norka's Blog
  • 09:14 PM ET  10.12
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Last week 8-4, on the year 56-19, .747%

Week seven in the SEC leaves LSU and Tennessee idle to prepare for Auburn and Alabama respectively.

Management has decided the Wrap Up blogs were unnecessary and redundant, and my four readers have not objected so we'll wrap em right here people.

Alabama Crimson Tide (6-0) at home OVER South Carolina Gamecocks (5-1) bpcarman writes: "Not trying to go homer here, but last weekend we probably had our worst offensive game of the year and still managed to beat a top 20 SEC team by 19 points in their house. I like our chances."

 Bama's chances are looking good bp and no reason to think they won't continue their winning ways.

Auburn Tigers (5-1) at home OVER Kentucky Wildcats (2-3) UBbulls warns us: "Wild Bill's avatar will hunt down and kill anyone who picks against Auburn."

 On that note how will Auburn respond after getting embarrassed last week at Arkansas?

Florida Gators (6-0) at home OVER Arkansas Razorbacks (3-2) BSB cautiously states: "UF needs to keep focused this week, especially on defense. Mallet is the real deal."

The Gator's D leads the FBS in fewest points allowed at 32. Mallet with his long slow release and less than spectacular scrambling ability will have his hands full on the road, up against the best defense in the land.

Georgia Bulldogs (3-3) on the road OVER Vanderbilt Commodores (2-4) Both teams are coming off disappointing losses, Vandy losing in OT to Army and UGA just getting smoked by Tennessee. The offensive line of UGA needs to do much better to protect QB Joe Cox.

Mississippi Rebels (3-2) at home OVER University Alabama Birmingham Blazers (2-4) This should be an easy win for Ole Miss, setting the stage nicely for their following week match with Houston Nutt's former Arkansas team.

Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-4) on the road OVER Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (3-2) The Bulldogs need to win this one, after this game they will be the underdog in their five remaining games.

 

... and the NB3

University South Florida Bulls (5-0) at home OVER Cincinnati Bearcats (5-0) JP explains:  "Bulls are 5-0 in their last five games against ranked opponents. In addition, they have been very good at home and usually play their best ball in the first half of the year. All of these things from recent past history are in favor of the Bulls."

  Both of these teams have two impressive road wins. Both of these teams also have some tough games ahead of them and both of these teams could very likely end up with three losses.

Texas Longhorns (5-0) neutral site OVER Oklahoma Sooners (3-2) JRM says: "Gonna be a war. I am hopeful of beating Zero U, but by no means confident. I'll say Texas - 24; Zero U - 20."

 And JGordanxx23 concurs: "28-21 Texas. The difference is a Shipley punt return touchdown. I'm anxious to see if either team gets over 100 yards of rushing offense and which team can exploit the other's poor secondary."

A Sooner victory will certainly muddy the BCS picture... not for the SEC.

Wisconsin Badgers (5-1) at home OVER Iowa Hawkeyes (6-0) I'm going with the home cooking in this one with Wisky's big back Clay clobbering his way to a huge game.

 

... plus three!

Virginia Technical Hokies (5-1) on the road OVER Georgia Technical Yellow Jackets (5-1) Avoiding technicalities, it seems the Hokies are playing at a higher level than the Jackets. The Hokies are also more battle tested than the Jackets. The elite defense of Va. Tech shuts down the triple option; the Hokies take the lead forcing the triple threat into a one dimensional offense, pass, pass, pass.

University Southern California Trojans (5-1) on the road OVER Notre Dame Fighting Irish (5-1) edwards750 gives us this: "As for the game..sigh...I just don't know. It is one of those feelings that I hope for the best but expect the worst. USC is a force to be reckoned with no doubt about it but ND is better."

 Good points E750, ND is looking better and USC is not the juggernaut of seasons past, at least not offensively. But it's the D of USC that's the difference in this game.

Boise State Broncos (5-0) on the road OVER Tulsa Golden Hurricane (5-1) Already folks are talking about style points. It won't be enough for Boise St. to win this game, they need to win big and they will still be getting jumped in the polls by the unbeaten Major Six teams.

The best style points Boise State can hope for would be the Oregon Ducks to keep winning. This is a Wednesday night game and the reason for posting the blog early.

Thanks for reading, looking forward to the comments.

October 12, 2009  11:37 PM ET

This week will show what Auburn is made out of. They took a spanking from Arkansas. Refs helped them a little bit but it had not bearing on the outcome. Arkansas' defense played like they were Alabama's defense or something. Auburn has only played one game this year where they competed for 4 quarters and that game was no exception. They didn't do squat in the first half and turned it on in the second half, but three turnovers hurt their comeback bid badly.

October 13, 2009  12:02 AM ET

I'm hoping that last week's game with Auburn made Arkansas realize collectively that they are a very, very good team. I'm also hoping that last weeks game with LSU made Florida realize collectively that they are not the juggernaut they are touted to be. I don't care whether either of these realizations is true, just that they happen, and that it results in a Razorback victory!

I also agree about BSU. They simply must steamroll all remaining competition to maintain their lofty status, or even to remain Top 10.

You will see the further maturation and acclimatization to the big stage of USC QB Barkley. Week by week he shows less nerves and is actually coming along quite well in his freshman year trial by fire.

October 13, 2009  01:21 AM ET

I dont' think Arkansas is there yet their defense played better than it has all year and that coincided with Auburn offense playing as bad as it has all year. I also still think Florida is the juggernaut they think they are. They just happened to have a tentative Tebow this week and they havn't had a tentative Tebow since he stepped on campus. He was dancing instead of trying to run people over. He also was handing the ball to the backs on those dive plays where as pre-concusion he would have kept probably half of those and tried to run it himself.

More times than not a 180-190 lb running back isn't going to be running dives against SEC defenses and expect a whole lot of good things to happen. Which is what every running back Florida has is except Moody and they hardly ever give him the ball. I actually think Florida would have been better off playing Brantley against LSU than they were playing Tebow. Trust me I got a concusion my freshman year that fractured my skull. Tebow's concussion wasn't that bad but it takes more than 2 weeks to come back from a concussion like he sustained.

October 13, 2009  01:23 AM ET

You know I have always wondered why they call the Red River Shootout a neutral site game. Its in Dallas which is in the state of Texas which to me would amount to a home away from home game for Texas. Not much different to me than people calling the Florida-Ga game a neutral site game despite the fact that it is played in Jacksonville every year.

October 13, 2009  02:23 AM ET
QUOTE(#4):

You know I have always wondered why they call the Red River Shootout a neutral site game. Its in Dallas which is in the state of Texas which to me would amount to a home away from home game for Texas. Not much different to me than people calling the Florida-Ga game a neutral site game despite the fact that it is played in Jacksonville every year.

Good question. My take is that Dallas is pretty far from Austin (both in distance and in culture). Also, the stadium is exactly 50% Sooner Red and 50% Burnt Orange.

It would be interesting to hear what JRM and ThunderBoomer have to say on this.

October 13, 2009  02:51 AM ET

Agree with all the SEC picks. Arkansas may put a scare into UF. This has all the makings of a trap game for UF: coming off an emotional win, playing an opponent that is on the upswing. However, the game is in the swamp, and Urban Meyer impresses me as one coach who always has his team prepared and focused on game day.

However, the most compelling reason why an upset is not in the cards is the fact that tHog called it :)

October 13, 2009  03:01 AM ET

The NB3:

South Florida's SOS (per Sagarin) is 140, which means their typical opponent is an FCS team. I think their undefeated record is a bit of a mirage. Cincy's SOS is not much better (109), but I think they win this game.

I have the Sooners getting over on Texas. I think they are much better than their 2-2 record, and Texas is not firing on all cylinders the way they were last year. OU's much maligned offensive line gets better with each week, and should be able to buy Bradford time to throw.

I also picked Wisconsin at home, although my pick was more from the gut than from the head. Thanks for providing some analysis to help me justify my pick.

October 13, 2009  04:30 AM ET

USF - biased, not used to seeing a 2nd top FBS tram from Ohio, but would love a Cinci win.

OU - I think they are better all around, like they way they match up against Texas. I agree it will be in the 20s and a score. The extra 3-7 point home field advantage for Texas could give them the edge.

Badgers - I guess I am not the only one here with a gut feeling the Badgers are better than perceived.


Boise - at this point, I don't think the issue for Boise is style points. They are at or above the glass ceiling, will be kept in the BCS top 11 as long as they keep winning.

They have 2 concerns - win out, and hope TCU loses. If TCU is placed side by side with BSU by the pollsters, the computers give TCU the nod.


Then again, as a game predictor,
I am so far off that if I used a dart board and a blind fold,
the most likely result is a dart stickout out of my thigh.

October 13, 2009  11:07 AM ET
QUOTE(#6):

However, the most compelling reason why an upset is not in the cards is the fact that tHog called it :)

LOL

October 14, 2009  03:58 PM ET
QUOTE(#6):

However, the most compelling reason why an upset is not in the cards is the fact that tHog called it :)

What? A Hog calling something...ain't that backwards...?

October 14, 2009  08:59 PM ET
QUOTE(#1):

This week will show what Auburn is made out of.

Kentucky played close at South Carolina last week but KY hasn't beat Auburn since 1966! I don't think the Wildcats will keep it close to Auburn but wow, are they ever overdue.

October 14, 2009  09:06 PM ET
QUOTE(#2):

and that it results in a Razorback victory!

I'm starting to understand why you miss all of your upset picks. ;):(

October 14, 2009  09:10 PM ET
QUOTE(#6):

Agree with all the SEC picks.

Agreement under consideration.

October 14, 2009  09:16 PM ET
QUOTE(#7):

South Florida's SOS (per Sagarin) is 140, which means their typical opponent is an FCS team.

Two of USF's opponents are indeed FCS teams, Wofford and Charly Southern. And a third opponent, WKU is in their first year at the FBS level. But they do have to convincing road wins over FSU and Syracuse.

October 16, 2009  10:57 AM ET
QUOTE(#10):

What? A Hog calling something...ain't that backwards...?

LMAO!

October 21, 2009  07:54 PM ET

Double posted from the Ice Haus thread post #3975

I think Bruce's NB3 are going to be:
1. Iowa vs Mich St.
2. TCU vs BYU
3. Oregon St. vs USC

For the Few More (FM) I'd suggest any of:
#3 Texas (6-0) @ Mizzou (4-2) - Will Texas stumble?

USF (5-1) @ #20 Pitt (6-1) - Big East showdown #1
UConn (4-2) @ #22 WVa (5-1) - Big East showdown #2

#12 Oregon (5-1) @ uDub (3-4) - Oregon might get caught looking ahead to USC game.

BC (5-2) @ Notre Dame (4-2) - domers getting BCS talk.

UB (3-4) @ Central Michigan (3-4)

Please be aware that if you select UB and pick them to win, I'll put a Yogi Bear video on the TV for GuideBear.

 
October 21, 2009  08:11 PM ET

B-i-G corrected me on the UB game.
UB (3-4) @ West Michigan (3-4)

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