Just by the numbers.
There are 450 jobs in the NBA, and the average lifespan is around 4.7. So you have a rollover about every 10 years.
The next question is what is superlative? An A in class is 90/93 depending on your school, all-NBA is 3 teams of 5, an All-Star is 24. In other words, the ratio of All-NBA to ???regular NBAer is 30 to 1, First Team is 90 to 1. The All-Star ratio is 1 to 18.75 what should the HoFer ratio be? 50 to 1? 100 to 1? If we use 50 to 1, then on any given year- 9 players can be considered playing at a HOF level. Is that accurate?
Who is playing at a HoF level right now?
LeBron
Durant
Wade
Kobe
Paul
Howard
Kevin Love
- all can be considered, if this is their ???normal??? year- and they did it for 7 years- they would be a HoF, correct?
Ok so you can say if those 8 are playing at a HOF level, I don???t think Westbrook is, and Rose is out too much (last year, swap Rose for Love and you still are at 8.)
Is HoF at 8 to 1 a good margin? That???s 5 years at 1st team and 3 at Second Team All-Nba level.
I can live with a 56.25 to 1 HoF ratio. In every 3 Draft Classes, we have 2 HoFers come in the League. We have a MAX of 3, but in years where there are less than 3, the ???slot??? rolls over, so we might have 4 or even 5 in a class.
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I???m 38. I???ve been watching the NBA since 1980. I go back to the days of tape delay (and short shorts) I cannot break down Cowens vs Mourning as defenders, I can break down Dumars vs Redd as players. I can think how Vlade vs Kaman would have gone. How Shaq vs Wilt? No idea. Zeke vs Rose? I can break that down. (Zeke kills him on defense, but Rose can post him all day), So lets say my ???era??? is 1981-Present that I can legit state whom is better than Whom.
Just for Fun (and Simplicity) Lets go by Draft Class. Start with 1981. (Bob Ryan and Jack Ramsey can fill in the gaps earlier)
Keep in mind the Naismith uses ALL Basketball ??? Why Ralph Samson is getting in, where this is NBA only.
I???m going to look at 2 years, and put them on a ballot, and whom I would vote for. (Links to Wiki Page)
1981
Mark Aguirre
Isiah Thomas (HoF)
Buck Williams
Tom Chambers
Rolando Blackman
Larry Nance
1982
James Worthy (HoF)
Terry Cummings
Dominique Wilkins (HoF)
Eric ???Sleepy??? Floyd
Mark Eaton
I don???t see any other player getting double digit votes (Maybe Fat Lever and Craig Hodges) The Only ones that make MY personal Ballot are
Aquirre, Thomas, Nance, Worthy, Wilkins and Eaton. I think Blackman might also get the 50 votes to move to Round 2. A person from the body makes a presentation to the voters. And then we vote again.
I???m voting for Aquirre, Thomas, Worthy as my Three. I???ll come back to ???Nique vs Aquirre in a bit.
Thomas HAS to be in the High-90s so He???s in the Hall.
Worthy is in the low-80s. Making the Hall but barely.
The issue is the Third slot. Aquirre might get to the high 60s. Nique might make the mid-70s mark, but I bet ???Nique get the higher total, and even though it took him 2 year to get into the Naismith, he also has to wait this year.
So we have 2 members to the Hall, Zeke and Big Game James. Plus we move a slot for next year.
Like the process? Disagree with the logic? Let me know.
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For the Nique vs Mark breakdown, plus a cleaner ??? Version hit the original text at
http://goo.gl/lGQZb
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