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  • April 08, 2008 08:39 PM ET

Could the best MLS team beat the worst England Premier League team? (one match only: Houston Dynamo vs. Derby County; full rosters; neutral site)

KansasToonami (4-11-0) vs withknivesout (0-2-0)
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I will argue YES.

I want to make sure that the initial throwdown topic is as specific as possible, so I included the specific information in parentheses. This topic was addressed on Fox Soccer Channel several weeks ago as "could the best MLS team avoid relegation in the EPL?" (The call-in answers were overwhelmingly NO...)

Since the 2008 MLS season has just begun, Houston seems the logical choice for best MLS team at the current time, with two straight championships. Likewise, Derby County is clearly the worst team in the current (2007-08) EPL season.

There are many fans of association football (i.e. "soccer") in the U.S. who take a somewhat jaded and condescending view of the quality of play in Major League Soccer. Granted, the MLS as a whole comes nowhere *near* the EPL as a whole. But best MLS vs. worst EPL?

Houston *COULD* win. This doesn't mean that Houston *WOULD* win every time if such a hypothetical match were repeated, say, 10 times. It might even not have a .500 record. For example, over ten games, Houston might win 3, draw 2, and lose 5. (Meaning Derby would win 5, draw 2, and lose 3).

But in a one-off match as specified in the initial statement?

My answer is YES.


Well, I am a MLS guy, so this argument is going to be me playing devil's advocate, but I will do my best.

While the Rams were obviously relegated because they didn't match the talent of the other teams in the premiership, they would still wipe the mat with the Dynamos.

First, the MLS is not just a second tier league, its a third tier, or maybe even a fourth tier league. The talent of the MLS would be hopelessly outmatched if playing against the teams of the premiership. And though the Dynamo may be a great team in the MLS, they are only great because of the lack of talent they compete against. The Rams must compete against the greatest competition on the planet, and while they earned relegation, there is pride in at least making it for a season. Better to be the worst of the best (Derby), than the best of the worst (Houston).

Second, consider attendance. The people know the truth. Average attendance for Derby this year, while they were stinking it up...over 32,000 a game. Average for the Dynamo, during a second championship run, 15,000. People show up for product. The MLS is a joke of a league. The Dynamo are the court jesters. No one cares because there is no talent.


If Houston had to compete for a whole year in the Premier League, they'd be relegated, no doubt. And the Dynamo might even lose both matches to Derby.

But in a one-off match at a neutral site, I'd argue that Houston could do it. Not 9 out of 10 times; probably not even 5 out of 10. But they *do* have a good team, and have proven their quality by winning two MLS titles without bringing in international superstars.

And I think you're being a bit *too* devilish in terms of your downgrading of MLS to third- or fourth-tier. When looking at *average* attendance, MLS has an average attendance per game of 16,629. http://pitchinvasion.net/blog/2007/10/18/mls-attendance-on-the-rise/

This compares to the *second* tier leagues: The "Coca-Cola Championship" in England, avg. 16,477; The "Eredivisie" in Holland, avg. 18,116; and Scotland, avg. 15,858. http://www.european-football-statistics.co.uk/attn.htm

The high attendance at Derby can be attributed to this being their first season in the Premier League (first tier) for quite some time--the fans don't want to miss it, even considering the poor performance in the league.

I'd say Houston would have a fair shot at beating Derby in a one-off.


While you seem to poopoo my argument about attendance, you ignored a key fact. The Dynamo are the two time defending champions! Yes, Derby may be the weakest team in the Premiership, but they still draw fans that want to see them, regardless of the final score. They offer quality to the masses, and the masses show up.

I also feel that you focus too much on "they COULD win". Yes, no doubt if they signed Ronaldo and Rooney and played the game in Houston and the sun refused to shine that day. And did I mention the pigs flying that day? Not going to happen, not if it was an even match, head to head.

A point I didn't get a chance to mention in the first argument was this. If you offered the starting lineup of the Dynamo contracts to play for Derby, how many would take them? The real talent of the world's soccer players lies in England and Italy. Houston's players would be packed before the ink dried. But, in the real world, the Dynamo don't have offers on the table. Why? Because their talent doesn't measure up. Not to Man U, Chelsea, or DERBY.

In the end, that's why the Dynamo couldn't beat the Rams. They just aren't good enough. The talent gap is just too great.


Since "English football" has a promotion/relegation system, Derby County *will* officially be a second-tier team next season.

The gap in talent isn't as great as it may seem. Derby's squad is a mixture of aging veterans past their peak (Robbie Savage), players on loan, and players from "second-tier" countries such as the U.S. (Eddie Lewis), Jamaica, and Australia. Houston, though not world-beaters, have a solid spine: keeper Pat Onstad (Canada), midfielder Dwayne DeRosario (Canada), and forward Brian Ching (USA) all have international caps. Finally, Houston have team chemistry, Derby does not.

I'd be more interested in seeing if the MLS teams can compete with teams in similar leagues than with the "worst" of England. The "Pan-Pacific Tournament" in Hawaii in February was the first real attempt to do so: it matched the L.A. Galaxy vs. Gamba Osaka (from Japan's "J-League"), and Houston Dynamo vs. Sydney FC (from Australia's "A-League").

That's a start, but it didn't match up the best teams--the Galaxy didn't even make the playoffs, while Gamba Osaka and Sydney FC were not league champions. It would've been better to have a fourth "champion" team (such as from Korea's "K-League").


Ah, better to burn out than fade away? Guess not, your argument disappeared.

The Dynamo are a great team, in the MLS. No doubt about that, but even a team destined for relegation in the Premiership is better. It's not a bias against the MLS, its the facts. The MLS lacks money, history, world-wide appeal and fanbase. Without these important aspects, the MLS hasn't (and cannot) bring in the talent needed to compete with the great leagues of the world.

Derby is a shoddy team, no doubt. But shoddy in the Premiership is world class in comparison with the best of the MLS. You mentioned the backbone of the Dynamo and their nationalities. 2 Canadians and an American. Great. Soccer juggernauts. In the end, that's all the MLS can draw. Derby's lineup is mostly from England. In fact, only two Americans make the squad. The thrill and glory of playing for, even the worst one, an English team is a bigger draw than the MLS and it's champion, the Dynamo.

My argument is complete.

April 8, 2008  08:54 PM ET

I think the Revolution are better than the Dynamo even if they have lost 2 years in a row to them. They match up better with a euro style of play

April 8, 2008  09:25 PM ET

There are great teams other then the european teams.

For example Usa and Mexico both have teams overlooked when it is compared to Euro

For USA- Dynamo and Revolution

For Mexico- Chivas and America`

Those four teams that i named can beat several of the lower european teams

April 8, 2008  09:27 PM ET

Real Salt Lake beat somebody good last year I just can't remember who

April 9, 2008  03:29 PM ET

Real Salt Lake no doubt beat a team who didn't care if they won or lost. That's the problem with friendlies, American's get confused about real talent.

April 11, 2008  05:56 PM ET

If you are going to vote, comment!

April 11, 2008  06:05 PM ET

It is on a neutral field, it's one game. Talent wise the Dynamo aren't as good as they were in 06 but they still can compete. Like I said before I think NEw England would match up better but it is one game not a series.

April 11, 2008  06:25 PM ET

If you are going to vote, comment!

withknivesout | 04/11/08, 05:56 PM
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I agree with that. But people vote without reading the arguments sometimes, so they have nothing to say.

April 11, 2008  06:25 PM ET

Vote ------->

April 11, 2008  06:29 PM ET

Well, I don't watch very much EPL, so I have to base my vote solely on the arguments. Toonami makes his point better and his rebuttals to knives points are stronger. So vote
<-----------------

April 11, 2008  06:36 PM ET

If Derby had something to play for in this (eg, not a friendly) then they would wipe the floor with Houston. If it were a friendly, then Houston would have much more to play for (something resembling credibility) and I would take them to win.

Derby made HUGE strides in the Championship last season, and was arguably one of the most improved teams in Europe in that time (year before they finished 20th). Despite their performance this season, they have a lot of talent, and a couple of their players would be the best in the MLS were they to ever play there (Miller, Jones, maybe Savage).

If this game could somehow be given some serious importance to Derby, they'd win it in a walk.

April 11, 2008  06:39 PM ET

Also, talent-wise the MLS is clearly around the fourth tier (coefficient wise) of European leagues (Austria, Sweden, Israel, etc).

Collective ownership and salary caps have much more to do with this than attendance.

April 11, 2008  08:35 PM ET

Gotta go with Dynamo

April 11, 2008  10:37 PM ET

cowace, how would you place the four top tiers of English football? I'm curious as to whether the "Coca-Cola League Two" (the fourth tier of English football) is comparable to fourth-tier European leagues, or if it's lower (or higher) than that.

I agree with your point about collective ownership, but salary caps are beginning to fall with the designated player ("Beckham") rule. The "richer" clubs (L.A., N.Y., Chicago) are going for bigger-budget players, while some of the other teams are choosing less expensive players who won't "break the bank".

I also agree on the point about attendance.. after all, Leeds United and Nottingham Forest are former top-tier teams with large average attendances (comparable to many Premier League clubs) who--because of relegation--find themselves in the *third* tier of English football!

Before its promotion last year (06/07), Derby finished 20th in the second tier the year before (05/06), 4th the year before that (04/05) but was not promoted, and 20th the year before that (03/04). It's not a given that Derby will be able to bounce straight back up after this year. In fact, Derby will probably lose some (if not most) of its promising players during the summer, as the remaining Premier League teams (and newly-promoted teams) attempt to cherry-pick the best from the Derby roster.

April 11, 2008  11:36 PM ET

It is a lot more difficult to rate lower leagues in European football than it is to compare top leagues, as UEFA provides us with fairly useful coefficients among the top leagues. In the most general terms, I'd rate England and Spain's second leagues the highest, Italy and Germany slightly below them, and France a bit futher behind. That doesn't include outliers like Zaragoza, for instance, who would clearly be the top team in Europe not competing in a top flight league (in the event they do end up getting relegated).

There is a giant drop off after the big 5 nations, as most of the smaller football nations really can't support a second league the way that (for example) England can.

April 12, 2008  09:36 AM ET

I am going to have to say Derbyshire would win. If this game was played with the roster Houson had last year, that would be a different story. Losing Joseph Ngwenya and Nate Jaqua has hurt Houston pretty bad so far. De Rosario has not looked comfortable playing this season yet and the injury to Pat Onstad has hurt them as well. Rico Clark will definately be welcomed back with open arms when he can play again.

I think one thing that would help the Dynamo is if they were to play this game in mid to late season form. That is the only reason I can see why they haven't been playing well, that and all the preseason touring they did. I watch a lot of BPL and MLS soccer. Having seen Houston over the past couple years and seeing Derby so far this year, I believe Derby's quality of play s leaps and bounds better than Houston. I see the Dynamo score a lot of goals on quick breaks that come off of turnovers. The problem I see here is that like most teams in the BPL, Derby CAN play possesion pretty well, so they wouldn't be turning it over as much as Houston would like.

That being said I don't even think Houston is the best team in the MLS any longer. If I had to make a pick right now, I would have to go with Chicago. They finished very strong last season and that has carried into this season. The Revs will also be better once they get Twellman and Ralston back. What happened to the Red Bulls?.........................

April 12, 2008  09:38 AM ET

Oh, how could I forget the defense of Houston. VERY sloppy and loose play in the back.

April 12, 2008  12:08 PM ET

crap, its close!

April 12, 2008  01:09 PM ET

well, its a flip of the coin here.... but i like derby. its all about probabaility and i would give that edge to derby. but if your arguing that its possible, then u can go dynamo. its ll how u look at the TD

April 12, 2008  04:44 PM ET

"Since the 2008 MLS season has just begun, Houston seems the logical choice for best MLS team at the current time, with two straight championships. Likewise, Derby County is clearly the worst team in the current (2007-08) EPL season."

And a few weeks from now another team may be playing better--neither Chicago nor Houston nor New York might be considered the "best" a few months from now. This is why I made sure to add the specifics to the initial throwdown topic, because there would be disagreement otherwise as to the best MLS team.

There are legitimate arguments for other MLS teams as the "best", but taking the end of the 2007 season as the "end point" it would be difficult to argue against Houston, with two consecutive championships. As I stated in the initial post, the 2008 MLS season has just begun, so that's why I specified Houston.

For clarity's sake, since the 2008 MLS season is *not* being taken into account, let's also assume (per JMG84's supposition) that it *is* last season's Houston roster, with the "friendly" taking place in January or February (when some English teams take "training holidays" to Spain, Saudi Arabia, etc.).

 
April 12, 2008  08:23 PM ET

Oh man, if this td had only gone on a little longer.

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