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UFC 154 betting guide

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10:52 PM ET 11.15 | This Saturday night, the UFC presents UFC 154: St. Pierre vs. Condit, one of the first big events in 2012 not completely ravaged by injuries. The main event will unify the welterweight titles, and the co-main event between Martin Kampmann and Johny Hendricks will likely decide the next challenger for the belt. This is not your basic prediction post, or even your basic gambling post. We are not going to pick every fight, and we're not going to give you the obvious wins that won't return much money on your investment. Instead, we are going to go through the card with a fine-toothed comb to find you the bets where the potential reward is more than worth the calculated risk.

Doc Octagon

Georges St-Pierre, Josh Hedges/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

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November 16, 2012 02:28 AM ET

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November 16, 2012 09:57 AM ET

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Got my PVR all set to record the prelims and the PPV.

Got my firewood up by the back door.

Got my special cake and beer ready.

Got my burnable "debris" ready.

Things are looking up.