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Upton's HR lead comes with an *

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07:07 AM ET 04.24 | Becoming the first player to reach 10 home runs, as Justin Upton did Tuesday, is nothing to dismiss, especially considering he did so in a win and he's only played 19 games. [He's] already more than halfway to surpassing his total of 17 from 150 games last year. On the other hand, Justin Upton has driven in a total of 14 runs this year. That's exactly as many as Daniel Nava has amassed. It's the same total compiled by .191-hitting Anthony Rizzo. ... A lot of it is the Braves, no doubt. Andrelton Simmons, Jason Heyward and B.J. Upton have all struggled ahead of Justin in the third spot in the order. But a lot if it is Justin, too. He's hitting .386 in 44 at-bats with the bases empty and .148 in 27 at-bats with runners on.

Hardball Talk

Justin Upton, Icon Sports Justin Upton, Icon Sports
April 24, 2013  07:53 AM ET

I think they should trade him to the Cardinals straight up for John Jay since the bum can't hit with men on base.

April 24, 2013  07:59 AM ET

What a stupid article.

April 24, 2013  08:08 AM ET

ok, so what's the asterisk signify?

April 24, 2013  08:10 AM ET
QUOTE(#1):

I think they should trade him to the Cardinals straight up for John Jay since the bum can't hit with men on base.

i almost spit my coffee on the keyboard when i read that. hahaha

Wainwright looked good yesterday, had all his pitches working.

April 24, 2013  08:57 AM ET

I think when no one is on base the pitchers actually throw hittable pitches to him and he gets many more pitches he can hit and actually drive. However, when men are on base the pitchers pitch to him a lot more carefully and then probably due to a combination of feeling pressure to drive the runners in and some poor plate discipline he chases some pitches he should not chase.
So, my guess is that when the other batters around him start hitting and he reins in his over anxious bat with men on base that situational BA will go up to at least .280 or so.

April 24, 2013  08:59 AM ET
QUOTE(#4):

i almost spit my coffee on the keyboard when i read that. hahahaWainwright looked good yesterday, had all his pitches working.

**** Wainwright and the horse he rode in on. (mutter, mutter, grumble, grumble.... wonder what it would take to get him in a trade?)

April 24, 2013  11:32 AM ET
QUOTE(#4):

i almost spit my coffee on the keyboard when i read that. hahahaWainwright looked good yesterday, had all his pitches working.

I am feeling much, much better about that new contract now. It may wind up being quite a bargain considering the escalating contracts for top starters.

April 24, 2013  11:34 AM ET

I said the Braves looked like real contenders at the start of the season when the Nationals were getting all the press. They are making me look smarter than I am. Both of those teams are going to be there in the end though.

I just hope the Cardinals get the bullpen settled down. Funny, that was considered a big strength going in.

April 24, 2013  11:40 AM ET
QUOTE(#1):

I think they should trade him to the Cardinals straight up for John Jay since the bum can't hit with men on base.

but but he's destroying the national east division,,should braves complain about justin upton?? or should the braves complain about B,J UPTON???is not like the braves are missin MARTIN PRADO though!!!

April 24, 2013  11:41 AM ET
QUOTE(#6):

**** Wainwright and the horse he rode in on. (mutter, mutter, grumble, grumble.... wonder what it would take to get him in a trade?)

Wainwright its going,,nowhere,,,,, the cards wouldn't trade him plus he has been signed for 5 years!!!

April 24, 2013  12:14 PM ET
QUOTE(#3):

ok, so what's the asterisk signify?

this is simple, just play him as a leadoff and he will hit homeruns at every at bat,,, its not like the last 3 hitters from the lineup will be in base, after all empty bases benefit justin upton offense!!!

April 24, 2013  12:19 PM ET
QUOTE(#6):

**** Wainwright and the horse he rode in on. (mutter, mutter, grumble, grumble.... wonder what it would take to get him in a trade?)

hahaha

(quietly swears about trade that sent Wainwright to the Cards)

April 24, 2013  12:22 PM ET
QUOTE(#8):

I said the Braves looked like real contenders at the start of the season when the Nationals were getting all the press. They are making me look smarter than I am. Both of those teams are going to be there in the end though. I just hope the Cardinals get the bullpen settled down. Funny, that was considered a big strength going in.

yeah, right now the Braves really do look like contenders. but it's a long season, we'll see how much 'staying power' they have. the start to this season has been great, but i'll be more excited to see them doing this AFTER the All Star break.

is Mujica the closer now, or is Boggs still getting a shot at it? what happened to Motte?

April 24, 2013  12:32 PM ET
QUOTE(#2):

What a stupid article.

Incredibly stupid.

The author actually split 71 ABs. Someone should punch him right in the junk.

April 24, 2013  12:53 PM ET

I agree, Upton is pitched differently when men are on base, a feat that doesn't often happen with a #1 hitter around .165 and a #2 hitter at less than .100
For all of baseball something like 57% of HRs are solo shots. Over the course of the year this stat should improve somewhat for Justin, but he will always be pitched more carefully with men on base.

April 24, 2013  12:57 PM ET

One of his homers was a walk off, with no one on base - you have to give him credit for that.
Several of his homers have come in the first inning where the first two batters have made outs.

April 24, 2013  01:03 PM ET
QUOTE(#14):

Incredibly stupid.The author actually split 71 ABs. Someone should punch him right in the junk.

<Chasin' winds up and throws his patented "donkball">

April 24, 2013  01:25 PM ET
QUOTE(#15):

For all of baseball something like 57% of HRs are solo shots.

in addition to that stat you mentioned, they gave some other interesting MLB stats during the tv broadcast the other night:

(1) since 2006, the strikeout rate has increased every year.

(2) the BA with RISP across the majors is .178.

April 24, 2013  01:55 PM ET

Looks like this guy was a bargain. Hope he stays healthy.

 
April 24, 2013  02:09 PM ET
QUOTE(#13):

yeah, right now the Braves really do look like contenders. but it's a long season, we'll see how much 'staying power' they have. the start to this season has been great, but i'll be more excited to see them doing this AFTER the All Star break.is Mujica the closer now, or is Boggs still getting a shot at it? what happened to Motte?

Mujica is the closer until he loses it. Boggs is going back to the 8th. Motte has a slight tendon tear. We aren't hearing much about it. I don't think they've made up their minds on whether surgury is needed.

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