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Week 10 Picks

Sorry these are so late, I had a really busy week and wanted to get them in before the week started. 

It must be noted that I am a college student and I am not a journalism major, nor do I plan on ever writing for a living. I make picks because I find them entertaining. I base my picks off the spread because my dad and I used to bet on the spreads for every game every week.

Disclaimer: My picks will NOT win you money in any arena of betting; in fact they will probably lose you money. I do them for fun and for small amounts of money with my friends as a competitive thing.

Minnesota Vikings (3-5) at Green Bay Packers (7-1)
Interesting game, the Packers took it earlier in the season at the Metrodome and the Vikings have found Adrian Peterson as he hits holes the size of a school bus. I would give GB the win, and I love Brett’s renewed energy and the Packers D; but since I bet off the spread I have to take the Vikings, because 6 points is enough to help AP beat the Pack alone.

Jacksonville Jaguars (5-3) at Tennessee Titans (6-2)
I love watching AFC South teams slug it out, because they really do slug it out. With that said, I’m in the situation where I think the Titans will win, but because these teams play each other so closely I’m taking the Jags +4 to win my bet.

Denver Broncos (3-5) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-4)
This game doesn’t inspire me to write much, LJ is out (I think), but I don’t think that necessarily matters. I’ll give the win to the favorite here and take KC -3 against another struggling team from Denver.

Buffalo Bills (4-4)  at Miami Dolphins (0-8)
I cannot believe the Bills are only a 3 point favorite over Miami, to me the difference between these teams right now is night and day; the Bills are a team on a surprising way up after the injuries they’ve had, and I don’t think Miami can get any worse. I’m taking Buffalo -3 and feeling safe doing it.

St. Louis Rams (0-8) at New Orleans Saints (4-4)
The Saints are surprising everyone right now, Brees is back on track and Bush is getting things done. I don’t know how many people thought the Saints would end up beating the Jags usually stout D by 17. So with that fresh in my mind I put my money on the Saints to crush the Rams, and take New Orleans -10.5 even though it sounds like a lot for a .500 team.

Cleveland Browns (5-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2)
This is my favorite game of the week, partly because I’m a Browns fan, and partly because I consider the 9.5 spread a steal for my Brownies. I may also be partly delusional, 8 weeks removed from the 35-7 drubbing of us in the opener, but with DA hitting Edwards and Winslow in full stride and Jamal pounding it is, I can’t turn my back on the Browns. Now, my logic doesn’t let me take the Browns to win, but I can take Cleveland +9.5 without the blink of my eye.

Philadelphia Eagles (3-5) at Washington Redskins (5-3)
I don’t like the Eagles at this point in this season, they just look dysfunctional and are shocking to me at 3-5 the way they play. The ‘Skins are a nice 5-3 and I think they bounce back after a close call with the Jets, I’m still waiting for Jason Campbell to have his first pass to a WR this season and I look for it to happen this week as Washington -3 beat the Eagles at home.

Atlanta Falcons (2-6) at Carolina Panthers (4-4)
I don’t know, I’m hard-pressed to pick either of these teams week in and week out but here they are playing each other, making my life fun. The spread is nothing compelling, but with the Panthers changing QB’s more often than I wash my favorite jeans, I have to take Atlanta +4…but if the QB for Carolina can follow the gameplan and hit Steve Smith in stride, the bet goes out the window.

Cincinnati Bengals (2-6) at Baltimore Ravens (4-4)
I love AFC North Division weeks, except this is definitely the 2nd fiddle game to the Browns-Steelers matchup. Both these teams were predicted to do pretty well this year, and both have struggled severely. I’ll take Cincinnati +3.5 because Baltimore has a battered up secondary and I don’t even think the Bengals D is bad enough to give up more than a few scores to this Ravens O.

Chicago Bears (3-5) at Oakland Raiders (2-6)
When PTI informed me that Lane Kiffin intended on kicking at Devin Hester, I was confused. I mean, I know they’re 2-6, but that’s just ridiculous. And even though they plan on kicking to D-Hest, as he is apparently known, I don’t think that he’s enough to beat a frustrated Raiders team at home. I take Oakland +3.5 and immediately regret my pick, but I’m locked in it.

Dallas Cowboys (7-1) at New York Giants (6-2)
This has all the making to be a great game: potent offense meets solid D, Romo meets Osi and friends, Giants are 1 point dogs at home…but the Giants have beaten some questionable teams and I think Romo has it in him to steal one from the home team. Cowboys win -1.5

Detroit Lions (6-2) at Arizona Cardinals (3-5)
I know the Cardinals play well at home, but I’m not sold. The Lions are a shocking underdog to me here, and I don’t think their train stops this week. Detroit +1.5 wins it.

Indianapolis Colts (7-1) at San Diego Chargers (4-4)
Peyton’s gotta be flustered after that strip-sack, and I think he’ll take his vengeance out against a Chargers D that decided to take a day off against Peterson. The Colts -3.5 take the Chargers, but it still will be a fun game to watch.

San Francisco 49ers (2-6) at Seattle Seahawks (4-4)
What a Monday night showdown!! This game is living proof that division games can be boring and that the NFL should have the flexibility of slightly changing the schedules. With that said, I’m still taking Seattle -10 because they’re pissed after losing on the road to the Browns and they’ll use the 49ers as their punching bags.

I'll try to get next weeks in earlier, lets hope for some good games tomorrow!