UTFDos's Comments

Posted Wednesday March 26, 2014, About: Delany Vs. O'Bannon: Bluster or Bond?
This has always been a possible outcome, and in fact sorta what started this whole thread.
Posted Friday December 27, 2013, About: Bowling for dollars-Bowl pick'em 2013-2014
Not all us old timers are totally blowing it; I am my usual mediocre self. U-Dub is winning, but Minnie Mouse lost...
Posted Friday December 27, 2013, About: Bowling for dollars-Bowl pick'em 2013-2014
7-3,I think? Anyone know the official tally?
Posted Friday December 27, 2013, About: Bowling for dollars-Bowl pick'em 2013-2014
merry Christmas, Y'all!
Posted Wednesday November 27, 2013, About: FN Selection Committee
Last thing, and it's something that occurred to me over the weekend watching the Okie St Baylor game. A phenomena that I have seen in CFB over the years is like Okie St this year. That is, there seems to be a turning point for a team where a lightbulb comes on. For Okie St it seemed the before and after hinges on the WVU game. Anybody that has followed them knows that the team playing now in no way resembles the team that played WVU and earlier.

So, my question is, as a selection committee do we consider that? Maybe I am biased somewhat, and admittedly I haven't watched Bama or FSU that much, but I feel like the team I saw play Baylor and Texas could hang. I know you can't give them a mulligan, but so often I hear the logic of the 1 team that beat them wasn't good. Does the "they aren't the same team now" factor in at all to alleviate that argument, or is a team more defined by their losses than their wins?

Just curious, and BTW I kind of feel like trUSC has had a "before and after Ed" year, they aren't the same team that lost to Wazu.
Posted Wednesday November 27, 2013, About: FN Selection Committee
Maybe we should come up with a "WOS" to measure Wimpiness Of Schedule, take point OFF a team for playing all FCS level teams?

Except it faces the same problemS evaluation wise as SOS.
;-)
Posted Wednesday November 27, 2013, About: FN Selection Committee
I do agree with this part of the logic, I believe Sparty is getting a raw deal as far as 1 loss teams go.
Posted Wednesday November 27, 2013, About: FN Selection Committee
Disagree. If the QB takes a knee as is convention there is no confusion. Even if he just gets his guys lined up he styill has time to clock it.

Thing is, I have seen many many games decided on bad calls, and I consider it part of the game. Agree that the refs looked like the keystone cops. But Wiscy's O looked like Laurel and Hardy.

To just give them a mulligan is not accepted in my book. Could we go examine Okie States game against WVU and find bad calls (not just confusion, but flat out bad calls) that MIGHT have changed the outcome? IDK, but I suspect we could.
Posted Wednesday November 27, 2013, About: FN Selection Committee
Agee entirely. In fact, the entire BCS computer modeling of something as complex as a division of CFB, with a huge dearth of data points, is even worse.

As a SW engineer I could write a program to make the outcome just about anything I want, especially if I can keep it privately stashed from critique.
Posted Wednesday November 27, 2013, About: FN Selection Committee
IOW's does one missing player make a diff in something at the selection committee level? Do we discount their body of work because 1 player, although a Heisman candidate, is MIA?

Interesting ramifications. Apply the 'MIA Player' constuct to the CCG decision, but not to the SOS that is only a contributor to the CCG decision?
Posted Wednesday November 27, 2013, About: FN Selection Committee
Correctamundo! If the sim SW uses ft pounds of pressure on the stick to move surfaces, and the real aircraft uses metric, that pilot is pr'olly up the creek when he get's in the real plane. In fact if the sim handles in any way different than the real deal... that's why real pilots with experience on the real AC check it out and give it their blessing 1st.

Use a bad SOS formula (i.e. being in the correct conference) and you put the wrong team in the championship (Clemson if the BCS were to end today and be used for a 4 team playoff).
Posted Wednesday November 27, 2013, About: FN Selection Committee
Yeah, I've pointed that out somewhere, same with Mizou. Funny thing is, if Mizou had the EXACT same sched but were in the B12 still, they would be at the back of the pack.

Okie State is the only 1-loss to have a signature win IMO, thus moved to the front of the line by nature of the way they won, who they beat, how well they are playing NOW.

It has always been said that early losses don't effect standings as much as late ones? That seems to only apply in certain cases. Getting beat by good teams is no greater a feat than getting beat by mediocre to bad teams in my book; any team is capable of either. Give me a team based on what they have done over what they failed to do on an off day early on. I feel like rt now Okie St would beat any of the 3 teams ahead of them.
Posted Wednesday November 27, 2013, About: FN Selection Committee
We CAN agree on that one; As a committee member I will automatically move Non Conference winners to an appropriate place in line.

And in considering conference winners I would put some sort of stipulation like "must win 83% (a 10-2 record) to be considered BEFORE non conference winners. So if 'Bama lost to Aubie I would consider Stanford ahead of them (assuming they win out), but not the pitchforks if they lost to Zona (3rd loss) but beat Stanford in the PAC CC.
Posted Wednesday November 27, 2013, About: FN Selection Committee
The SEC standings also don't give a Rat's ptuti about SOS (Bama didn't play any tuff SEC East foes like Mizou and SCAR; TAMU will play Mizou. SCAR got GA at full strength, Mizougot a beat up team.Pplays no factor in deciding the West/East champ). I hope that all the pollsters do consider SOS, tho I feel it is more along the line of "Auburn and Mizou play in the SEC so their schedule MUST be harder than Okie State's". To me that is worse than not considering SOS at all.

For a SW program I'm sure you've heard the term GIGO, and I feel that applies tothe BCS programs we can't see. And to me a SW calc of SOS is too simplistic and therefore garbage.

But, on this let's agree to disagree... I suggest that individual committee members may or may not use such calculations to aid them in their ranking of teams.
Posted Wednesday November 27, 2013, About: FN Selection Committee
The 747 is a good example: no we CAN'T accurately measure all the infinitesmal pressure variations , so we don't use that data for flight control. What we DO have are Air Data sensors that can and do measure Impact Pressure, Static pressure etc. From that we can ACCURATELY calcule thing like AOA that are necessary for Flight controls.

So, IMO, use only data that you know to be accurate. SOS is not one of those things. An example of something that COULD be accurately measured is margin of victory, but how much weight we give it is another question.

And yes, I use team strength in my SUBJECTIVE evals, but let's be honest and say that it is a subjective factor. I can look at team A and Team B and know if Johnny Football was hurt and therefore not give much creedence to a team beating TAMU with him out. No, I can't look at ALL, but I can evaluate what I know to be true.

Also, if a baby is going to cause a 747 FCS to malfunction to the point it endagers the plane and peeps on it, hedbl hockey sticks yea we toss that baby, w/o a parachute!
Posted Wednesday November 27, 2013, About: FN Selection Committee
This week team 4 is tuff; but, it will/can change after the CCG's...
1 'Bama
2 FSU
3 tOSU
4 Okie State by virtue of demolishing a undefeated team: best looking right now of the 1 loss teams IMO.
Posted Tuesday November 26, 2013, About: Week 14, rivalries.
OK, silver bullet for Werewolves, wooden stake for Vampires, but what to use for Lucy's Vessel himself? maybe siver and wood at the same time?

This could take some research, anybody know Buffy's number?
Posted Tuesday November 26, 2013, About: Week 14, rivalries.
Then all that happens, IMO, is FSU moves to 1 and Aubie jumps tOSU for #2. Hope I'm wrong, but it was pretty much the concensus opinion of what SHOULD happen on Sunday's BCS show (I think, but don't quote, I've got oldtimers).
Posted Tuesday November 26, 2013, About: Week 14, rivalries.
1 Alabama at Auburn - 'Bama
2 Florida State at UF - 'Noles
3 Ohio State at Michigan -tOSU
4 TAMU at Missouri - Mizou in a WTH coinflip 'neither has proved anything to me' game
5 Clemson at SCAR - Clemson
6 ND at Stanford - Tree Peeps
7 Baylor at TCU - Baylor; but the Frogs could surprise
8 MINN at Michigan State - Sparty
9 Arizona at Arizona State - Pitchforks
10 OrSU at Oregon Friday night - Ducks (out for redemption they will give no wuarter to the hapless Leave it to Beavers)
11 PSU at Wisconsin - Wiscy
12 Fresno State at SJSU Friday night - Fesno St
13 ARK at LSU Friday night - LSU
14 USF at UCF Friday night - UCF
15 UCLA at USC - trUSC
16 Duke at UNC - Dukeies
17 Miss at Miss State on Thursday - Ole Miss
18 TT at Texas on Thursday - Texas
19 SMU at Houston on Friday - Houston
20 ECU at Marshal on Friday - Marshall
21 Iowa at NEB - Iowa to win the corn bowl!
22 Miami at PITT - Pitt
23 WSU at UW - U Dub
24 UGA vs GT - Yellar Jackets
25 TENN at Kentucky - Vols
Posted Monday November 25, 2013, About: Week 13, back to more drama again.
What I have seen is that, of all the 1 loss teams out there, Okie St is the one getting robbed the worst.

I like Okie State ok, but I'm not a fan per se. I think, by virtue of their signature win over Baylor, an undefeated who has run roughshod over everyone, who was totally embarrassed by the Pokes, Okie St should be the highest 1 loss team.

Don't get me wrong, the other 1 lost teams are good, but NONE have a real big win. Mizou would barely be in the top 10 with their schedule and 1 loss if they were still in the B12, and y'all know it's true.

Everyone seems to care about 'worst loss' rather than 'best win'. To me a loss is a loss is a loss. Is it better to have a big game, and lose it, then beat mediocre teams, or lose to a mediocre team and win the big game, the one that possibly gets you the CC? And for them to be behind Clemson is just rediculous.

The other 1 loss teams (outside of Okie St (best) and Clemson (worst)) are in a group that doesn't have a lot of seperation to me, not enuff data. So... Pokes seperate themselves via their signature win (and playing really good ball since the WV loss), prob'ly Sparty by a hare, then Aubie and Mizou tied, and Baylor. Then back a good ways would be a group of: Fresno State, Clemson, and some of the better 2 loss teams.

But... Okie State and Sparty are the ones holding the end of the stick smeared with Brown 25.
Posted Friday November 22, 2013, About: Late Season OOC Scheduling = Poll Manipulation?
Mean Joe Greene played for N Texas, they gotta be good!
[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DjaWKK6ylQg[/youtube]
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