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Posted by:
Flambo Gus
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Before I move on to this week's Pick Ups, Drops, and Fools Gold, I'd like to look back at last week's Start / Sit column and point out my Hits and Misses:

  • Miss - Sit All Rookies - Obviously Cam Newton made a fool of me there.
  • Hit - Sit St. Louis Defense - They only mustered 5 points against Philly, but should be a solid fantasy defense moving forward.
  • Miss - Sit Jimmy Graham - 4 rec, 56 yards, and a TD in Drew Brees unbelievable game on Thursday. 11 points (or 11.6) in standard leagues is good production.
  • Hit - Pretty much the entire Ravens / Steelers game - While I had no way of knowing that Pittsburgh would crap themselves like they did, the offensive stars for Baltimore had great games.
  • Hit - Kevin Kolb, Fred Jackson, Kyle Orton - Each reached the benchmark yards of their positions (100 rushing, 100 receiving, or 300 passing) and figure to be off to great fantasy starts.

Pick Ups:

  1. Ben Tate (46% owned) - Arian Foster was obviously not on the field yesterday, and Hamstring injuries have a way of lingering if not treated properly. While Derrick Ward was credited with the start, Tate's 116 yards and 1 TD were the highlight of the Texans running game.
  2. Cadillac Williams (18%) - Pressed into duty early against the Eagles due to the Steven Jackson injury (gasp), Williams finished the day with 91 yards and a 4.8 YPC average.
  3. Ryan Fitzpatrick (48%) - An underrated QB, faces a soft Raiders pass defense next week.
  4. Devery Henderson (29%) - 6 Rec, 100 yards, and a TD are good numbers for the 8th year man in New Orleans. The Marques Colston injury gives Henderson additional value.
  5. Mike Jenkins (1%) - Yes, Donovan McNabb only threw for 39 yards, but Jenkins still managed 4 Rec, 26 yards, and 1 TD on the day. McNabb won't always play that poorly, and Jenkins may quickly emerge as his favorite target.

(*** % owned based on Yahoo Fantasy Football ***)

Drops:

Ok, so maybe drops this early in the season would be too reactionary based on the limited amount of game time, but these are definitely situations to keep an eye on.

  1. Ryan Grant (86%) - Just 9 carries and 40 yards, Grant may find his touches limited. Sharing time with James Starks and John Kuhn in a passing dominated offense are the three main reasons.
  2. Matt Cassel (62%) - A pretty rough start for Cassel, who had just 119 yards, 1 TD, and 1 INT in his first game without OC Charlie Weis. Could this be an indicator of things to come?
  3. James Jones (21%) - At worst, he's the odd man out in the Packers deep receiving corps, at best he climbs to the 4th option in the Packers (Jennings, Driver, Finley) offense.
  4. Austin Collie (86%) - Kerry Collins completed passes to just 4 players. Collie was targeted just three times and had 0 catches. Expect just about every Colts player to suffer in the absense of Peyton Manning this year.
  5. Chad Ochocinco (95%) - 3 targets and just 1 catch in Brady's record setting MNF performance. Ochocinco was vastly overdrafted in many cases and will need time to develop a report with Brady.

Fools Gold:

  1. Cam Newton (43%) - Call me a fool, a hater, whatever you want, but I don't see Cam as a reliable fantasy option at QB. Rookie QBs are notoriously hit or miss, mostly miss. Don't get caught up in the hype surrounding him.
  2. Chad Henne (17%) - As much fan as his MNF Showdown with Brady was, Henne's production is very sproadic.
  3. Early Doucet (6%) - Take away his 70 yard catch and run, and Doucet's 16.5 fantasy points are really just 3.5. On a team with plenty of options, Doucet won't have a big role from week to week.
  4. Randall Cobb (22%) - An impressive debut for the rookie from Kentucky, but Cobb has to fight for touches with the likes of Jennings, Driver, Finley, Nelson, and James Jones. Don't expect too much week to week production unless the injuries begin to mount like last year.
  5. The Majority of the 300 yard QBs - 14 of this week's 32 starting QBs threw for over 300 yards this weekend. 44% of the QBs! A lot of defenses seemed unprepared. Expect that to change in quickly as these Head Coaches and DCs get into the film room.

Injury updates:

  1. Peyton Manning - Likely done for the season.
  2. Nate Kaeding - Likely done for the season.
  3. Danny Amendola - Likely done for the season.
  4. Marques Colston - Broken Collarbone, likely to miss at least two months.
  5. Steven Jackson - Likely out for week 2 with a Quad injury.
September 13, 2011  10:35 AM ET

Great blog Gus.

September 13, 2011  10:35 AM ET

The Browns are still the Clowns but at least the Ravens beat the steelers.

Comment #3 has been removed
September 13, 2011  11:04 AM ET

It's like watching all the bad things about my fantasy team. I put up the most points in my league, but have no RBs going forward (Steven Jackson, Moreno, Lynch, Jonathan Stewart, Spiller). Thank god I have Brady and Welker.

September 13, 2011  11:44 AM ET
QUOTE(#3):

Beat them like a redheaded stepchild.

Yes they did. It was great.

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Comment #7 has been removed
Comment #10 has been removed
September 13, 2011  07:54 PM ET

I think the thing people need to be wary of with Randall Cobb is that both his touchdowns were scored due to "mistakes" on his own part.

- His receiving touchdown came on a play where he ran the wrong route.
- His kick return touchdown was scored on a play where he was supposed to take a knee for the touchback. He was not coached to run that ball out of the end zone.

On one side that makes the plays he has made even more impressive. But the flip side is that it makes his future statistical output completely unreliable.

September 13, 2011  07:54 PM ET

Cool blog. Not sold on Mike Jenkins... at all.

Can't wait for all of the clowns to pick up Cobb and Ginn Jr.

Add Daniel Thomas to the drops- Unimpressive in camp and pre-season Bush looked OK and he was inactive last night anyways.
Tolbert to the add if he is available in leagues
Sproles to the add-total knee jerk reaction but i really think he plays a large role in the Saints Offense
Gaffney to the add- I was big on him last year after the pre-season but i think he will be really solid in Washington. Grossman spreads the ball around.
Jordy Nelson to the add- Driver is aging and Rodgers really looks to be going his way.

Keep an eye on
Fred Thomas- played great against the Giants
Emmanuel Sanders

September 13, 2011  07:56 PM ET
QUOTE(#11):

I think the thing people need to be wary of with Randall Cobb is that both his touchdowns were scored due to "mistakes" on his own part.- His receiving touchdown came on a play where he ran the wrong route.- His kick return touchdown was scored on a play where he was supposed to take a knee for the touchback. He was not coached to run that ball out of the end zone.On one side that makes the plays he has made even more impressive. But the flip side is that it makes his future statistical output completely unreliable.

Someone would have to either be really lacking at the reciever position/just desperate or just plain dumb to start Cobb after one game. He still is the 5th receiving option on the Packers maybe even the 6th.

September 13, 2011  07:58 PM ET
QUOTE(#11):

I think the thing people need to be wary of with Randall Cobb is that both his touchdowns were scored due to "mistakes" on his own part.- His receiving touchdown came on a play where he ran the wrong route.- His kick return touchdown was scored on a play where he was supposed to take a knee for the touchback. He was not coached to run that ball out of the end zone.On one side that makes the plays he has made even more impressive. But the flip side is that it makes his future statistical output completely unreliable.

Someone would have to be completley lacking at the reciever position/desperate or just plain dumb to start Cobb after that game. You can't rely on kick return/punt return TDs in standard leagues not to mention he is still the Packers 5th or even 6th receiving option.

 
September 13, 2011  07:58 PM ET

My bad on the double post didnt think it posted the first one.

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