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  • July 08, 2008 09:43 AM ET

The Brewers won't win the pennent

MDPRIDE111 is grieving (37-60-3) vs rstowe (232-67-17)
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Just because they have C.C. Sabathia, it doesn't mean that they win the pennent in a division that two teams, (Cardinals, and Cubs), have much better pitchers. Here are some of the better pitchers this season (not in order)

1. Carlos Zambrano
2. Ryan Dempster
3. Chris Carpenter
4. Kerry Wood
5. Adam Wainwright

And potentially Mark Mulder and maybe Roy Oswalt.

He is 6-8 and has a bunch of K's, that isn't that good. And the Brew Crew isn't that much better than the Indians offense. His ERA is high 3's, but he is moving to a serious division in which the leader isn't someone that was supposed to not lead. The Cubs are a real contender, along with the Cardinals, not the White Sox, Tigers, Royals, and Twins.


The pennant is not for the division, it is for the conference. So they don't have to win their division to win the pennant, they just have to get in to the playoffs as a wildcard.

Sheets (one healthy is one of the best pitchers in the league) and CC (after getting no run support at the beginning of the season) has started to turn it around.

The pickup of CC gives the Brewers a 1-2 punch for starting pitching that is hard to match in the NL (outside of AZ that is).

I believe the Brewers do make the playoffs, and once that happens, anything can happen on the way to the pennant (look at the Rockies last year).

In the NL you can never count a team out (until they face the AL that is).


But when is Ben Sheets truely ever healthy? He was out for about 3 starts last season when it really mattered. He usually loses more than he wins in a season.

Their starting rotation beyond C.C. and Sheets is weak. Although Carlos Villenuava is strong, but Dave Bush? Seth McClung? And in the future Jeff Suppan? I love Jeff Suppan but I don't think he fits in that rotation.

The hitters. Prince Fielder, Ryan Braun, and Cory Hart to name a few. Too inexperienced. They are all good, especially HR's, but they aren't all around good players that can carry a team to the playoffs.

I think the Mets will get the wildcard since they have been there and they have the all around players that the Brewers lack. Like a closer. See what happened to the Red Sox when they got Papelbon? Look at the Orioles with Sherrill. The Yankees were dominant when they first got Rivera. You need a good closer. It is sad when maybe the best the Brew Crew has is Eric Gagne.


Right now the Brewers are 4 back of the Cubs and .5 back of the Cards for the wildcard.

Since when have the Mets been there? And bringing up the Orioles? Yeah, they have a decent closer but nothing else.

The Brewers hitters are young and they are the same hitters that almost carried that team to the division last season. Plus there is still more time left until the trade deadline and by bringing in CC they are showing that they are willing to go for it this year so don't be suprised if they go out and try to get a closer/late relief.

As the Rockies showed last year, anything can happen in the NL.

By the way is this TD about the division or the pennant? You still haven't clarified that point.


I brought up the Orioles as an example of what happens when you get a good closer. Which the Brewers don't have right now. Their relievers are shakey with Riske, Gagne, and Torres.

This TD is about winning the pennent and I think that I made that very clear in my title. It is just that everybody on ESPN is saying that they are the front runners and I severely disagree with them.

The Brewers have the same inexperienced players that tanked at the end. They still have no feeling of what it is like to be in the playoffs. They can't make it because they can't beat the Cubs, or the Diamondbacks, or the Phillies to get there. Sure, in the playoffs C.C. and Sheets will give them two+ good starts, but Bush, Villenueva, and McClung won't. Their only hope is to get Suppan off the DL and keep him off the DL.


As a lot of teams have shown in the past - all you need is 2 dominant starters in the post season (Schilling/Johnson, Beckett/Schilling etc) to win so Sheets/CC is not that bad.

Yes you said pennant in the title of the TD but in your first argument you said pennant for the division which doesn't happen, that is why I'm unclear.

In your last argument you said the Brewers can't beat the Cubs, Dbacks or Phillies - so I'm guessing it would surprise you to know that the Brewers are 3-2 against the Cubs, 1-1 agains the Philies and 5-2 against the Dbacks? So I guess a winning record against 2 of those and even against another means they can't beat them.....

It is way to early to say whether or not a team will or will not win the pennant - it is only July with several weeks to go before the trade deadline. Do the Brewers have an uphill battle? All teams not in the a division lead right now do, however, as many teams have shown in the past, it's not where you are in July but where you are September 30 that really matters and as of now the Brewers have made the best move of the contending teams to improve their chances.

July 8, 2008  09:48 AM ET

I meant league, not conference sorry. Was just thinking about football.

July 8, 2008  10:08 AM ET

The bullpen is still an area of concern. Other than that, they're very solid.

July 8, 2008  10:21 AM ET

Actually, there is a league pennant, as well as divisional pennants.

July 8, 2008  10:30 AM ET

Gruden - they don't call winning your division winning the pennant. You may get a pennant to fly in your stadium but winning the pennant means winning your League's Championship Series and going to the World Series.

July 8, 2008  10:48 AM ET

Villaneuva is actually in the pen as a long reliever. Bush has been steady as of late as has McClung (who kinda biffed it last night). You're forgetting about Manny Parra, the 5th pitcher in the rotation who is 8-2 w/ a 3.65 ERA.

At the moment really, the worst person in the lineup is Suppan who tends to be better later in the year. But considering you don't seem to know who is pitching for the Brewers, I gotta vote ------>

July 8, 2008  10:51 AM ET

MDPRIDE111 is Fear Itself said 07/08, 10:20 AM
I brought up the Orioles as an example of what happens when you get a good closer. Which the Brewers don't have right now. Their relievers are shakey with Riske, Gagne, and Torres

Torres shakey??? I guess 15 converted saves out of 18 (I think) is "shakey". And yeah, Gagne can be shakey, but he has more than 10 saves to (and only 5 blown I think). The shakiest person in the pen for the Brewers is Mota, who is showing why the Mets got rid of him.

July 8, 2008  10:52 AM ET

Oh it is Parra, oops

July 8, 2008  10:53 AM ET

"And the Brew Crew isn't that much better than the Indians offense"

Brewers have 22 more runs than the Tribe without the DH. You got to take that into consideration.

July 8, 2008  10:54 AM ET

I really wish they would allow more than 1200 characters....Packbrew is bringing up a lot of points I wanted to make but needed to address other issues as well....

July 8, 2008  10:55 AM ET

Hey rstowe, I need someone to teach me how to TD, can you or someone else, I don't know, tutor me?

July 8, 2008  10:57 AM ET

MDPRIDE - check out this blog of mine:

http://www.fannation.com/blogs/post/132176

It has some great advice....other than that, just FM me some questions if you have any. Check out TDs of mine, The Ram, Porkins, Goodell, a throwdowner named NCShvDavid, Bigalke. If you look through their TDs, you will see how they do it and get some ideas.

July 8, 2008  10:58 AM ET

Also, join the Fannation User's Guide group....lots of great blogs in there as well.

July 8, 2008  11:06 AM ET

Vote to Rich...better arguments.

July 8, 2008  12:50 PM ET

But rstowe, the really good ones that the big guys TD in, are usually against me.

July 8, 2008  01:19 PM ET

MD - read their arguments.....see how they organize their thoughts and ideas.....that's basically what a good argument is - ensuring you have correct stats etc, organizing them in a way that makes sense and using logic in your arguments.

For instance, in this TD you said the Brewers couldn't beat the Cubs, Phillies or D-Backs, however, looking at the games this year, I showed that the Brewers in fact have winning records against the Cubs and DBacks and are 500 against the Phillies.

It's not just taking a popular side and saying what you believe everyone should hear to vote for you, it is also very important to ensure what you are saying is accurate, easy to understand and hard to counter.

July 8, 2008  01:21 PM ET

MD - also stay away from opinions unless you can back it up. You believe they can't beat the Cubs, DBacks or Phillies yet the season to date doesn't show that. If you gave further examples of why they can't beat them you might have been better off, but just saying a blanket statement - they can't beat them - without supporting it leaves you open to a counter from your opponent (which I did).

TDing isn't just about stating the things that make your side stronger, it is also about countering things your opponent says (either bad info/stats or a statement like you made in this one).

July 8, 2008  01:28 PM ET

I think the biggest thing in TDs is to check your facts first. Numbers don't lie.

However, numbers also do not tell the whole story. A good TDer can attack pretty much any stat. It takes a complete argument to win a debate. You have to look at the big picture and try to address all the major issues, not just a few.

Predicitions are very difficult because you're bringing in all the fans. Fans FOR your team, and fans AGAINST your team. That creates a lot of voting and a lot of attention to the TD- and all that means your arguments will be scrutinized even more.

Just argue a lot, and keep your arguments tight. Don't try to take on too much- you only have 3600 characters. You have to prove your points and discredit your opponents' points. So try to be brief but thorough...

July 8, 2008  01:28 PM ET

Best advice I have is this:

Argument 1:Back why you believe what you believe.
Argument 2 and 3: Trash your opponents argument the BEST that you can.

July 8, 2008  01:29 PM ET

Oh, and another thing, make sure to use ALL of your 3600 characters.

 
July 8, 2008  01:30 PM ET

Good point about stats not being the end all be all Porkins....stats only tell part of the picture and I can make stats say anything I wish.....

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