Throwdowns > Completed
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- March 13, 2008 12:18 PM ET
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goblue15 said 03/13, 12:18 PM
If you accept, please give me a specific person who should start in left field, and not just say "someone besides Thames." I say Marcus Thames should be the starting left fielder because his power is helpful in the bottom of the order. Jones is talented, and he deserves his days in left, but I believe Thames deserves the majority. Thames has already played here for two seasons, and has contributed. When Monroe was starting, I supported Marcus Thames. Thames's fielding is also solid. It's not gold-glove-caliber, but it gets the job done.
The Bandit said 03/13, 01:16 PM
Although Thames would be a decent candidate for the starting LF position, he does not really possess the experience that Jacque Jones can bring. Jones has been playing in the outfield throughtout his career. If there is anything that Leyland loves, it is stability and durability and Jones presents more of those intangibles as evident of his experience in the outfield.
In addition, Jones would be a more logical choice because he has been consistent as far as his fielding. JJ has started 1,148 games as an outfielder in his career and with that, has posted a decent .985 fielding %. Thames has 269 games started(31 at 1B) in his career, and has about the same fielding % at .987. Not much difference here, but if you have someone who can field just as well but can provide a better offense such as in the case of Jones, then it would only be the right thing for Leyland to give him the nod.
Jones is the better overall hitter, and I believe it will be a factor on Leyland's decision. Jones is a .280 career hitter as opposed to Thames .241 avg. As far as on base %, Jones has a .329 OBP while Thames has only a .306. With those stats, Jones will make Leyland's lineup more potent.
goblue15 said 03/13, 01:29 PM
In 86 games last year, Thames hit 18 home runs. In 135 games last year, Jones hit 5 home runs. The main reason why Jones has better career numbers, is because he's been given more opportunities to play. Thames has paid his dues in Detroit. He's been a proven back-up, who with a starting spot, could probably hit 30 homers and get about 95 RBIs. Also, Jones or Thames would be in the bottom of the order. In the AL, managers like to put power in the bottom of the order. Look at the Tigers the past couple years. In 2006, Inge batted 9th and hit 27 homers. Monroe batted eighth and hit 28 home runs. In limited playing time (110 games, many as a DH), Thames came in the bottom of the order and hit 26 homers. Also, these guys hit many of them at Comerica Park, one of the toughest parks to hit home runs out of. Jones won't bring enough power to the bottom of the order.
The Bandit said 03/13, 01:55 PM
I admit Jones had somewhat of a lackluster year for the Cubs, but he is back in the AL where he's had better success as a hitter while he was with the Twins. Being back in the same division, Al Central, he should encounter familiar faces.
Anyway, Thames has been bounced around in the outfield throughout much of his career and hasn' been starting many games in the process. He's spent a majority of the time in the bench and he's probably there for a reason, one as to which I can't explain. But would you want an unproven guy like Thames out there who's had way less experience in the OF and in the lineup? At least Jacque Jones has been a proven starter in his career especially with the Twins and with the success he's had in the AL, he would be less of a gamble to start.
Jones also provides more speed on the basepaths, and although Thames might have a better career OPS, Jones has a better career batting average.
I mean Jones has started 1,148 games out there while Thames has only 238 games. If they both have about the same fielding %, don't you think Jones would be the more consistent fielder due to the more games he has in his resume? Jones should get the nod.
goblue15 said 03/13, 05:40 PM
Unproven? Thames has played lots of games in left for Detroit. Part of the reason Monroe got traded was because Thames was doing better. I just don't think that Jones, whose skill level is equal at best to Thames's, should just be able to walk in to Detroit and take the left field spot. I mean, The Cubs got Infante, a back-up, in exchange for Jones. That tells me that even though Detroit got the better end of the deal, Jones is meant to be a back-up. I feel if the Tigers keep making Thames come off the bench, he could be traded or the Tigers could lose him via free agency. I don't want to lose Thames! He's one of my favorites! I'm not familiar with Jones. He doesn't have that bottom-of-the-order power I've grown accustomed to. I honestly wouldn't mind trading Jones for help in the bullpen. Yeah, in case you haven't figured it out yet, I am a Tigers fan.
The Bandit said 03/13, 06:08 PM
Yeah I've noticed that you're a Tigers because you have exuded some homerism. Nothing wrong with that.
You say Jones's skill level is equal at best to Thames? Well, I guess we can just throw Jones career stats out the window then huh. That's crazy. Jones has 4 times the MLB experience Thames has and in the process has shown he can compete as well as show some consistency. Thames hasn't had a stable career with the Tigers, so what makes you think he will have one now? At least with Jones, he can give you a solid contribution like he has done with the Twins. Both players are decent fielders, but Jones can at least provide moer depth in the lineup.
I say more depth because Jones has bette speed, and can also provide power. Prior to last year, he had averaged almost 20 HR's a season.
Saying Thames could have a great year if he started is all hypothetical. I am not saying Jones will have a great year, but with his history he can't be any worse. It is unfortunate for Thames not to get the staring job despite his tenure and longevity as a Tiger, but baseball is all about giving those who will provide the team with a better chance to win. In this case, it's Jones.
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Comments (36) Add A Comment
Oops- I misread this. I agree Thames should start over Jones. Good luck with the TD.
Porkins
The Triangle, NC
Total Comments (9912)
So far better argument by Bandit....will change if the arguments warrant it.
rstowe
Newport News , VA
Total Comments (21440)
Actually, both are exactly at the league average for fielding % in LF over their careers. Jones has played longer, so the averages are little different. Head to head, Thames is a little better- .985 to .983.
But to say Jones is a better hitter is untrue.
Thames career OPS- .798/ Avg OPS last 2 seasons- .829
Jones career OPS- .784/ Avg OPS last two seasons- .784
Good arguments by both, but Thames deserves the chance to be a full-time starter over Jones, who is average at best.
Porkins
The Triangle, NC
Total Comments (9912)
Good point about the power as well.
Porkins
The Triangle, NC
Total Comments (9912)
Better argument for the stats in the 2nd argument by blue...changed my vote
rstowe
Newport News , VA
Total Comments (21440)
Jones is a terrible fielder, it's not going to be easy for him to cover the huge outfield in Comerica. Thames is more valuable for trade bait, and they need bullpen help bad. he and/or Inge will probably get traded before July 31st for pitching. I gotta agree that Thames is the better option, but I'm still open to a good argument against.
by the way, Bandit, OPS is a more telling stat about the quality of a hitter than BA.
Lilwound
Total Comments (6388)
All I know about Thames...when he was with the Yankees, in his first MLB at bat, took a Randy Johnson fastball into the stands....
rstowe
Newport News , VA
Total Comments (21440)
I understand that Lilwound, because OPs also involves the slugging % but I believe Jones could provide a better balance on both sides(offense and defense0. He's gone through a bad year with the Cubs, but doesn't everyone have a slump at some point in their career? Comerica might be huge but you have to give him a chance. You have to respect his career .985 fielding percentage.
The Bandit
Somewhere, CO
Total Comments (1138)
I also hate the "proven veteran" argument. It's something you hear so much, even from guys who should know better like managers and GMs. It's just rhetoric and nonsense.
Porkins
The Triangle, NC
Total Comments (9912)
Bandit, Jones has a .983 career fld % in LF. Thames is .985. Interestingly, relative to the league during the years they played, both those numbers are exactly league average.
Porkins
The Triangle, NC
Total Comments (9912)
I mean what makes Jones a prime candidate? His tenure with the Tigers? He hasn't started a full season with the club and it doesn't look like he will now. If you look at his career, Jones has been decent in the AL.
The Bandit
Somewhere, CO
Total Comments (1138)
Sorry, .983 my bad.
The Bandit
Somewhere, CO
Total Comments (1138)
Haha...in my opinion he should be patrolling left field for the Amazins. The Mets need him. Not happening but still.
Moondizzle...
New York, NY
Total Comments (8010)
Granted, goblue might be a homer so obviously he might know a little more than me about the Tigers but dang it I still stand by my point. lol
The Bandit
Somewhere, CO
Total Comments (1138)
Porkins, what makes the "proven veteran" argument nonsense? By "proven" it means they have illustrated they can perform to standards or beyond it. Stats will act as a prerequisite towards showing how good a peformer a player is or was. And that in turn will show how "proven" a player is.
The Bandit
Somewhere, CO
Total Comments (1138)
Jacque Jones is a perfect example of the "proven veteran" argument and why it doesn't work for me.
Baseball Prospectus has a statistic called VORP (Value over replacement player). It's basically a comparison of how good a guy is compared to an "average" player at the position. A VORP of 0 means that a guy is no better than an average player.
Jacque Jones' VORP is .6. Which sucks. It means that statsitically speaking, Jones is no better than the average guy you could ge tto replace him. As a frame of reference, Johan Santana's is 58.3.
Thames' VORP is 11.6. That's MUCH better than Jones. Thames is more valuable relative to the avergae replacement than Jones is. So Thames is younger, better, and makes less than half as much as Jones (1.275M to 3M).
The fact that the Tigers signed Jones at all is stupid. He's the prototypical "proven veteran".
Porkins
The Triangle, NC
Total Comments (9912)
Thanks for the info porkins.
I really do not see what their basis is for determining VORP. But it's fair to say they would take different variables. If age is any factor, Jones is only a couple of years older. I really cannot see the reason for the wide margin of VORP between the 2 players given that Jones has a decent career in the majors while Thames hasn't had much experience to base their criteria upon.
The Bandit
Somewhere, CO
Total Comments (1138)
"He's gone through a bad year with the Cubs, but doesn't everyone have a slump at some point in their career?"
Actually last year was the best year he had with the cubs. He had an awful time at the plate and in the field for two years before that, in one of the most hitter friendly parks in baseball. The guy was getting booed every time he came to the plate at the friendly confines. He's a joke, and I'm surprised he's still being considered by a major league team as an option for a starting job.
Lilwound
Total Comments (6388)
"because OPs also involves the slugging %"
OPS is on-base avg. plus slugging average. Both SLG and OBA are better indicators of a batters skill than BA, so naturally the combination of the two far exceeds the weight of BA.
Lilwound
Total Comments (6388)
If you consider OPS, Jones should have better consistency because he started almost 4 times as many games as Thames (1260 games to Thames 332). Yet their career OPS is only percentages apart. Jones has a .783 to Thames's .798. With only a 0.16 differential, and with Jones playing 928 more games, Jones would have a better and more stable history of maintaining that overall on base plus slugging %, wouldn't you think?
The Bandit
Somewhere, CO
Total Comments (1138)
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