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  • June 01, 2008 10:39 AM ET

Which MLB record is the most "unbreakable"? See 1st argument for explanation of "unbreakable"

rstowe (226-67-17) vs Bigalke (104-35-15)
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By unbreakable I mean a record that has a chance of being broken....for example Cy Young's 511 wins are out because pitchers just don't pitch as much today as they used and with bullpens being used like they are today...so which record that can be possibly broken is the least likely too?

My choice is Johnny Vandermeer's back to back no-hitters. Johnny is the only person to throw back to back no-hitters. In order to break this record, a starting pitcher would have to throw 27 innings of consecutive no-hit ball. Without looking up the stats, I don't even think anyone has even gone into the 5th inning of the second game with a no-hitter.


Vandermeer's feat was great, certainly... but, while I think the most "unbreakable" record DOES rest in the hands of a pitcher, it isn't Johnny who holds that record...

No-hitters, in the end, are flukes of circumstance... and lightning merely struck twice for Vandermeer. But what happened in Chavez Ravine and throughout the NL in 1988 was neither fluky nor circumstantial, merely dominant. Orel Hershiser, ace for the Dodgers, went FIFTY-NINE consecutive innings without allowing his opponents to score to close out the season (and eight more innings into the playoffs... but that doesn't count toward the record books, unfortunately) for the eventual World Series champs.

I would argue that Vandermeer, in setting this record back in 1938, qualifies under your "pitchers just don't pitch as much today as they used and with bullpens being used like they are today" argument. The game has changed since Johnny went eighteen straight without allowing a hit... pitchers just don't get used like they used to (Vandermeer pitched these two FOUR DAYS apart!)


ANYONE can challenge this Hershiser record -- closer, starter, reliever. But no one has come close since that glorious late 1988 surge...


In attempting to break Vandermeer's record, a pitcher if he was close, would be allowed to keep pitching, so how a pitcher is used today compared to then doesn't apply.

As for Hershisher's record, that also is an outstanding feat however, just recently Brandon Webb went 42 innings without giving up a run....that is 71% of the way to breaking Hershisher's record....in order to get to 71% of breaking Vandermeer, you would have to pitch 19.1 consecutive innings of no-hit ball - that means you would have to pitch back to back no hitters (tieing Vandermeer in the process plus 1.1 innings in the next game) and that is just to tie him.

A reliever stands a good chance of breaking Orel's record....there have been 21 different instances of a pitcher throwing 40+ innings of scoreless ball in MLB history...the only instance I could find of someone pitching more than 18 innings of consecutive no-hit ball (besides vandemeer's 21 was the record which is owned by Cy Young of 25.3)...so the closest someone has come of pitching 27 innings of no-hit ball was Cy Young but he only got 1 no-hitter out of those innings and lasted until the 7th inning of the game after his no-hitter.

Out of room


What are we arguing here, Stowe? Consecutive no-hit INNINGS or GAMES? Because they are two very different things...

Forgetting the fluke factor (after all, Vander Meer's second no-hit game came on the first night game @ Ebbets Field... think THAT could've helped a little?), only having four instead of five days between starts allowed him to maintain more momentum into the second game. You mention the way some records are less likely "with bullpens being used like they are today"... and it is much harder to maintain fluke streakiness for three games than it is to string together the months of performances it would take as a reliever to match and surpass Hershiser. Brandon Webb, a starter, came the closest we have seen in some time... but STILL couldn't get three-quarters of the way there.

Both are tough records, certainly, to match... much less surpass... but all that is required to break Vander Meer's record is one sublime week in the spotlight... to break Hershiser a pitcher would need weeks and months of sustained brilliance. So many hacks over the years have had no-hitters that an odd hot streak could take this record. Dominating day after day after day is much more difficult.


I only mentioned the no-hit innings because it was the only stat I could find to show that only person in history has come close to breaking the record (which requires 27 consecutive innings of no-hit ball).

The thing with Orel's records is a reliever could have a shot at it as well, so you have starters and relievers who could make a go at that record and as Brandon Webb showed last year with his 42 innings it is possible. A reliever would only have to throw half a season of no-runs allowed (which is possible, especially for someone only used once every couple of days).

Only starters would have a chance at Vandermeer's record (so less people who can give it a go means less chances)...also the only person to pitch more no-hit innings than Vandermeer was one of the best in the game ever in Cy Young, and he only got 1 no-hitter out those innings not 2. The key thing here, is to break the record, you'd have to throw 3 no-hitters in a row and no one has come as close to even tieing Vandermeer as Webb did in tieing Orel (to do so would require a pitcher to pitch into the 3rd inning of the 2nd game with no hit ball to equal how close Webb was % wise in tieing Orel)....


Look at it this way, then... which is more easy to TIE? Two no-hitters are not unfeasible... and then the pitcher could be saved indefinitely to play an easy team to attempt the third no-hitter. A player cannot hide when seeking to tie Hershiser's record. A half-season can yield a lot of potential bumps in the road, and it is much harder to sustain great play over a month or months than what amounts to three games...


The record can more easily be manipulated to be broken, as I have just shown... it is harder to "crack the code" of the 59 scoreless innings than it is of the three straight no-hitters. It can be done...


And just look at the topic sentence of the throwdown... which is the MOST "unbreakable"... of these two choices, you have either 27 consecutive innings of no-hit ball... or 59 consecutive innings of shutout ball... there's only one route to Stowe's choice; there are hundreds toward mine... but whether a starter goes seven straight games without allowing a run, or a reliever takes a half-season to get there, it is imminently harder to achieve those fifty-nine innings than working the assignments to accomplish three hitless wins in a row...

June 1, 2008  10:49 AM ET

Good luck Bigalke. We're 1-1 in TDs against each other.....

June 1, 2008  10:57 AM ET

Shoot...got here too late. Good luck to both of you.

June 1, 2008  11:16 AM ET

Great topic, guys. I like Bigalke's pick a little better, but, as always, I will wait for more arguments before casting a vote.

June 1, 2008  11:17 AM ET

Tough competition here.

June 1, 2008  11:19 AM ET

24 straight wins by hubbell

June 1, 2008  11:19 AM ET

Sorry, Baun-ded... and good luck to you as well, Stowe... looks like this one will be for the lead in the lifetime series... ;-)

(Watch us draw this one now that I say that...)

June 1, 2008  11:29 AM ET

that means you would have to pitch back to back no hitters (tieing Vandermeer in the process plus 1.1 innings in the next game) and that is just to tie him

Sorry Stowe

You just convinced me - you could break one and STILL not break the other

June 1, 2008  11:32 AM ET

But NC that wouldn't break his record.....that only gets you within 8 innings of breaking it = to what Webb did by getting to 42 (71% of the way to breaking Orel's)

June 1, 2008  11:33 AM ET

Hate when I run out of room in an argument.....wish they would increase the limit to 1500 characters.

June 1, 2008  11:37 AM ET

I would've just said Cy's 511 because in my opinion no one will ever have 300 wins again who are currently under 150 wins and the only pitcher with a remote chance to get 300 is CC Sabathia. Anyway, the scoreless inning streak gets contested year in and out and B Webb came decently close last year. Its going to be broken at some point and theres no question about that. I DOUBT a pitcher will ever throw 3 straight no-nos.

June 1, 2008  11:42 AM ET

Couldn't find a list that had the no-hit innings like I did for the consecutive scoreless innings (listed everyone over 40 innings) the only thing I could find was the reference to Cy Young's 25 consecutive no-hit inning record....

June 1, 2008  11:43 AM ET

So outside of Cy young, I can't find anything for how close anyone else has come to breaking Vandermeer's record.

June 1, 2008  11:55 AM ET

Great TD Bigalke.

June 1, 2008  11:56 AM ET

Damn...this is a great topic. Both of your guys arguments are good....I would agree with rstowe a little more...but that last argument is going to be key for me, determining which way I'm voting.

June 1, 2008  12:01 PM ET

Hate when I run out of room in an argument.....wish they would increase the limit to 1500 characters.
rstowe - Dark Lord of NMI | 06/01/08, 11:33 AM

Me too...I always seems to run out of room.

June 1, 2008  12:13 PM ET

I liked rstowes arguments a bit more. But I like both of your guys picks.

June 1, 2008  12:14 PM ET

Voting left. I think the arguments are about equal, so I had to go with who chose the better choice. I believe that rstowe did, so I went with him. Good all around though.

June 1, 2008  12:15 PM ET

Under the "guidelines" of this Td...Rstowe has pretty muched convinced me that his choice is actually unbreakable from 1938 and therefore cannot be done in today's MLB. Orel's record, amazing that it is, does stand a chance of being broken as Rstowe pointed out. Therefore, I have to lean to the right on this one.

June 1, 2008  12:15 PM ET

Rstowe had the better arguments......and convinced me more. Good arguments by both.

 
June 1, 2008  12:15 PM ET

The arguments....like LIFER said..were pretty much equal.

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