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The coaches and Harris voters have spoken. Oklahoma's 65-21 rout of Texas Tech on Saturday was enough to convince them to move the 10-1 Sooners ahead of 10-1 Texas in their respective polls.
Only the computers helped keep the No. 2 'Horns above No. 3 Oklahoma -- the same team they previously beat 45-35 -- in the latest BCS standings released Sunday. But with a BCS margin that thin (.921 to .913 in Texas' favor), it's pretty clear where this thing is headed.
If the Sooners win out, Texas -- to put it bluntly -- is screwed.
Computer ratings are all about schedule strength. Thursday's game against 4-7 Texas A&M can only cause the 'Horns' computer quotient to go down, while an Oklahoma victory over the 9-2 Cowboys can only strengthen the Sooners' scores. Unless Texas looks so impressive and Oklahoma so unimpressive as to cause a large number of voters to reverse the teams on next weeks' ballots (not likely), the Sooners will erase their already slim BCS deficit and lock up the Big 12 South tiebreaker.
And remember, even if Oklahoma loses next week, that doesn't send Texas to the Big 12 title game, either. Texas Tech (10-1) would go to Kansas City due to its head-to-head win over the 'Horns.
But here's where it gets really crazy. Even though Texas seems to have little chance at this point of playing for its conference title, its national-title hopes remain alive. If Oklahoma loses either next week or in the Big 12 title game, Texas stands to move back up to at least No. 2 in the BCS standings, with SEC champion Alabama (currently No. 1) or Florida (currently No. 4) finishing in the opposite spot.
This will unquestionably garner outrage from fans of Michigan and Georgia, both of whose teams were discounted from the past two BCS title games in large part because they failed to win their conference. But guess what? The next team in line after Texas -- current No. 5 USC -- might not win its conference, either.