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There has been so much talk of teams that are "over-rated" and "under-rated" all over this site.  Well in the case of NCAA football I figured I could put this topic to rest.  While a fan or two may say that their team is great, I don't really consider that a rating of a team.  So to find a fair assessment of how a team has lived up to their hype I took a look at the top 25 standings over the last 5 years.  I then took a look at how far a team climbed or fell from the pre-season rankings to the final rankings.  If a team was not ranked I just gave them #26 to make this process a little quicker. This way you know where I am getting the numbers. 

 

Understand that these top 25 lists are simply based on fact.  You see a pre-season ranking is based on hype, and the final ranking is based on the team's performance for the entire season.  In no way am I saying one team is better than another.  I am simply putting out who is over and under rated.

 

****Interesting fact, of all of the teams to start or finish in the top 25 over the past 5 years Ohio State and Colorado State have an average of 0.  This means that these two programs neither over nor under-rated. They are the only schools in the country to meet that criterion. ****

Bucks

 

On to the top 25 over-rated schools of the past five years.  The number by the team is how many spots they have fallen, or gained over the past five seasons.

 

25. South Carolina (-4)

24. Arizona State (-5)

23. Maryland (-5)

22. Oregon (-6)

21. California (-7)

20. Marshall (-7)

19. Colorado (-7)

18. Missouri (-8)

17. Virginia Tech (-8)

16. Michigan State (-8)

15. LSU (-8)

14. Clemson (-10)

13. Texas A&M (-12)

12. Purdue (-12)

11. Nebraska (-13)

10. Virginia (-16)

9. Pittsburgh (-17)

8. Texas (-19)

7. Michigan (-24)

6. Oklahoma (-25)

5. Florida (-25)

4. Washington (-26)

3. Miami (-30)

2. Florida State (-45)

1. Tennessee (-48)

Oops

 

(Over-Rated teams NOT in the top 25, Kansas State (-2), Oklahoma State (-2), Auburn (-1), Georgia (-1), and NC State (-1))

 

 

Now on to the top 25 Under- Rated teams of the past five seasons.

 

25. Fresno State (+2)

25. Navy (+2)

24. Bowling Green (+ 3)

23. Minnesota (+5)

22. Oregon State (+5)

21. Wake Forest (+8)

20. Texas Tech (+8)

19. Brigham Young (BYU) (+10)

18. West Virginia (+10)

17. UCLA (+10)

16. Notre Dame (+10)

15. Louisville (+11)

14. Arkansas (+12)

13. Mississippi (Ole Miss) (+13)

12. Rutgers (+14)

11. Boston College (+15)

10. TCU (+15)

9. Miami (Ohio) (+16)

8. Washington State (+21)

7. Utah (+21)

6. USC (+23)

5. Iowa (+26)

4. Wisconsin (+28)

3. Alabama (+30)

2. Penn State (+23)

1. Boise State (+35)

Boise State 

 

 

(*note teams with the same number of spots gained or lost were just randomly placed, ex. Notre Dame and UCLA could be swapped.)

 

While you may or may not agree with these results, the truth is that I would like to see a better way to evaluate a team's "rating" without any bias.  I personally was surprised to see USC and Notre Dame on the Under-Rated side of these rankings, but like I said I only used the facts.    

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