Ethier going 290/350/500 with 80+ EBH is extremely unlikely.
1. He's prone to trips to the DL, having logged 150+ games just twice in seven seasons. This impacts his counting stats like doubles and HR 2. Historically, players typically peak from ages 26-28 or 27-29. This looks like Ethier, who so far was at his most consistent during ages 26-28 3. He's 31 this year - not old, but if he gets 80+ EBH, it would be the best of career.. and that ain't likely. Not many break out years for 31 year olds - is really an outlier type player? 4. Over his career, his 162 game average is: 61 EBH, including 21 HR. He hasn't topped 150 games since age 27, so... don't bet on 80 EBH. It's not happening; or if it does, you break the bank at the Vegas betting shops 5. So far, he's topped a .500 slugging average twice in his career; you guessed it, at ages 26 & 27
But ok, pitchers and catchers are onboard in a couple of weeks, EVERYBODY is healthy and ready for their best ever year, so dream on about Ethier. Who knows?
1. He's prone to trips to the DL, having logged 150+ games just twice in seven seasons. This impacts his counting stats like doubles and HR
2. Historically, players typically peak from ages 26-28 or 27-29. This looks like Ethier, who so far was at his most consistent during ages 26-28
3. He's 31 this year - not old, but if he gets 80+ EBH, it would be the best of career.. and that ain't likely. Not many break out years for 31 year olds - is really an outlier type player?
4. Over his career, his 162 game average is: 61 EBH, including 21 HR. He hasn't topped 150 games since age 27, so... don't bet on 80 EBH. It's not happening; or if it does, you break the bank at the Vegas betting shops
5. So far, he's topped a .500 slugging average twice in his career; you guessed it, at ages 26 & 27
But ok, pitchers and catchers are onboard in a couple of weeks, EVERYBODY is healthy and ready for their best ever year, so dream on about Ethier. Who knows?
But's it unlikely.