Predicting NFL Games: Who Does It Best?
Over at TheFanYard.com, we have been crunching numbers for a while now, and watching as our users have done better at picking the winners of NFL games than the experts at any of the major sites we have been comparing them to. Because I have not been able to find anything comparable at SI.com, we have been watching the experts and users at ESPN, Yahoo and CBSSportsline. After 15 weeks of the 2007 NFL season, the results of the FanYard community continue to slowly pull away from the experts on these sites.
Here are the results:
As you can see, over the course of the first 15 weeks of the 2007 NFL season, the Yardstick has favored more winning teams than have beenpicked by any of the experts, or any set of site users. These are exactly the type of results we were hoping for, and you can't imagine how fulfilling it is to see validation in data of the concept of the Yardstick that is still less than a year old.
I blogged about it yesterday, but thought it would be wise to let FanNation users know as well. The system we are using and the idea of having a Yardstick for games - set by fans and not a number dictated by the money coming in on games - is something I think many people here would embrace, as it is truly about the fans of the games and what they think about the outcome of upcoming football and basketball games. The Yardstick takes back from the gambling complanies the power to tell the public which teams are favored and by how much.
If you want to have your opinion be counted in the Yardstick for games you are interested in, it will take you no time to sign up at FanYard. FanYard has in its system to date: NFL, college football, NBA and college basketball and there is a Yardstick set for every single game of the season for each.
We just yesterday introduced a new method of picking games which makes it much easier and faster, especially when you get into basketball, where there are so many more games than in football.
Check it out, I'd love to hear what you think!
Oh, and I just thought I would test a theory by changing the title of this blog. But, since I must now mention him, Tom Brady - who just became the first quarterback since Joe Montana in the Eighties to win the AP Male Athlete of the Year - and the New England Patriots are favored, yet again, to win this week. The Yardstick for their game against the Dolphins has them as 13-point favorites. Happy Fishing, Bill Parcells.
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Comments (10) Add A Comment
I liked the new sliding scale to make my picks, it was alot easier and faster.
I'm kickin butt btw..;)
Tracy00214-Is back!
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Thanks Tracy! Glad you like it. Best of luck this weekend. I see you have the Rams to win by ten tonight. I hope it is not much of Jackson's doing if so. My fantasy Super Bowl is this weekend and my opponent has him. I need to decide who to play: two out of McGahee, Peterson and Kenny Watson. Seems simple, but if Rudi is out...Cleveland's run D is porous, compared to Seattle's and Washington's....arg!
Blake Butterfield
Beverly Hills , CA
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You cant take a chance on Watson, they like Dorsey too much. Not in the Superbowl anyway. I didnt realize I had the Rams by ten, I thought I had them at 3.
Tracy00214-Is back!
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I'm going to go fix that now..;)
Tracy00214-Is back!
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nice one Blake
Rick Perreault
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Good point, Tracy...and I see that Troy Smith will be under center for Baltimore, so Willis should get a ton of carries:-) And there really was no chance of benching Peterson. I should have said it was b/w McGahee and Watson.
Merci, Mr. Perreault.
Blake Butterfield
Beverly Hills , CA
Total Comments (41)
And...it is the Steelers you have to win by ten tonight, Tracy. My bad. I have Rams on the brain because of Jackson's potential tonight.
Blake Butterfield
Beverly Hills , CA
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Yes, but I wanted them by 3. I knew what you meant.
Tracy00214-Is back!
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I have the Steelers D in my Superbowl on Bullysports. I really need them to get back to being the D they are supposed to be.
Tracy00214-Is back!
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It can't hurt having that Smith kid benched. I know I am sure hoping their run D is awesome tonight!
Blake Butterfield
Beverly Hills , CA
Total Comments (41)
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