- 10/17/2010, 04:40PM ET
Bear likes this DEFENSE said 10/17, 04:40 PM
Utah, Oregon & TCU will lose at least 1
Auburn will win the SEC championship
Boise & their WUSSY schedule will finish undefeated and (gulp) be in the bcs championship (though it aint right....)
Oklahoma will be in the BCS championship. (easiest path to an undefeated season from here on out)
LSU will have at LEAST 2 losses by years end. (les miles' luck will run out)
[The] Coach said 10/17, 06:58 PM
Point 1 - Oregon's 2 toughest remaining opponents are USC and UCLA. Both were beaten by Stanford which Oregon dropped 52 points on. The toughest opponent for TCU and Utah are each other. Ergo, the winner has a legit shot and running the table. It is likely one of the three runs the table.
Point 2 - Auburn has Alabama and LSU PLUS the SEC Championship game between then and an SEC crown. Keep this in mind while I address Points 3 AND 4.
Points 3 and 4 - Let's say you are right and OU gets to the BCS Championship. If that is so and you are right about Auburn winning the SEC then Point 3 can't possibly be right as to do so, Auburn would have won the SEC and beaten "5" ranked teams to do so and would over take Boise State based on strength of schedule which is huge in the BCS system.
If point 5 is correct then it is likely Auburn or Alabama win the SEC both with strength of schedules that are overwhelmingly superior to Boise State and if you say OU is in, then there is no place left for Boise State.
Basically the combination of predictions, as the they relate to one another, make it unlikely that all 5 can come to pass.
Bear likes this DEFENSE said 10/17, 11:30 PM
1. TCUvUtah will knock out 1...and the other will lose somewhere.
Oregon plays the ucla team that beat Texas...USC...a good Wash team that has some upsets under its belt...and Arizona PLUS their rivaly game @ ore.state.
2. Auburn can do what bama and lsu arent doing....PUT UP POINTS.
they have the best bet to win the SEC. LSU sucks and is 3 plays away from having 3 losses.
I love Bama but a young defense + not passing game = auburn's turn.
3. As other teams knock each other out Boise will be left undefeated
And since they are in the top they will be left with an invite to the BCS
i dont agree with it...but you know an undefeated Boise will get in this year
4. of all the undefeated teams, Oklahoma has the easiest path to the BCS championship.
They also seem the least likely to slip up and lose to a nobody.
Auburn can still lose a game and make it into the SEC championship. But that 1 loss will matter.
wouldnt it be awesome if OU beat the tar out of Boise...the team they beat years ago to get "on the stage"?
[The] Coach said 10/18, 12:04 PM
Again, the problem with your assertions is that the combination of the 5 leave little room for all to occur.
You insist that TCU, Utah AND Oregon will ALL slip up. If that is so, why isn't it just as likely that Boise State loses? The choke factor could come into play as they know that their NC hopes hang by a thread and even a poor showing never mind a loss would seal their fate. There are 9 other undefeated teams, all with better schedules. If 2 of the 9 remain undefeated, the BCS calculations will leave Boise St. out. This is clearly demonstrated by the newest BCS rankings.
You state that OU has the easiest path to the NC game. Do you relaize that the combined record of their remaining opponents is 26-11 including 2 undefeated teams in Mizzu and Ok State? That doesn't sound easy to me.
You also say that Auborn can lose a game and still make the SEC Championship while stating LSU will lose at least 2 games. One would assume they lose to Bama and Auburn. That would mean Auburn's 1 loss would likely be to Bama. This being the case, Auburn loses out based on head to head. Auburn almost HAS to go undefeated to get there or hope for another Alabama loss.
See what I mean?!?
Bear likes this DEFENSE said 10/18, 04:51 PM
boise plays the weakest schedule of all the unbeatens
mizzu and ok-state are unbeaten...but unlike the higher ranked bcs teams they havent played the meat of their schedule
i would love bama to run the table and get in as a 1 loss SEC champion
i think the bcs computers would put a 1 loss SEC champ in ahead of Boise...but until the games are played and the numbers crunched...we will see
it is a shame that bama plays the 2nd hardest schedule and gets docked bc they dont win every game 45-0
Boise would have 2 losses every year at LEAST if they played an SEC schedule
Bama would go undefeated every year in Boise's conference
[The] Coach said 10/18, 08:16 PM
You didn't argue much of anything that I said in regard to your list?
I never once said that Alabama wasn't a superior team to Boise State and I doubt many would argue that given Boise State's schedule, Alabama would likely run the table. With their schedule, should they win out and win the SEC Championship (especially if this provides a second chance at SC) they will be sitting pretty to get back into NC contention should the right undefeated teams lose.
Who argued that Boise State didn't have the easiest schedule of the remaining teams? Even so, that doesn't mean there any less susceptible to having a bad game than any of the others you are so sure will do the so.
Alabama didn't get docked for having the hardest schedule, they were docked for losing to a South Carolina team that previously lost to Auburn. To the contrary, it is their schedule that gives them a chance at redeeming themselves in the BCS point system which is quite the reverse of Boise State that will be penalized for their schedule regardless of whether or not the go unbeaten.
Why did you stop debating your topic?
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