- 07/20/2012, 11:01AM ET
1st Ballot HOF said 07/20, 11:01 AM
Been a fan of the site for a long time. Hoping to kick off with a good one.
Give me the team that will undergo the biggest change in win percentage in the NFL this season. The change can be a team improving or getting worse. Make sure to say what record you think they'll improve or disprove to.
Please pick only a team first and save your actual argument for your 2nd and 3rd arguments.
My pick is a team that will definitely finish with a worse record than they did last year.
My pick is the Pittsburgh Steelers who finished last season 12-4.
BFB said 07/20, 11:51 AM
I'm going to take the Cleveland Browns who finished 4-12 last year. I think theres a possibility of some improvement this year.
1st Ballot HOF said 07/20, 12:38 PM
Good luck friend, thank you for taking this.
The browns are an interesting selection. They did add Weeden and Richardson in the draft but it may not be so wise to bank on a rookie quarterback and a rookie running back together. Actually they do have Colt Mcoy as well so you've also created a quarterback controversy unless McCoy is traded.
I know there is some hype around Weeden and I'm not denying he may be a good talent but remember that history has given us many more Ryan Leafs than Cam Netwons. He will also have to deal with experienced defenses from Pittsburgh and Baltimore and an improving cincinnati team.
Cleveland is definitely the worst team in their division and if they go 6-10 (a 2 game swing) i would call it a successful year for them.
Pittsburgh is going to take a tumble this year. Losing hines ward is huge and they don't have a very good running game without Mendenhall for the first half of the year so that will put more pressure on the injury prone Roethlisberger.
I predict a 2 game swing for cleveland...I believe they will finish 6-10. I predict a 3 game swing for Pittsburgh...I believe they will finish 9-7 and have the greater differencein win %
BFB said 07/20, 02:01 PM
My predictions are Cleveland finishing 7-9 and Pittsburg finishing 10-6.
I'll start with Cleveland.
Last season the browns lost some close games,6 were 7 points or less of those 6 four were 4 points or less. If they can win 3 of the four that were close they have a chance to go 7 and 9 easily. Heres why.
Drafting Richardson gives them an option to hand the ball off and eat up the clock in close games and give the defense time off the field.
If Little steps it up this year and catches 25% more passes that is a huge improvement over last year being targeted 100 times and only making 50 catches. It is a possibility if the O-line improves a little so the QB isn't running for his life.
The jury is still out on Weeden have to wait and see.
Clevelands defense was ranked 5th last season and considering they were on the field 3/4 of the time each game is impressive. What happens if the offense improves slightly and gives them time to rest between series?
And lets not forget the Browns MVP Phil Dawson. Most points scored and a clutch kicker.
Will have the Steelers in my next argument. Good luck HOF!!!
1st Ballot HOF said 07/20, 02:30 PM
The Browns did lose close games last year but there isnt any reason to think that will change this upcoming season. You can't really play the shoulda woulda card because there are many teams that had a similar story.
I dont think there is 3 games worth of improvement in the addition that the Browns made.
The browns have difficult road games against the Cowboys, Giants, Broncos, and Raiders on top of tough home games against the Eagles and Chargers. That's 6 tough games plus 2 against Pitt and 2 against Baltimore.
I can easily see them going 2-8 in those games. The Browns don't have the X-factor to anchor a big turnaround this season. Even if they pull out more than 2, who is to say they cant lose to the Bills, Colts, or Redskins who also appear on their sched? Cleveland will be underdog in almost every game this year and theres a good reason why.
Pittsburgh lost Kemoeatu and Starks from their offensive line. Both of those lineman played on both super bowl winning teams!! Add in the loss of veterans Hines Ward, James Farrior and Aaron Smith and I think pittsburgh is in trouble.
They will finish 9-7 and Cleveland will finish another lowly 6-10 or 5-11.
BFB said 07/20, 03:29 PM
Heres why I think Pittsburg will drop 2 instead of 3.
Pittsburg does something better than most teams and has been doing it longer. Knowing when to make changes. Any one who watches football over the last 20+ years can attest to this.
They weren't happy with Arians as OC so they picked up Haley, Not a good HC but a pretty good OC.
Losing Mendenhall hurts but I'm sure they have figured a way to keep the ground game going. After all they are one of the best at it.
Losing a couple O-Lineman might help more than hurt since they were awfull at protecting Ben last year. Need some new blood and I believe it was addressed in the draft.
I don't understand the logic of losing Ward as being huge. He was a great receiver in his day but his numbers declined a lot his last year. here are his career stats versus his last year.
Receptions Career ave.71 last year 46
Yards 863 last year 381
Touchdowns 6 last year 2
First downs 44 last year 20
Yards after catch 311 last year 192
Targeted 111 last year
I don't think Pittsburg is in as much trouble as some think.
Cleveland 9-7 Pitts 10-6
Good TD Good Luck
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