Who Will Win Each Game, and More Importantly, Who Will Cover the Spread
Last week was another of those weeks where I didn't do particularly bad, but I certainly could have done better. The Eagles losing to the Raiders didn't help me at all, although I doubt anyone picked that to happen. Nor did the Jets losing to Buffalo or the Bengals dropping the ball against Houston. However I did take a lot of satisfaction in the fact that the Cardinals and Broncos won outright as underdog, which made no sense to me that either one of them was getting points in games I felt they should. Also, Baltimore, the other team I picked to win as a dog, covered even though they came up short (wide left actually) on the field.
I ended being 9-5 straight up and 7-7 against the spread. For the season, that leaves me with a record of 58-31 straight up and 44-45 (that sound you hear is me hitting my head against a wall) against the spread. It seems like all season long the point spreads have been enormous each week. I don't ever recall having so many lines that were more than a touchdown or even double digits every single. Unfortunately, this week is no different in that respect. Fortunately for me, there are several underdogs this week that I think have inflated numbers. The one thing that is making me real nervous though is that just about every team I like to win is a visiting team. It's hard to pick against almost every home team and feel good about it...(read entire article)
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