- 07/10/2012, 03:45PM ET
CuntryBlumpkin said 07/10, 03:45 PM
It's the halfway point of the season, and my preseason NL East predictions are starting to look pretty unrealistic.
Here we will be predicting the final NL East standings.
1. Nationals- I had them second before, but I'm convinced they will be the division winners. Even when they shut Strasburg down, they still have plenty of good starters, and I look for their offense to improve in the second half now that Morse is back, and LaRochae and Zimmerman have been second half players throughout their careers.
2. Braves- Nearly 50 consecutive games against teams with a record of at least .500 and a lot of injuries in the first half, but they're still in the hunt. McCann and Uggla underperformed in the first half, look for that to change.
3. Marlins- This team is talented, and they've shown what they have the potential to do. I think they play better in the second half and move up a spot in the standings.
4. Mets- I think they overperformed in the first half, and reality will hit them hard in the second half. I'd be shocked if RA Dickey can repeat his first half performance.
5. Phillies- They have too many holes in their offense no middle relief.
Brooklyn Maestro said 07/11, 12:48 PM
I agree with you on first place. I think the Nationals have too much talent and are playing too well right now to get caught. One thing I dont agree with is that the Mets over performed. I am a yankee fan too so that pains me a little to say.
1} Nationals - One of the top 5 most talented teams in the major leagues. They will not only win the division but they will make noise in the postseason.
2} Mets - The mets young talent is peaking at the right time and Wright is finally playing like he is supposed to play and is a perrenial MVP candidate. They also happen to have the best starting pitcher in the major leagues right now in Dickey and I see no reason he wont be just as good in the second half.
3} Braves - Atlanta is talented but if they werent the Atlanta Braves we can rename them the inconsistent Braves. Slugger Uggla must shape up and not hit .200 in the 2nd half if they're going to gain ground.
4} Phillies - The phillies are too talened to be stuck in last. With the Doc coming back and ryan howard and chase utley taking the field full time the Phillies will roar back in the 2nd half.
5} Marlins - They are overrated, plain and simple.
CuntryBlumpkin said 07/11, 12:59 PM
Braves over Mets- The Braves have been through a lot in the first half, losing 3 key pieces at the same time, losing our ace to Tommy John Surgery and a ridiculous stretch of games against contending teams. With all of that, the Braves are still ahead of the Mets in the standings.
The Braves are starting to get healthy, and remember the great second half Uglla had last season after a terrible first half? Uggla is a second half player, and McCann is too good of a player to hit .220 in the second half. He's homered in 4 straight games and has adjusted his swing in a way that seems to be working.
The Mets just seem like the Pirates of last season. Overpermormed in the first half, and reality will set in in the second half. I find it hard to believe that a 37 year old RA Dickey who had the best half of his career will continue prolonged success this season as he faces teams for a second time. He's been getting hit a little harder his last few starts.
The Mets have been a nice story, and they have some good pieces for the future, but for the present, they are a fourth place team at best.
Other changes in next argument.
Brooklyn Maestro said 07/11, 01:20 PM
Im sorry man I cant buy them as 4th place right now. Even if i was to accept them behind the braves, do you honestly believe that the Marlins are better? I dont even think that the Marlins think they're better right now.
The marlins three big FA acquisitions of Heath Bell, who just lost his closer job, Mark Buehlre, and Jose Reyes have all underperformed at best. Their best hitter stanton is now injured and I dont see a terribly bright rest of the season for them. As such, there is no way the mets finish in 4th this season because they will not finish behind Miami.
The funny part about the Mets so far is that besides Wright, they havent gotten anything real out of Ike Davis or Lucas Duda who were supposed to be key contributers this season. Davis was showing signs of snapping out of it before the all star break.
The Braves are torn up by injuries and underperforming players but give me a sign you see THIS season (not last season) that shows that Uggla or McCann will be able to turn it around. If they don't, no way the Braves finish in third ahead of the Mets.
This met team is scrappy and competitive unlike the lathargic teams of mets past. They will finish in 2nd
CuntryBlumpkin said 07/11, 03:35 PM
The Marlins are have leaps and bounds more natural talent on their team than the Mets. They have played inconsistently at best this season, but look at their month of May and you'll see what they have the potential to be. Losing Stanton hurts, but the Marlins still field a good lineup on paper, and their ace isn't a 37 yearold journeyman knuckleballer who happened to have an unrepeatable first half.
Top to bottom, the Marlins are the better team. The Marlins have underperformed, the Mets have been over achievers. It will balance out in the second half and the better team will finish higher in the standings, and the better team is the Marlins.
I'm sure the Phillies will improve in the second half, but they're in a very deep hole, and I don't think they can dig out of it.
Chase Utley isn't half the player he used to be, and I doubt Ryan Howard will be the same either. The Phillies are an old team and it's showing this season.
Even when they get Halladay back, there's no way of knowing if he'll be the same, and even then, the starters will need to go at least 8 innings every game because they have no middle relief.
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