As SI.com's Peter King reported in Monday Morning Quarterback, Las Vegas odds have shifted dramatically in New England's favor this offseason. And it's hard to argue with the betting public's logic. The Pats, now a 2-1 favorite to win the Super Bowl, were just a fraction away from going all the way last year, they addressed their weak spots and their main competition got worse. The Colts were hurt by free agency and the Chargers lost all their key coaches.
I don't bet myself, but I know 2-1 isn't going to make anyone rich. According to Bodog.com, there are eight teams with odds at 50:1 or lower. Here's my thought process on who makes the best underdog.
Lions (100:1) - Remember the 1999 Rams? The Lions have Mike Martz and some offensive talent.
Bills (90:1) - Peaked my interest until I pulled up their QB depth chart.
Browns (90:1) - See above.
Raiders (90:1) - The Lions can't be happy they're lower on the list than Oakland.
Vikings (55:1) - At some point, they have to throw the ball. That's when the trouble will begin.
Chiefs (50:1) - This team will end up 7-9. I guarantee it.
Dolphins (50:1) - I like the old-but-effective trio of Porter, Thomas and Taylor on D, but not enough offense.
Rams (50:1) - They've improved on both sides of the ball, have a Pro Bowl QB (albeit a fragile one), and Steven Jackson is tremendous. It's no surprise in today's NFL when an 8-8 team takes a big jump.
At the end of the day, I'd drop a couple of bucks on the Rams and Lions, although I remember a couple of years ago ESPN's Hank Goldberg was convinced Detroit was the team that would make everyone rich. But if you want to play it safe, I have absolutely no problem with the Patriots as a 2-1 favorite.