- 09/23/2013, 01:07PM ET
Atro SYB said 09/23, 01:07 PM
Professional baseball players' offensive performance can be predicted by time of year and contract status. I can prove it. Can you shoot down this theory?
On_Wisconsin said 09/23, 01:54 PM
I dont know why you would put your theory in your first argument, but here is my take. If it was so predictable what people would do because of weather and money you should be a GM. I really cant shoot down your theory until you tell me your theory.
Atro SYB said 09/23, 02:06 PM
I'm a little perplexed. You obviously saw that I put my theory in my first argument, and now you want, as a rebuttal, for me to tell you my theory again. Fair enough.
"Professional baseball players' offensive performance can be predicted by time of year and contract status."
With all due respect, you have wasted your first argument by asking me to repeat my first argument, without taking the opportunity to disprove it in any aspect. You have two arguments left, with my theory still standing unrefuted.
On_Wisconsin said 09/23, 02:41 PM
How so? you have given no proof to prove your argument if you want to call it that. "Professional baseball players offensive performance can be predicted by time of year and contract status." So what, you made a statement, where is your proof to this. My response to you that all offensive numbers can be predicted by time of year and contract status would be, A-Rod would have never got the contract he did that a few years into his contract he starts to fade and get injured as one example. But once again you need to expand on your "Theory" If you want me to shoot it down. Because right now its just a statement with no proof.
Atro SYB said 09/23, 05:34 PM
Can't understand your 2nd argument. I will respond to the 1 intelligible portion, which reads "... you need to expand on your "Theory" if you want me to shoot it down:"
Morneau - 76 avg OPS+ from 03 to 05, never having achieved over 122 in any 1 of those seasons. Contract yr: 06. 2006 OPS+: 140. MVP, Gets 80 mil contract. Then: An avg TB from 07 to 12 of 226, and a 2013 231 TB with a week to go, this year being a contract yr. Please explain that without factoring in contract yr status.
Venable - a 6 yr career .2395 BA from APR through JUL (round that up to .240). A 6 yr .306 career BA in AUG, and a career .251 BA in SEP. Please explain that without factoring in time of yr/weather.
Lind - (Perhaps the most crystallizing example of both contract year status and time of yr/weather): Career BA APR - MAY: .256; career BA in JUN .284; Career BA in JUL - AUG .265; career BA in SEP .284. Career-wise, Lind has shown an increase in BA in JUN and SEP, In his contract year, there is a .050 increase in BA in APR-MAY, an .066 increase in BA in JUN, and a ,007 increase in BA thus far in SEP. Please explain without factoring in time of year/weather and contract status.
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