hookem431's Blog
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There are some good games to watch this weekend, but I think that two top-10 teams fall, both from the Big Ten.

#10 Penn State @ Michigan:  Michigan will come out of this game on top.  Michigan is a team that is playing for nothing more than pride, and a test against a top-10 conference opponent, in the big house, is what they need to salvage some.

Penn State on paper looks to have the major advantage on both sides of the ball, but Michigan is playing with nothing to lose.  Anthony Morelli's stats look good in the early going of the season, but of his 628 passing yards and 8 touchdowns, 500 of those yard and 7 touchdowns came against FIU and Buffalo, while he was only able to muster a dismal 131 yards 1td and a pick against a terrible Notre Dame team.  Rodney Kinlaw and Austin Scott are decent coming out of the Nittany Lions backfield with one of them having a hundred yard game each week except for the FIU in which 7 other State RB's got touches.

Michigan is led by Mike Hart with 83 carries 502 yards and 5 touchdowns.  Penn State's rush defense has only given up 53 yards on their first three games, however, it is safe to say they have not faced a Mike Hart so far this year.  Say what you want about the Wolverine's defense, but they are playing with a chip on their shoulder.  Against Notre Dame, arguably one of the worst teams in college football yes, they held the Fighting Irish to their lowest offensive output of the year while shutting them out.  Michigan will not get walked on for the remainder of this year for the simple reason that no one in the Big Ten has the speed that Oregon has, and the style of football is much slower.  Hopefully, for Michigan, Henne will return to take some of the load of Hart, and Michigan can have all of its offensive weapons available.

Prediction:  Michigan 31 Penn State 21

 

If that prediction is not crazy enough try this:  Iowa @ #9 Wisconsin prevails.

Do not read too much into Iowa's loss to the Cyclones last week, as they have gone 3-7 now against them over the last 10 years, and usually with a better team.  The Iowa offense is not much to speak of, but their defense is the reason they will pull this one out.  The Hawkeyes have won their last two games at Camp Randall Stadium and the defense could make it three in a row.  Iowa's defense is giving up just over 200 yards a game with the majority coming from rival Iowa State last weekend. 

Tyler Donovan is off to an ok start averaging about 200 yards and 2 touchdowns a game.  Donovan has yet to throw an interception this year, but look for that to end this weekend.  P.J. Hill is clearly the leader of this offense.  Hill is averaging over 5 yards a carry and has 6tds on the year so far.  The best defense faced by Wisconsin had to be Washington State who held Hill to 84 yards on 21 carries, but also gave up 2 tds.    Hill's 12 car 96 yards and 3 tds in the first half against Citadel last week allowed the Badgers to be tied at the half.  Donovan in the first half went 6/11 64 yards no tds and was sacked 2 times.  In the second half depth took over as Hill continued to run wild, and Donovan went 8/9 137 yards and a pair of touchdowns.

Prediction:  Do not look for the Hawkeye defense to tire out in the second half.  Iowa stuns Wisconsin in the closing minutes 27-24.

Other interesting games:

#12 South Carolina @ #2 LSU-Tigers dismantle their second top-25 opponent while the old ball coach claims his playbook was stolen.

#21 Kentucky @ Arkansas-Hogs look to rebound after heartbreaking loss to Alabama.  Kentucky faces a SEC defense and realizes how bad the Cardinals D really was.

#22 Georgia @ #16 Alabama-Bama gave up 300 yards and 2 touchdowns to possibly the best backfield in the NCAA, 150 yards and 3 touchdowns through the air, and still managed to score more.  Georgia's offense no where near Arkansas's and defense is not much better either.  Roll tide!!!

Washington @ UCLA-Bruins try to rebound from humiliating loss at the hands of Utah.  Washington shows Bruins were grossly overrated with win, and start preparing for USC next week.

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