I'm so happy - this is the easiest to compute the NAPOs have ever been! No knots, and the longest chain of wins I've seen yet. Check this out - each team beat the team immediately after them:
Indianapolis-Jacksonville-Carolina-Seattle-Arizona-Cleveland-Buffalo-Washington-Giants-Philadelphia-Dallas-Green Bay-Oakland-Denver-Kansas City
After that, it was just a matter of fitting the others into the order based on success against common opponents. And where necessary, progressing through degrees of separation like I normally do.
No idea what I'm talking about? You must be new here. These are my Natural Power Rankings, a weekly feature where I rank the teams based on their performance only over the past three weeks, using final scores from the games played and nothing else. This gives me an objective, unbiased, mathematical gauge of where the teams are, and while it seems like BS at first glance, it's done a remarkably good job of predicting game results this season.
The fun thing this week is that the AFC West, by beating up on each other, has doomed all but San Diego to the bottom four teams in the league.
Here are this week's Natural Power Rankings, with the team's record over the past three weeks in parentheses:
- 1) Indianapolis (3-0)
- 2) New England (3-0)
- 3) Jacksonville (2-1)
- 4) San Diego (3-0)
- 5) Tennessee (2-1)
- 6) Houston (2-1)
- 7) Pittsburgh (1-2)
- 8) Carolina (2-1)
- 9) Seattle (2-1)
- 10) Tampa Bay (2-1)
- 11) New Orleans (2-1)
- 12) Arizona (1-2)
- 13) Cleveland (2-1)
- 14) NY Jets (1-2)
- 15) Buffalo (2-1)
- 16) Washington (2-1)
- 17) Minnesota (3-0)
- 18) NY Giants (2-1)
- 19) Philadelphia (1-2)
- 20) Chicago (0-3)
- 21) Dallas (2-1)
- 22) San Francisco (1-2)
- 23) Detroit (0-3)
- 24) Green Bay (2-1)
- 25) Cincinnati (1-2)
- 26) Miami (1-2)
- 27) St. Louis (1-2)
- 28) Atlanta (0-3)
- 29) Oakland (1-2)
- 30) Denver (1-2)
- 31) Baltimore (0-3)
- 32) Kansas City (0-3)
And thus, the NAPOs make the following predictions for this week's games:
Pittsburgh beats St. Louis
Carolina beats Dallas
New Orleans beats Philadelphia
Buffalo beats NY Giants
Chicago beats Green Bay
Cleveland beats Cincinnati
Detroit beats Kansas City
Indianapolis beats Houston
Jacksonville beats Oakland
Arizona beats Atlanta
Tampa Bay beats San Francisco
Seattle beats Baltimore
Tennessee beats NY Jets
New England beats Miami
Washington beats Minnesota
San Diego beats Denver
Interestingly, all but four of these are home teams. So that helps the odds of the upsets happening. I think I'm going straight NAPO picks in my office pool this week - we'll see how it goes.

Nina Agdal
Emily DiDonato


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