1.) Chicago Bears (12-4): The Bears are still loaded on that defense and last time I checked nobody really got drastically better in this once proud division. Though they've improved every year of the Lovie Smith era it'll be hard to knock off that AFC opponent should they get back to the Super Bowl.
2.) Green Bay Packers (8-8): Only one losing season during the Brett Favre era in Green Bay. Should the Packers win at least two more home games where they've been suprisingly anemic the last few years, they'll be a playoff team.
3.) Minnesota Vikings (3-13): This will be the worst Vikings team in a long, long time. Good on the lines and at RB, bad just about everywhere else.
4.) Detroit Lions (2-14): Ok so they might be better than this even good enough to finish 3rd, but like with other teams like the Cardinals and Raiders until you don't perpetually finish last you're going to have to prove it.