In regards to the blog i posted the other day, Jim Thome did in fact hit his 500th career home run today. But another great hitter also reached a milestone today. Todd Helton hit the 300th home run of his career. Now I'm no idiot, and I know 300 career home runs does not make you hall-worthy, but I wonder one thing. Is todd helton a future hall of famer?
In order for Helton to be the first player to don a Rockies cap on his hall of fame plaque, he definitly needs to play for quite a bit more time. At least 7 more decent years, if you ask me. But lets take a look at his career stats to date, and try to predict his future in cooperstown, or if he has one at all.
As of 9/16/2007, Helton's career numbers look identical to this:
1,095runs, 1858hits, 451 doubles, 300 home runs, 1,075 rbi's, 971 bb vs. 754 SO's, .430 obp, .583 slg. pct., .331 average.
Helton's counting stats are nowhere near hall of fame worthy yet, as he hasnt played long enough to amass them. But looking at the stats like obp, slg. pct., and average, he looks like a sure fire hall of famer.
One problem Helton could be facing is his inability to hit home runs at this point in his career. His highest total the past three years has been 20, and he has played full seasons all three of these years. People say his drastic drop off in power developed after a back injury required him to alter his swing. Anyway, if he continues at this pace for the rest of his career, he would be lucky to hit 400 home runs.
If you ask me, however, I believe Helton is ahead of his home run total. Meaning I believe he WILL make the hall of fame, whether he starts hitting 30 homers a year again or not. During his career, Helton has never batted under .300 in a full season, and his lowest obp was .380, his rookie season. He has a career ops of 1.014, one of the best of all time. He also has incredible plate discipline for any player, but especially for a slugging first baseman. Any player with more career walks then strikeouts is excellent, but for a first baseman that is top tier talent. While he may not measure up to the other sluggers of his time in overall home run power, he makes up for it with high average and on base percentage. His Fielding is also superb, as he has a career .996 fielding pct. I believe Helton will be a hall of famer, the first ever Rockie to make it in.