- 04/17/2013, 10:21PM ET
PCH said 04/17, 10:21 PM
Bucks might have beaten the Heat in the regular season, but the Heat showed them up pretty good the last two. Lebron's got his sword out, and he's about to kill simba.
OJ Simpson said 04/21, 04:24 AM
I got the Bucks stealing the 1st one.
Miami will win 4-1 and cruise in the playoffs after a shaky start.
Why, you ask?
A. Their biggest stars (notably James and Wade) have missed a decent chunk of time. Their rhythm will be off. It might take a game or 2 to warm up.
B. Nobody (including Miami) expects the Bucks to win. They will come out half **** and rusty, expecting an easy win. The Bucks will be focused and angry.
As you said, the Bucks beat the Heat in the regular season WITH the MVP Lebron playing in that game at 100% so they do have the possibility to swipe just one.
OJ Simpson said 04/22, 12:36 AM
Yep, heat came out strong. 11-13 shooting by James I think it was on the game. No rust there.
There are games left though, it is still possible for Milwaukee to win one. They've beaten the heat before.
They could do it on their own merit, or the Heat could get lazy after winning 2 or 3 in a row. They could take the Bucks lightly because of the ease of which they won that first game.
If the backcourt for Miami can have a strong shooting night, it would help. But more importantly, the Bucks big men have to play well. They certainly didn't tonight. That is an area that the Bucks have to exploit going forward against RuPaul and the hodgepodge of big guys Miami trots out there.
PCH said 04/22, 03:43 PM
They could do it on their own merit, or the Heat could get lazy after winning 2 or 3 in a row.
REALITY: PROBABLY NOT GETTING LAZY LMAO
OJ, there's a lil dirt you tracked in the kitchen, I need a broom please!
OJ Simpson said 04/22, 08:19 PM
During the regular season, the Heat won 2-1 in 3 games.
How did the Bucks win?
They only shot 40%
They didn't shut down James/Wade (a combined 21 for 39 from the field)
THE BENCH however, only shot 32%
That's key. If the Bucks can limit the role players, they're in business. But what else?
Active big men. The Bucks got outrebounded like mad in the first game. What did I say up top? That the bigs for the Bucks had to show up and outwork RuPual and Miami's small frontcourt. They didn't do that in game 1.
The Bucks rank 5th in causing turnovers.
They rank 5th in points off turnovers.
If the defense can put some pressure on anyone who might get turnover happy for Miami, they'll get some easy baskets. In their win over Miami during the regular season, the Bucks forced 21 turnovers.
It's very possible to steal one. If Jennings and Ellis are BOTH hot on the same night, they're in business. If one of them is hot and the defense forces turnovers, they're in business. If either of those things happen with a big rebound margin for Milwaukee, they're in business.
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