, the Saints know this and they will be running the ball a lot more this season. Brees won't throw as many TD passes as Brady and New England will be throwing a lot more than New Orleans.
3. Tony Romo, Dallas Cowboys
Everyone writes Tony Romo off as a 6th or 7th ranked fantasy QB. I know Terrell Owens left but Roy Williams, Patrick Crayton, Jason Witten and Marion Barber are all good recieving options. Here's something most fantasy owners might not know, if Romo were to play the full season last year, he would have been on pace for 4,000+ passing yards and 30+ TDs. I'll take that any day.
4. Peyton Manning, Indianapolis Colts
In one of Manning's worst seasons, he still threw for over 4,000 yards and 28 TDs. He has Reggie Wayne, Anthony Gonzalez and Dallas Clark to throw to with possibly a running game with Donald Brown to take the pressure off, something he didn't have last year. Manning is the fourth ranked QB going into the season but he could be as high as 2nd at the end.
5. Phillip Rivers, San Diego Chargers
Rivers was probably the best QB in the whole league last year, in terms of stats and leadership, but I'm not expecting a repeat. He's never had a year like that so I'm already thinking fluke and the Chargers running game doesn't scare anyone anymore so defenses are going to be ready for the pass. Rivers is facing pretty bad defenses this year though and he has some decent weapons so fifth is a good position.
6. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers
I'm not ready to jump on the Aaron Rodgers bandwagon like a lot of people already are. Rodgers will be facing some improved defenses this year and the Packers will be looking to run a lot more since Ryan Grant was on fire towards the end of last season. Plus, I'm not expecting Rodgers to improve on last year's stats much, if at all.
7. Donovan McNabb, Philadelphia Eagles
If you want a QB that can do everything, McNabb is your man. He will pass of course, he will run to. He says he might even be lined up as a reciever and tight end sometimes with Michael Vick as QB. McNabb is a safe bet for 4,000+ total yards and 25+ TDs and don't let the signing of Vick scare you off. McNabb is still the number one guy.
8. Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons
Ryan already had one of the greatest seasons from a rookie QB in a while so you can expect even more great things to come from him. Ryan should pass for close to 4,000 yards this year but he isn't much of a redzone threath. I don't care if you are a rookie or not, you need more than 16 TDs to be ranked higher. Still, Ryan should be able to throw in the mid 20s this year but he is a risky pick.
9. Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens
Flacco was very inconsistent as a rookie. Some days he would throw 250 yards, some days he would throw two interceptions. With a year under his belt and some decent recieving options, I'm betting that the good Flacco shows up way more often than not. Expect at least 3,000+ yards and 20+ TDs.
10. David Garrard, Jacksonville Jaguars
This one might cause some confused glances. Garrard? Where's Kurt Warner? Garrard was a top 10 fantasy QB last year and with him throwing to Torry Holt this year, he has one of the biggest upsides out of any QB ranked so far. As for why I didn't rate Kurt Warner in here, he's old and he said when he walks or stands up, he gets pain in his hips. Well, you're going to be standing up a lot when you're playing QB.
Just missed . . .
Matt Schaub, Houston Texans
Anybody who is throwing to one of the best recievers in the league in Andre Johnson has major upside.
Brett Favre, Minnesota Vikings
Hate him or not, he did throw 3,000 yards and 20+ TDs last year and he looks to be as determined as ever.
Jay Cutler, Chicago Bears
I hate the scenario he is coming into, a headcase QB who is already clashing with his weak recievers. He is Jay Cutler though, and that counts for something.
Carson Palmer, Cincinatti Bengals
He's the ultimate boom or bust pick. He was one of fantasy's top QBs before he got injured and is still capable of 4,000 yards and 30 TDs, but that's a stretch.
Potential sleepers to watch . . .
Matt Leinart, Arizona Cardinals
Kurt Warner is old and injury prone so if he goes down, then Leinart is the sole owner of the best recieving corps in the NFL.
Dolphins Backup QBs
I'm referring to Pat White and Chad Henne here. Both were great college QBs and they are behind a shaky Chad Pennington. Henne will probably be the first to go in if Pennington struggles or gets injured but White is a great runner and could get the nod too.
Vince Young, Tennessee Titans
Kerry Collins is nothing special so Vince Young could recieve time. He's not a great passer but he can rush.
Detroit Lions QB
Whichever one it will be between Matthew Stafford and Daunte Culpepper, they have Calvin Johnson, Brandon Pettigrew and Kevin Smith to throw to.
Don't bother with these guys . . .
Matt Cassell, Kansas City Cheifs
He had a good season last year but he's switching from the best offense in the league to one of the worst.
Jake Delhomme, Carolina Panthers
He absolutely sucked in his first preseason game and the Panthers are going to be a much more run oriented team.
Kyle Orton, Denver Broncos
Brandon Marshall is a great reciever but he's a Chad Ochocinco, he plays when he wants to and he could get suspended. No weapons other than him.
Eli Manning, New York Giants
Manning seriously struggled when Plaxico Burress wasn't on the field and he'll be passing to a bunch of No. 3 recievers this year.