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  • 01/31/2008, 01:40PM ET

The Mets Will Win The World Series

crosby87 (0-2-0) vs Porkins. (179-15-3)
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With the additions of Santana and Lugo, the Mets now have a good enough rotation and bullpen added to their already great line-up that they can contend with and defeat any team in the MLB.
Line-up: Reyes, Castillo, Schneider, Beltran, Wright, Delgado, Alou, Green and pitcher.
Pitchers: Pedro Martinez: 2.80 ERA is lowest lifetime ERA amongst active pitchers, John Maine and Oliver Perez: two proven 15 game winners, Orlando "El Duque" Hernandez: ageless wonder, need I say anymore, Johan Santana: 2 time Cy Young winner in the more competitive AL, three time strikeout leader for MLB


I hate prediction TDs. There's obviously no way of knowing whether or not the Mets will win the WS. I admit, they're likely favorites to win the East, but beyond that...

I can think of some reasons why they won't win.

Adding Santana is huge- but it's not done yet. According to today's reports, the sides are pretty far apart on contract negotiations. Even assuming they sign him successfully, it doesn't automatically give the Mets the best rotation in the NL.

Pedro's career ERA is irrelevant- he's 36 years old, coming off injuries, and is a wild card. In 2006, he pitched in 23 games, had a 9-8 record with a 4.48 ERA. It remains to be seen whether he can return to form, or even stay healthy enough to pitch a full year.

El Duque is listed at 38 years old, and may be older. He's coming off a year in which he was pretty good, but that saw his K rate drop susbstantially- that's a bad sign for older pitchers.

I like Maine, but he only has one full season under his belt. Perez had a WHIP over 1.3 last year and was streaky. If everything breaks right, the rotation could be great, but there are too many questions to declare them winners yet.

Hitting in #2.


if the mets are able to sign Santana it will be New York VS New York in the world series. It will be tightly contested and in game seven Pedro Martinez and Andy Pettite will pitch no hitters until the ninth inning when David Wright hits a homer and then A Rod will hit what looks like a homer until Carlos Beltran robs him of it by catching the ball on an acrobatic play


Ugh. Why? You're not giving any evidence, you're just saying that the Mets are good. Fine, they're good. But being good doesn't punch your ticket.

Here's some actual evidence for my POV:

In 2007, the Mets had the 7th best pitching staff in the NL, and only the 12th best in MLB.

The Mets had the 4th best offense in the NL last year, only 10th best in MLB.

Santana improves their pitching, but what about hitting?

They traded away Milledge for Schneider and Church. Schneider replaces LoDuca, right? Look at the comparison for the two catchers' career averages over 162 games:

LoDuca: 171 H/ 13 HR/ 74 RBI/ .338 OBP/ .752 OPS
Schneider: 125 H/ 10 HR/ 63 RBI/ .323. OBP/ .700 OPS

So by adding Schneider, they worsened their lineup. Church could be good, but aside from a few more RBI he had similar numbers to Shawn Green.

Your entertaining story of Beltran's acrobatics aside, do you have any real arguments? Because the Mets didn't even win their own division in 2007. They didn't even make the playoffs.

If you're going to say they're going from that to a world series winner, you'd better come with more than your imagination.


<font color="red">Forfeited Turn</font>


An FN haiku, for you:

You argued badly
Offering only guesses
TD shame is yours.

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