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Well, well, well. For the first time since starting this, it's not being done at 3 AM. Instead, 9:40 PM in between studying and homework

 

Let's get it started!

 

First, the playoff picture

 

AFC
1. Baltimore
2. NY Jets
3. Indianapolis
4. Kansas City
5. New England
6. Pittsburgh

 

NFC
1. NY Giants
2. Atlanta
3. Green Bay
4. Seattle
6. Philadelphia

 

Only one new team entered the standings this week (Philly over Tampa Bay), but the AFC switched up entirely. The NFC remained nearly identical. Now that we know that, let's get on to the drafting

 

There's a change this week also. I'll be doing all 32 teams since it's not 2 AM.

 

1. Buffalo Bills select Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford (Last week: Luck)

 

I'm not going to lie, this spot is getting shakier and shakier. Fitzpatrick has looked very good this season. He put up another 300 yard game Sunday (technically 299). The longer he plays this well, the less likely the Bills are going to handicap themselves with a QB at #1 overall

 

2. Dallas Cowboys select Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU (Last week: Peterson)

 

Todd McShay had the Cowboys selecting Da'Quan Bowers. I don't know why because they have pass rushers. They need to fix the awful secondary that gave up 289 yards and 3 TDs last week to Green Bay

 

3. Carolina Panthers select Marcel Dareus, DT, Alabama (Last week: Derek Sherrod)

 

First off, I found Scout Inc.'s top 32 prospects and Sherrod isn't on there. Shows how hard it is to rank OTs. Regardless, they need help defensively after giving up over 30 points to the Saints

 

4. San Francisco 49ers select Prince Amukamara, CB, Nebraska (Last week: Amukamara)

 

The need is still CB and Peterson still won't be there. Simple as that.

 

5. Denver Broncos select Da'Quan Bowers, DE, Clemson (Last week: Dareus)

 

The defensive line is the key here. Drafting Stephen Paea from Oregon State is a possibility, but I think the prospect of lining up a pass rusher opposite Elvis Dumervil next year is too good to pass up

 

6. Cincinnati Bengals select Robert Quinn, DE, UNC (Last week: Locker)

 

I don't see it in Palmer. But, after looking into it, no way the Bengals give up on him after just giving him a huge extension. They have a ton of offensive weapons, so look for them to address a defensive line that has just 7 sacks on the year.

 

7. Detroit Lions select Adrian Clayborn, DE, Iowa (Last week: Quinn)

 

Same position as last week, simply a different player. Pairing Clayborn with Suh is going to create a tandem that'll wreak havoc on QBs. As a Vikings fan, this tandem scares me just thinking about it

 

8. Minnesota Vikings select Jake Locker, QB, Washington (Last week: Ryan Mallet)

 

I don't want it. Locker has the likes of a bust written all over him. He's not performed like people thought, but for some reason, scouts are still high on him. I'll take McShay's word on this one as he's far more accurate than Mel Kiper. But the Vikings could go a ton of different ways with this: DT to replace Pat Williams, DE to replace Ray Edwards

 

9. Arizona Cardinals select Anthony Castonzo, OT, Boston College (Last week: Bruce Carter)

 

And here's the first OT in the game. Now that I have a reliable ranking system, I can tell you who these teams who I know need OTs but I can't find them will draft.

 

The Cards have given up 28 sacks this year, including 6 Sunday to the Vikings who had 8 coming into the game

 

10. Cleveland Browns select A.J. Green, WR, Georgia (Last week: Green)

 

This won't change. Mark my words. This is the lock of the draft. Look above these guys. No one needs a WR. The Browns biggest weakness? An offensive playmaker. Green makes plays, to say the least

 

11. San Diego Chargers select Janoris Jenkins, CB, Florida (Last week: Clayborn)

 

This is entirely pointless. The Chargers are about to make their patented run late in the season and reel off a bunch of wins to get into the playoffs. If they win Sunday, they could jump 10 spots back in the draft.

 

12. Jacksonville Jaguars select Stephen Paea, DT, Oregon State (Last week: Bowers)

 

Again, defensive line is the issue. Forcing the issue against Schaub and Manning is key and Paea, who has 4 sacks at the DT position, can do that. Plus, he's 6'1 and 311 lbs and can eat up blockers

 

13. St. Louis Rams select Akeem Ayers, LB, UCLA (Last week: Nick Fairley)

 

The Rams didn't play and moved up in the draft. Always a good week. Regardless, the Rams need a complement to James Laurinitis and Ayers is perfect for that.

 

14. Seattle Seahawks select Ryan Mallet, QB, Arkansas (Last week: N/A)

 

Their 4-4 record, despite being a playoff team, puts them here. And if here, they need to start planning for the future by taking Mallet.

 

15. Washington Redskins select Nick Fairley, DT, Auburn (Last week: Julio Jones)

 

They won't deal with Haynesworth for another season and Fairley can step in and play the 3-4 DT. It also lets the Redskins trade Haynesworth and not require a DT in return

 

16. Houston Texans select Ryan Kerrigan, DE, Purdue (Last week: Jenkins)

 

If the Texans stay here, Jenkins is their pick. They need a CB. If things change, which they will, giving them a DE to go on the other side of Mario Williams would be perfect. The defense is solid besides that and they certainly don't need help offensively.

 

17. Miami Dolphins select Aaron Williams, CB, Texas (Last week: Ayers)

 

The Dolphins have issues in the secondary. They just signed the old Al Harris this week to replace their CB bust in Jason Allen. Despite going CB last year, they might do it again this year because of the situation. They may go for Mark Ingram here too, however, with both Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams being free agents

 

18. New England Patriots Mark Ingram, RB, Alabama (Last week: Ingram)

 

Rarely has a former Heisman winning RB fallen this low, but it's the case with Ingram. His injury to start the year and time spent splitting carries with Trent Richardson has lowered his stock. Of course, the Patriots would be the one swoop in and take him

 

19. Chicago Bears select Nate Solder, OT, Colorado (Last week: Castonzo)

 

I don't think I really need to explain this pick

 

20. Kansas City Chiefs select Allen Bailey, DE, Miami (Last week: N/A)

 

The Chiefs have no pass rusher. They need one. Bailey isn't the best of the best, but one of the others may slip to this spot

 

21. Tampa Bay Bucs select Von Miller, LB, Texas A&M (Last week: N/A)

 

Again, they need someone to get at the QB and Miller has 5 sacks this year, but had 17 last year. His resume speaks for itself

 

22. Tennessee Titans select Julio Jones, WR, Alabama (Last week: Rahim Moore)

 

Randy Moss is a one-year fix to a problem they're going to have again this offseason. Jones should be a more permanent fix

 

23. Philadelphia Eagles select Derek Sherrod, OT, Miss. St (Last week: Jimmy Smith)

 

I told you they needed a lineman last week and I found one this week. Their offensive line issues have been somewhat hidden with Vick's scrambling abilities, but they got Kevin Kolb concussed in Week 1

 

24. Indianapolis Colts select Drake Nevis, DT, LSU (Last week: N/A)

 

The Colts have never had a very good DT. Nevis isn't great, but he's someone who can help Mathis and Freeney get free

 

25. Green Bay Packers select Cameron Heyward, DE, Ohio State (Last week: N/A)

 

They have the pass rushing OLB, but Heyward can provide that from the defensive line. And lining him opposite of Matthews would create all kinds of problems

 

26. New Orleans Saints select Rahim Moore, S, UCLA (Last week: N/A)

 

It's time to replace Sharper. They rely on him a lot and Moore can step in and start filling that role

 

27. New York Giants select Demarcus Love, OT, Arkansas (Last week: N/A)

 

The Giants need to get back that dominating run game they used to have. Love can kick-start that.

 

28. New England Patriots select Jeremy Beal, OLB, Oklahoma (Last week: N/A)

 

They'll address the defensive side of the ball with their 2nd pick. Beal is a solid LB that can help the Pats right away

 

29. New York Jets select Rodney Hudson, C, Florida State (Last week: N/A)

 

While not their biggest need, McShay had them taking a WR. I think my pick is slightly more reasonable

 

30. Baltimore Ravens select Brandon Burton, CB, Utah (Last week: N/A)

 

Moore is the better option as the Ravens need to plan for life without Reed, but the secondary in general is an issue needing addressed

 

31. Atlanta Falcons select Kyle Rudolph, TE, Notre Dame (Last week: N/A)

 

How much does Tony Gonzalez have left in the tank, honestly? Finding his replacement could be an option the Falcons take

 

32. Pittsburgh Steelers select Mike Pouncey, G, Florida (Last week: N/A)

 

In the story that will get entirely too much Sportscenter attention, the Pouncey twins are reunited in Pittsburgh. Why not?
November 10, 2010  11:55 PM ET

I agree that Locker has looked bad this year, but he's got all the credentials and the skill set to be a very succesful NFL QB. When healthy, he's lead some great drives. Keep in mind also, he's on a team that really leans on him more than it should. If he had better talent around him, I think his true potential would shine through more. I'd love to see the Niners draft him if Andrew Luck isn't there.

Also, I got accepted to Indiana. I know you go there Rude, what's the inside scoop? What's your favorite part about being a Hoosier?

November 11, 2010  12:28 AM ET
QUOTE(#1):

I agree that Locker has looked bad this year, but he's got all the credentials and the skill set to be a very succesful NFL QB. When healthy, he's lead some great drives. Keep in mind also, he's on a team that really leans on him more than it should. If he had better talent around him, I think his true potential would shine through more. I'd love to see the Niners draft him if Andrew Luck isn't there.Also, I got accepted to Indiana. I know you go there Rude, what's the inside scoop? What's your favorite part about being a Hoosier?

Well, sports are huge here. We suck at football but the cheer section is full every game. And basketball games are just absolutely nuts.

Academically, the classes aren't hard (unless you're wanting to be a business major) but they are kind of big for the general classes. Once you get into your specific major, they are much more specialized, but you can only expect so much from a campus of 30000 students

November 17, 2010  02:24 AM ET
QUOTE(#1):

I agree that Locker has looked bad this year, but he's got all the credentials and the skill set to be a very successful NFL QB. When healthy, he's lead some great drives. Keep in mind also, he's on a team that really leans on him more than it should. If he had better talent around him, I think his true potential would shine through more. I'd love to see the Niners draft him if Andrew Luck isn't there.

Basically at QB here are only two Luck and Locker Mallett may go late in the round and has a cannon of an arm but those mobility problems remind me of Leftwich . Luck right now is the #1 though and I don't care how good Fitzpatrick does if they are here this is the pick Galley is considered a QB guru and they will take a QB if there is one available when they pick . Locker has definitely freefallen from #1 overall projected of him but not as far as some think first off he is the only viable early first grade QB after Luck therefore he will be off the table early probably earlier than you have him going as someone will move up to take him . Buffalo Carolina Arizona San Fran Minnesota and possibly Kansas City Jacksonville and Miami are teams with probable to possible QB changes in the off-season. This doesn't even include possible organization changes that could effect Chicago Oakland and Denver. All in all found it interesting question for you Carolina picks #1 do you think they pass on Luck I find it doubtful this is a QB driven league whoever picks #1 takes Luck before #5 Locker goes possibly even at 2 depending on who needs a QB and more importantly who wants one remember that next year there could be a rookie salary cap that would greatly enhance the picking of QB's earlier

November 17, 2010  02:35 AM ET
QUOTE(#3):

Basically at QB here are only two Luck and Locker Mallett may go late in the round and has a cannon of an arm but those mobility problems remind me of Leftwich . Luck right now is the #1 though and I don't care how good Fitzpatrick does if they are here this is the pick Galley is considered a QB guru and they will take a QB if there is one available when they pick . Locker has definitely freefallen from #1 overall projected of him but not as far as some think first off he is the only viable early first grade QB after Luck therefore he will be off the table early probably earlier than you have him going as someone will move up to take him . Buffalo Carolina Arizona San Fran Minnesota and possibly Kansas City Jacksonville and Miami are teams with probable to possible QB changes in the off-season. This doesn't even include possible organization changes that could effect Chicago Oakland and Denver. All in all found it interesting question for you Carolina picks #1 do you think they pass on Luck I find it doubtful this is a QB driven league whoever picks #1 takes Luck before #5 Locker goes possibly even at 2 depending on who needs a QB and more importantly who wants one remember that next year there could be a rookie salary cap that would greatly enhance the picking of QB's earlier

I think Mallett will be a first rounder. He's just got too good of an arm not to. He'll be a sitting duck in pocket, but at nearly 6-7, and over 240 lbs, this guy will be able to take some hits.

As for Luck and Locker. They both have great arms as well, but they can also move and throw on the run. While they may not be as huge as Mallett, they've both got good size as well standing in at 6-4 and 6-3 respectively, both over 225 lbs.

And I agree, I don't care if Fitzpatrick makes the pro bowl, he isn't a long term solution. Andrew Luck, is a potential franchise changer.

But I think Luck will stay for another year, making it a toss up between Locker and Mallett, and I have a feeling, Locker will be taken before Mallett.

November 17, 2010  01:27 PM ET
QUOTE(#4):

I think Mallett will be a first rounder. He's just got too good of an arm not to. He'll be a sitting duck in pocket, but at nearly 6-7, and over 240 lbs, this guy will be able to take some hits. As for Luck and Locker. They both have great arms as well, but they can also move and throw on the run. While they may not be as huge as Mallett, they've both got good size as well standing in at 6-4 and 6-3 respectively, both over 225 lbs. And I agree, I don't care if Fitzpatrick makes the pro bowl, he isn't a long term solution. Andrew Luck, is a potential franchise changer.But I think Luck will stay for another year, making it a toss up between Locker and Mallett, and I have a feeling, Locker will be taken before Mallett.

But Buffalo has so many issues and with someone like Patrick Peterson available...

I guess what I'm saying is this. Let's say Andrew Luck doesn't declare this year. I don't know how possible that is, but I think he may learn from Locker how much your draft stock can suffer from one more year. But let's say he doesn't declare. The Bills can choose between a QB, which are a dime a dozen, or someone like Patrick Peterson, who rarely comes along.

They take Peterson and suffer through one more down year. Next year? They'll be sitting high up in the draft again and can likely draft Luck. Fitzpatrick may not be a long term solution, but with so many issues and there always being a "franchise" QB available, Peterson might make more sense

 
November 25, 2010  10:20 AM ET

So only 5 teams are going to the playoffs from the NFC?

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